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28 May 13:08

Hurricane season continues to look like it will be an arduous slog

by Matt Lanza

Headlines

  • NOAA has unveiled their prediction for the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season, and to no one’s surprise, it’s active.
  • They predict an 85 percent chance of an above normal season with 17 to 25 named storms and 8 to 13 hurricanes.
  • There’s a Caribbean disturbance that is headed out to sea, unlikely to develop, and we may have another one there in about 10 days or so.

First off, apologies for the gap between posts, though it’s not as if anything has been going on in the tropics of late. The derecho event here in Houston has monopolized most of my time and resources, and while we were thankfully ok at my location, many others in Houston are not. Here’s to yet another recovery for this city. So on that happy note, let’s discuss hurricane season again.

NOAA’s seasonal hurricane forecast is big

NOAA has unveiled their seasonal hurricane outlook today, and it’s a doozy (Editor’s note: I used the same intro for the Colorado State hurricane outlook last month). First, the numbers.

  • An 85 percent chance of an above normal season
  • 17 to 25 named storms
  • 8 to 13 hurricanes
  • 4 to 7 major hurricanes
  • Accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) 150 to 245% of the median

In other words, busy.

There are a number of factors involved in this: We are transitioning into a La Niña event in the Pacific, we are in a background state of above normal tropical activity that likely began in 1995, and sea surface temperatures in much of the tropical Atlantic are at record levels and are running near late August averages. That isn’t a typo. Dr. Kim Wood at the University of Arizona and Michael Lowry in South Florida have been two of many prominent voices sounding the alarm on this for months now.

Sea-surface temperatures in the main development region of the tropical Atlantic are sitting at record levels and are more typical of a later August 1991-2020 average. (Kim Wood, U of Arizona)

Wood has sea-surface temperature maps for various sub-basins of the Atlantic, and while the Gulf of Mexico is only running about 2 to 3 weeks ahead of schedule, the basin overall is running near August levels. The Caribbean? That’s even worse, running *above* peak average sea-surface temperatures for the entire year. Already.

We can hope for a 2010-like outcome, where it was a busy season but most storms avoided land (with a couple notably tragic exceptions). But given these sorts of antecedent conditions coming into the season, this would be a favorable outcome.

The NOAA outlook, combined with virtually every other hurricane season outlook is saying this year will be busy. It may or may not be busy for you, but we are getting to the point where there aren’t a whole lot of ways to describe any of this that in non-hyperbole. The bottom line is that this is the year to be prepared if you live anywhere on the coast. Just in case.

Watching the Caribbean, sort of

And with that, we have a disturbance to keep tabs on in the Caribbean already.

Thankfully, this disturbance only has about a 10 percent chance of developing and is expected to head out to sea anyway. (NOAA)

Looking at satellite, there’s not a whole heck of a lot to this one. There’s definitely a “center” of the disturbance near the eastern tip of Cuba, but it’s on the way east and northeast. So it will be out in the open water before too long.

A tropical disturbance near the eastern tip of Cuba will head out to sea with about a 10 percent chance to develop into a formal tropical system. (Tropical Tidbits)

Ten percent seems like reasonable odds for development at this point, but no impacts of note are expected even if it does form.

Otherwise, things look quiet for another week or so. We may have another disturbance to watch in the Caribbean in about 10 days or so. We’ll keep you posted on that.

26 May 15:09

Saturday Morning Breakfast Cereal - Energy

by Zach Weinersmith


Click here to go see the bonus panel!

Hovertext:
Look he's not good at backgrounds but he's trying. Give him a hug.


Today's News:
26 May 15:07

Alan Shoemaker has been located!

by mike@mikemcguff.com (mikemcguff)
I have received many questions about the whereabouts of former abc13 KTRK Houston meteorologist Alan Shoemaker.Thanks to reader Toban, Shoemaker has been found at KOB 4 Albuquerque, New Mexico, where he has been since November 2023. My El Paso readers will recognize former KTSM 9 News anchor Trevor Thompson who is now the KOB evening anchor.After leaving KRGV Channel 5 News in the Rio Grande
24 May 22:46

Report: School Shootings Either Way Down Or Too Depressing For Media To Cover

WASHINGTON—Shedding light on the possible reasons for a dip in such news coverage, a report released Friday found that school shootings were either way down or too depressing for the media to cover. “Really, there are two possibilities here: It could be that there’s been some remarkable progress on getting guns out…

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24 May 22:46

DOJ Sues Live Nation For Ticketmaster Monopoly

The Department of Justice filed an antitrust lawsuit seeking to break up Live Nation, which controls 80% of ticketing at major concert venues through Ticketmaster, alleging that it monopolizes the live events industry. What do you think?

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24 May 22:45

Biden Bounces Back In Polls As Americans Notice Netflix Added A Few Good Shows Recently

WASHINGTON—With his approval rating recovering among people likely to vote in the 2024 election, President Joe Biden enjoyed a surge in the polls this week after Americans noticed Netflix had added a few good shows recently. “It appears that the tide is finally turning in Biden’s favor now that voters have stumbled…

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24 May 16:47

Dallas’ low camera angle allows viewers chance to imagine what may be happening along nearside boards

by Luke Gordon Field

DALLAS – Viewers watching the Edmonton Oilers defeat the Dallas Stars in double overtime were treated to a special vantage point last night: a low camera angle that makes it impossible to see what is happening within 5 feet of the near boards, thus allowing all of our imaginations to soar with possibilities. “I’ve always […]

The post Dallas’ low camera angle allows viewers chance to imagine what may be happening along nearside boards appeared first on The Beaverton.

