Those who are keen on the principle of Occam’s Razor [“Pluralitas non est ponenda sine necessitate” or “Plurality is not to be posited without necessity” or “Keep it simple”] may be surprised, perhaps even dismayed, by a new research project which hints at its unpopularity.
“[…] we find that people have a preference for complex explanations […]”
– explain Jeffrey C. Zemla, Steven Sloman, Christos Bechlivanidis and David A. Lagnado in a new report for Psychonomic Bulletin & Review (March 2017) entitled : ‘Evaluating everyday explanations’.
The team’s experimental research, using a corpus of diverse explanations from Reddit’s “Explain Like I’m Five” (and other online sources) revealed unexpected findings :
“A guiding principle in explanatory reasoning is that of Occam’s Razor: All things being equal, the simplest hypothesis should be preferred. Thus, we initially predicted a negative correlation between subjective complexity and explanation quality. Surprisingly, we observed a positive correlation, with explanations that were rated as more complex also rated as better explanations (R = .49, p =.03)”
Following on from this, the team have a proposal :
“We propose that this preference for complexity is driven by a desire to identify enough causes to make the effect seem inevitable.”


.png)
Ma questo significa che con ogni probabilità Gaia e Gioia non sarebbero state comunque macellate… Peccato che il gender ormai ci pervada tutti.



Last year Google Project Zero researcher Tavis Ormandy quickly found some "obvious" security problems in the popular password manager LastPass, and now he's done it again. Last week Ormandy mentioned finding an exploit in one version of its extension...

