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15 May 21:23

Meio constrangedor

by Polly

Na Retratos da Vida:
Untitled 23 Meio constrangedor

Sabe o que é meio constrangedor pra mim? Um cara de 36 anos ficar levando a namorada em motel.

Motel foi feito para:

1) Gente que ainda mora com os pais

2) Gente que está ~~ pulando a cerca ~~

3) Gente que só quer dar uma cheiradinha e morrer de overdose em paz (R.I.P Marcelo Silva)

Se você não se encaixa em nenhumas das três categorias, por favor trepe em casa porque você paga IPTU pra isso. Beijos.

15 May 18:44

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15 May 15:47

Caixa Eletrônico

by Bruno

caixa_eletronicoInsira seu cartão, diz a tela do caixa automático do banco. Insiro.

Retire seu cartão. Retiro.

Você está usando um cartão com chip. Insira-o novamente e só o retire quando a operação estiver completa. Insiro novamente, escolho a operação. Retire seu cartão. Retiro.

Insire seu cartão novamente. Um pouco desconfiado, insiro.

Retire o seu cartão. Retiro. Insira mais uma vez. Insiro. Retire-o novamente. Retiro.

Mais uma inseridinha. Olhando constrangido para os lados, insiro. Retire… Retiro. Isso, vai… Insere de novo… Insiro. Retira de novo… Retiro. Insere… Insiro. Vai… Não para… Não para…

Retiro o cartão, saio do banco e procuro outra agência.


15 May 15:20

Oh God.

by Luke Plunkett
Adam Victor Brandizzi

Eu não precisava saber disso.

Oh God. FreeCiv, the open source "tribute" to the classic strategy series, now runs on HTML5. Meaning it can run in browsers. And on your phone. Play here. Thanks PC Gamer.

15 May 15:15

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15 May 15:15

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15 May 15:13

dduane: Heh.



dduane:

Heh.

15 May 15:10

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15 May 15:10

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15 May 12:24

Far From Home

by Greg Ross
Adam Victor Brandizzi

Não é tão surpreendente, o comércio naquelas épocas era bem vasto - na verdade, quase sempre foi. As estepes eram quase uma Amazon pré-moderna :)

In 1954, archaeologists excavating an eighth-century Viking settlement on Helgö Island in Sweden turned up a 10-centimeter statuette of the Buddha.

It’s thought to have originated in northwestern India around 600. How it made its way to Sweden is unknown.

15 May 12:17

tastefullyoffensive: Comedian Kurt Braunohler raised $6,000 on...



tastefullyoffensive:

Comedian Kurt Braunohler raised $6,000 on Kickstarter to “hire a man in a plane to write stupid things in the sky”.

14 May 23:00

maymay: “Repeat Rape: How do they get away with it?”, Part 1 of...


It turns out that if you ask the right questions in just the right way, some men will actually tell you that they're rapists. They'll just…admit it.


The key is, don't use the word rape. Just ask them what they've done.


Researchers asked 1,882 men: "Have you ever tried to have oral sex with someone by using (or threatening to use) physical force—twisting their arm, holding them down, etc.—if they did not cooperate?"


and: "Have you ever had sexual intercourse with someone, even though they didn't want to, because they were too intoxicated to resist your advances?"


120 answered yes.


(That's rape.)


1,882 men…


120 rapists.


They admitted to a total of 483 rapes and attempted rapes. 483!


Whoa.

maymay:

“Repeat Rape: How do they get away with it?”, Part 1 of 2. (link to Part 2)

Sources:

  1. College Men: Repeat Rape and Multiple Offending Among Undetected Rapists,Lisak and Miller, 2002 [PDF, 12 pages]
  2. Navy Men: Lisak and Miller’s results were essentially duplicated in an even larger study (2,925 men): Reports of Rape Reperpetration by Newly Enlisted Male Navy Personnel, McWhorter, 2009 [PDF, 16 pages]

By dark-side-of-the-room, who writes:

These infogifs are provided RIGHTS-FREE for noncommercial purposes. Repost them anywhere. In fact, repost them EVERYWHERE. No need to credit. Link to the L&M study if possible.

Knowledge is a seed; sow it.

14 May 21:31

chainsawpunk: wow she really can play any role



chainsawpunk:

wow she really can play any role

14 May 21:09

Cargo: A Touching Zombie Story

by Cobwebs

In the midst of a zombie apocalpyse, an infected man struggles to save his infant daughter. This was one of the finalists in Tropfest Australia 2013.

In the comments on io9, there’s this note:

For those who don’t know, one of the conditions of entering a film in Tropfest is that is must contain ‘the signature item’, which is announced at the previous year’s festival. This year’s was ‘Balloon’.
When shown next to the other films, it was this use of the balloon that made the film all the more heart-wrenching.

14 May 20:15

Data Mined To Unemployment

image

People generally recognize that promptly paying your credit card bill and building up your credit score is important because not doing so could jeopardize your ability to obtain a loan or get a mortgage. A financial slip can be a yoke for life.  

Its reach can extend beyond the bank. The New York Times reported last week on the practice of businesses buying the credit reports of job applicants before making hiring decisions. People who got in financial troubles years earlier found themselves tarnished for life, as unhireable as someone who had robbed a bank rather than someone who just fell behind on credit card payments.

One man - who had previously struggled financially when he had health problems and no insurance - did not understand why he kept receiving rejections after positive job interviews. Eventually he applied at a store where a friend worked. His friend enlightened him: “Oh, you’ve got bad credit? They’ll never hire you.”

Although we associate credit reports with loan decisions, everyone bringing a credit report to their prospective landlord knows how people assume, as one credit reporting bureau markets its reports, that “Credit information provides insight into an applicant’s integrity and responsibility toward his or her financial obligations.”

Nearly 50% of companies run credit background checks on potential hires, according to one survey. Even if managers don’t believe that a credit report is a great indicator of who will be a good employee, it seems to often be blindly applied as company policy. The two most common reasons for requiring credit report checks is to decrease theft and avoid legal liability for negligent hiring.

A credit report is an easily accessible source of information for employers, a quick complement to reading a resume and speaking to a past employer. But people actively share information about themselves every day online. And that data is being collected, analyzed, and sold by companies for advertising purposes. As we’ve written before, just analyzing public information like Facebook Likes is sufficient to predict most people’s age, gender, personality traits, and a host of other personal information. 

What’s to stop employers from also using this information? Marketers want to understand your personality to show you targeted ads, but what if data collection companies created, for example, an Employee Stability Score?

Maybe someone who had an interest in communism and and crypto-anarchism in high school would be considered a risky hire for the rest of his life. Or maybe analysis of what types of personality traits are correlated with tardiness and quitting would tarnish anyone with those traits. Just as with credit scores today, not everyone would be affected. But businesses with monolithic, risk-averse hiring practices might use it.

Data companies do not have the level of detail and accuracy described above. But between search history, emails, Facebook comments, online purchases, and more, that information is in the hands of private companies. 

Government regulation and responsible use of our data by private companies can prevent it, but it’s not hard to imagine dystopian applications of our online data being used as hiring criteria. The worst case? A world in which a majority of workers have to carefully prune from their online personalities any hint of a characteristic that conservative corporate businesses may find risky.

This post was written by Alex Mayyasi. Follow him on Twitter here or Google Plus. To get occasional notifications when we write blog posts, sign up for our email list.

14 May 19:55

Probability and Interpretations

by MarkCC
Adam Victor Brandizzi

Agora as probabilidades ganharam um tiquinho mais de sentido para mim :)

I'm going to do some writing about discrete probability theory. Probability is an extremely important area of math. We encounter aspects of it every day. It's also a very poorly understood area - it's one that we see abused or just fouled up every day.

I'm going to focus on discrete probability theory. What that means is that we're going to look at things where the space containing the things that we're going to look at contains a countable number of elements. The probability of getting a certain sequence of coin flips, or of getting a certain hand of cards are described by discrete probability theory. On the other hand, the odds of a radioactive isotope decaying at a particular time requires continuous probability theory.

Before getting into the details, there's one important thing to mention. When you're talking about probability, there are two fundamental schools of interpretetation. There are frequentist interpretations, and there are Bayesian interpretations.

In a frequentist interpretation, when you say the probability of an event is 0.6, what you mean is that if you were to perform a series of experiments precisely reproducing the event, then on average, if you did 100 experiments, the event would occur 60 times. In the frequentist interpretation, the probability is an intrinsic property of the event. For a frequentist, it makes sense to say that there is a "real" probability associated with an event.

In a Bayesian interpretation, when you say that the probability of an event is 0.6, what you mean is that based on your current state of knowledge about the event, you have a 60% certainty that the event will occur. In a strict Bayesian interpretation, the event doesn't have any kind of intrinsic probability associated with it. The specific event that you're interested in either will occur, or it won't. There's no real probability involved. What probability measures is how certain you are about whether or not it will occur.

For example, think about flipping a fair coin.

A frequentist would say that you can flip a coin many times, and half of the time, it will land on heads. So the probability of a coin flip landing on the head of the coin is 0.5. A Bayesian would say that the coin will land either on heads or on tails. Since you don't know which, and you have no other information to use to be able to make a better prediction, you can have a certainty of 0.5 that it will land on the head of the coin.

In the real world, I think that most people are really somewhere in between.

I think that all but the most fervent Bayesians do rely on an intuitive notion of the "intrinsic" probability of an event. They may describe it in different terms, but when it comes down to it, they're using the basic frequentist notion. And I don't think that you can find a sane frequentist anywhere who won't use Bayes theorem to update their priors in the face of new information - which is the most fundamental notion in the Bayesian interpretation.

One note before I finish this, and get started on the real meaty posts. In the past, when I've talked about probability, people have started stupid flamewars in the comments. People get downright religious about interpretations of probability. There are religious Bayesians, who think that all frequentists are stupid idiots who should be banished from the field of math; likewise, there are religious frequentists who think that Bayesians are all a crop of arrogant know-it-alls who should be sent to Siberia. I am not going to tolerate any of that nonsense. If you feel that you cannot read posts on probability without going into a diatribe about those stupid frequentists/Bayesians and their deliberately stupid ideas, please go away and don't even read these posts. If you do go into such a diatribe, I will delete your comments without any hesitation.

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14 May 19:13

The Magic Roundabout

by Miss Cellania

v

America doesn't have many roundabouts because even if you understand how one works, you have to worry about other drivers who don't. But they are a fact of life in Britain. The ultimate roundabout is this one in Swindon that is actually a cluster of roundabouts in one intersection.  

The Magic Roundabout in Swindon, England, constructed in 1972, is the most brilliant and at the same time, the most confusing roundabout ever built. The roundabout, named after the popular children's television series by the same name, is located near the County Ground and consists of five mini-roundabouts arranged in a circle. At first sight, it might appear to confuse or amuse new visitors and certainly baffle tourists but once you understand how the roundabout works you will realize how revolutionary the idea is.

Other pictures and diagrams at Amusing Planet may help you parse out what is supposed to happen. Keep in mind that driving on the  left side of the road is the correct thing to do in this location. Link -via the Presurfer

(Image credit: Google Earth)

14 May 18:29

Equação do dia

by Drunkeynesian
Não é um DSGE, mas deve explicar muita coisa.
14 May 18:28

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14 May 18:28

Evil But Funny

by noreply@blogger.com (Joanne Casey)
Adam Victor Brandizzi

Lembrando o apartamento que aluguel. Na porta do quarto do bebê tinha pichações. Não é tão intenso quanto isso aí, mas estou sempre alerta mesmo assim...

14 May 18:25

Test Your Geography Skills with Google Maps Game

by Steph
Adam Victor Brandizzi

Só lembrando que essa desgraça é uma droga inibidora. Inibidora de produtividade.

[ By Steph in Global & Travel & Places. ]

GeoGuessr Google Maps Game 1

Can you guess where in the world this unidentified Google Maps location is by landscape, road signs, architecture and cars? Test your geography skills with GeoGuessr, a site that drops you into a random Street View and challenges you to answer correctly five times in a row. Brilliantly simple, this virtual travel guessing game will stump you with featureless fields, and city scenes that seem to belong on entirely different continents.

GeoGuessr Google Maps Game 2

Once placed in a location, you can move up and down the streets and use the arrows to view it in 360 degrees, just like on Google Maps and Google Earth. Sometimes, you might get lucky, and see some kind of identifying signs. Sometimes, there’s nothing but farmland and trees.

GeoGeussr Google Maps Game 3

When you think you’ve determined the location, drop a pin on the world map on the right side of the screen and make your guess. You might be surprised how many times you’re about as off as you can possibly be. Some streets in Northern Canada look an awful lot like those in Argentina. Try it for yourself at GeoGuessr.com (via Laughing Squid).

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[ By Steph in Global & Travel & Places. ]

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14 May 18:23

the-absolute-best-posts: magicalnaturetour: Young elephant...









the-absolute-best-posts:

magicalnaturetour:

Young elephant playing on a beach in Phuket, Thailand by John Lindie

Now if anything the first thing that came to my mind was

“Why is the elephant posing seductively?”

My lovely followers, please follow this blog immediately!

14 May 14:48

"My grandfather rode a camel, my father rode a camel, I drive a Mercedes, my son drives a Land Rover,..."

“My grandfather rode a camel, my father rode a camel, I drive a Mercedes, my son drives a Land Rover, his son will drive a Land Rover, but his son will ride a camel.”

- Sheikh Rashid bin Saeed Al Maktoum, the founding father of Dubai
14 May 13:37

Population Bubble

by Jonco

Population bubble

Thanks Rich

 

14 May 12:18

“An ode to the journey of ó on a shipping label”...



“An ode to the journey of ó on a shipping label” found at http://i.imgur.com/4J7Il0m.jpg, via @shyhoof.

14 May 12:16

Parece engraçado, mas na verdade é bem triste. Via @foxorz



Parece engraçado, mas na verdade é bem triste.

Via @foxorz

14 May 11:44

Outreach

by Greg Ross

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Moon_Art_Scale_Fingers.jpg

There’s a museum on the moon. As Apollo 12 prepared to depart in 1969, New York sculptor Forrest Myers commissioned drawings from six prominent artists and had them engraved on a ceramic wafer, then arranged for a Grumman engineer to smuggle it onto the lunar lander.

Two days before launch he received a telegram confirming that the engineer had been successful. If he was, then the tiny museum is still up there, bearing drawings by Robert Rauschenberg, David Novros, John Chamberlain, Claes Oldenburg, Forrest Myers, and Andy Warhol. Perhaps they’ll attract some patrons.

14 May 11:42

Comic for May 14, 2013

13 May 20:05

Uma entrevista com o maior líder cristão do mundo árabe, o Patriarca Bechara Rai

by Gustavo Chacra

Demorou, mas com a ajuda da ótima repórter do Estadão Marilia Neustein, consegui uma entrevista com o Patriarca Cristão Maronita, Bechara Rai, maior autoridade cristã do mundo árabe e cardeal do Vaticano. Foram meses até conseguir. Graças à sua visita à lançamento de exposição do Gibran Khalil Gibran em São Paulo, organizado pela Lodi Brais, uma das líderes da comunidade libanesa no Brasil, deu certo.

Quer dizer, mais ou menos. Como eu não podia ir ao Brasil na data da visita dele, contei com a Marilia. Elaboramos as perguntas e ela foi pessoalmente falar com o Patriarca sobre Síria, Líbano, Egito, Primavera Árabe e Israel. 

 Obs. A entrevista completa está na edição impressa do Estadão na coluna da Sônia Racy

Acredita que a Primavera Árabe foi boa para os cristãos da região, mesmo sabendo que no Egito estão sendo perseguidos?

No começo recebemos de bons olhos a Primavera Árabe. Acreditávamos que o movimento estava reinvindicando reformas políticas e administrativas. E nasceu de um desejo do povo, de necessidades democráticas. Entretanto, por mais que os primeiros sinais se mostrassem bons, descobrimos que outros interesses da Política Internacional se manifestaram através de grupos radicais que pegaram em armas e defenderam interesses que não têm a ver com o povo.  Por isso, hoje, alguns não chamam de Primavera Árabe, mas de “Inverno Árabe”.

Que grupo são esses, especialmente na Siria?

Sabemos de grupos armados e financiados, sejam pelo Governo ou contra o Regime.  Existem muitos interesses que batem de frente, especiamente no conflito entre sunitas e xiitas. Então esses grupos radicais, infelizmente, com armas e financiamento deixam a situação do jeito que está hoje.

Há uma preocupação da guerra da Síria chegar ao Líbano. Acredita nisso? Quais seriam as consequências?

A guerra já atinge diretamente o Líbano. Primeiro porque temos, hoje no Líbano, cerca de 1 milhão e duzentos mil refugiados sírios.  Sendo que a população total do país é de  4 milhões. Essa população não é realocada com dignidade e portanto é um encargo pesado no sentido social, humanitário, de alimentação, de habitação e de segurança pública. Além disso, a guerra atrapalha os acordos comerciais de exportação com os países, como Jordânia, Turquia e Iraque, já que toda a exportação tem que passar por território sírio. O transporte e comércio ficam muito afetados.

E a violência?

Sim, já existe uma onda de violência da guerra que chega à cidade de Tripoli (Norte do Líbano), onde há uma enorme tensão entre alauítas e sunitas. É por isso que clamamos aos nossos países amigos que nos ajudem a caminhar rumo à paz.

Vossa eminência acredita que o Hezbollah tem que depor suas armas?

O caminho no futuro é que o Hezbollah entregue suas armas. Mas sabemos que não é simples.  O Hezbollah tem muitas questões envolvidas. Participa ativamente da vida política do Líbano, tem uma representação no congresso e tem que se defender das ameaças constantes de Israel. Nós, da Igreja Maronita, não acreditamos que nenhum partido deva ter armas, não acreditamos  nas soluções pelas armas. Esperamos que os conflitos possam se resolver de outra maneira. Para isso, os outros países árabes tem de se debruçar sobre essa questão e a comunidade internacional  ajudar numa solução política dos conflitos.

Vossa eminência acredita que haverá paz entre o Líbano e Israel?

Só haverá paz entre Israel e o Líbano quando duas questões importantes forem resolvidas. Em primeiro lugar, os territórios ocupados. Israel hoje ocupa uma região do Líbano que já foi assunto de resolução da ONU que pede sua desocupação.E a segunda é a questão palestina. O reconhecimento dos dois estados e o direito de regresso dos refugiados. O Líbano hoje conta com 500 mil refugiados palestinos que tem o direito de poder voltar ao seu país de origem. Israel não está dando sinais de que reconhecerá o Estado Palestino e, portanto, não vejo paz num horizonte próximo.

Vossa eminência apoia a lei Ortodoxa nas eleições no Líbano?

Pessoalmente, não apoio porque não houve consenso em adotá-la. Apesar de respeitar a lei eleitoral atual que divide a cota de cada religião em 50%, nós, do Patriarcado, acreditamos que os cidadãos devem ter uma lei que lhes permitem uma escolha mais direta de seus representantes. Que nenhuma religião, usufrui de seus votantes para eleger candidatos de outras religiões sem grande representatividade.  Acreditamos numa democracia para escolher nossos representantes.

Como é a relação de vossa eminencia com as outras religiões do Líbano?

O patriarcado se relaciona excelentemente bem com as outras religiões. Mantemos um diálogo com outras partes cristãs, bem como com os muçulmanos sunitas, xiitas e drusos.

Guga Chacra, comentarista de política internacional do Estadão e do programa Globo News Em Pauta em Nova York, é mestre em Relações Internacionais pela Universidade Columbia. Já foi correspondente do jornal O Estado de S. Paulo no Oriente Médio e em NY. No passado, trabalhou como correspondente da Folha em Buenos Aires

Comentários islamofóbicos, antisemitas e antiárabes ou que coloquem um povo ou uma religião como superiores não serão publicados. Tampouco ataques entre leitores ou contra o blogueiro. Pessoas que insistirem em ataques pessoais não terão mais seus comentários publicados. Não é permitido postar vídeo. Todos os posts devem ter relação com algum dos temas acima. O blog está aberto a discussões educadas e com pontos de vista diferentes. Os comentários dos leitores não refletem a opinião do jornalista

Acompanhe também meus comentários no Globo News Em Pauta, na Rádio Estadão, na TV Estadão, no Estadão Noite no tablet, no Twitter @gugachacra , no Facebook Guga Chacra (me adicionem como seguidor), no Instagram e no Google Plus. Escrevam para mim no  gugachacra at outlook.com. Leiam também o blog do Ariel Palacios

13 May 16:37

Message to a Graduate

by Grant