24 May 16:46

Mechanical-Armed Grimes Flees Elon Musk Compound With Five Wives In Stolen Cybertruck

CHIHUAHUAN DESERT, TX—Tearing through the desert wasteland with a fleet of self-driving Tesla Model 3s in pursuit, a mechanical-armed Grimes reportedly fled Elon Musk’s compound Friday with five of the tech leader’s wives in the back of a stolen Cybertruck. Grimes is said to have floored the accelerator and thrown…

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24 May 14:50

Saturday Morning Breakfast Cereal - Ethics

by Zach Weinersmith


Click here to go see the bonus panel!

Hovertext:
Quick thankyou to patreon subscriber/friend Dave Luebke for making this joke more legible.


Today's News:
24 May 14:47

More like late July than late May in Houston for Memorial Day Weekend

by Matt Lanza

In brief: Summer’s here, and through Memorial Day you will find little to no relief in the area. From there, the weather pattern may get a little more unsettled next week, but nothing stands out that we can hang our hat on just yet.

I know that no one wants to talk about hurricane season after last week, but NOAA’s extremely active seasonal forecast released yesterday should remind us to plan for the season to come. We wrote about their forecast and the current state of the tropics yesterday at our companion site, The Eyewall. We’ll be updating that site every day or two going forward as the weather requires.

NOAA’s hurricane outlook has been published since 1999, and this is the most active one they’ve issued. (NOAA)

For those struggling with continued poor air quality thanks to the haze and smoke from agricultural fires in Central America and Mexico, I don’t think we will see much relief this weekend. I am hopeful we get a shift in wind next week though.

Yesterday’s low temperature at Hobby Airport was 80 degrees, the third time already we’ve failed to drop below that mark this year. We’ve already tied for the earliest first 80 degree morning on record at Hobby this year, on May 21st, matching the previous record set in 2022. We are running about a month and a half ahead of normal, for whatever “normal” is worth anymore. Today will be the seventh morning where the low temperature has failed to drop below 78 degrees, which sets a new record at Hobby for the most before June 1st. We should add at least three or four more days to that before we get a wee bit of relief next week just before the calendar changes.

Anyway, I write all this to say that this is not a normal start to summer. It’s hitting strong and fast. And don’t be shocked to see a heat advisory this weekend. Practice heat safety this weekend. Yeah, it’s Houston and it’s always hot in summer. But we are not yet acclimated to these temperatures for the season, so heat illness can come on quick and unexpectedly. Some of us are still cleaning up from last week or even still without power. Check on those folks, keep your pets cool, and look before you lock.

Today through Sunday

The front portion of the holiday weekend looks partly to mostly sunny and hot. Expect highs in the mid-90s and lows near 80, or essentially normal weather for late July, not late May.

National Weather Service “Heat Risk” maps show pockets of “extreme” heat on Sunday very near the Houston area, becoming more widespread south of San Antonio. (NOAA NWS)

I would not be entirely floored to see an isolated thunderstorm roll through areas north of Houston, perhaps as close as The Woodlands or Magnolia. Most people will not see one, but if you do, it could rain hard for a short time, with lightning, gusty winds, or even some hail. Again, this is most likely to be isolated and north of Highway 105, but perhaps as close as Montgomery or northern Harris County.

Memorial Day

This should be the hottest day of the stretch. Expect mid to upper 90s and a mix of sun and clouds with just a slight chance of a late shower or storm north and west.

Monday’s high temperature will push into the middle or upper-90s. Maximum heat precautions should be taken. (Pivotal Weather)

Sunday and Monday’s heat will border on “extreme” levels, so maximum heat precautions should be taken here.

Rest of next week

Things start to change a bit next week. Temperatures will shift to become a little “less hot,” which means more like low-90s than mid-90s. Nighttime lows may drift back more into the mid-70s. A series of disturbances may try to erode away the northeast portion of the ridge of high pressure over Texas, so that could be just enough to fire back up some thunderstorms after Monday. I don’t even want to begin to speculate on timing or details or any of that. Just know that the stagnant pattern of this weekend may change a bit next week.

24 May 14:38

A Rejection Letter for Heart of Darkness, Written by Dani Hatcher—the Sixteen-Year-Old Daughter of Laura Hatcher, Senior Editor at Random House—Who Has Been Freaky Friday-ed into Laura’s Body

by Brett Rosenberg

Dear Joseph (we’re both adults, so I can call you by your first name),

I regret to inform you that we cannot accept your book Heart of Darkness for publication. I loved how short it was, but I hated how dumb it was.

Your story makes no sense. Marlow—is that a first name? Last name? Beyoncé situation?—spends the whole time being like, “Oh no, it keeps getting darker as I go down this boring-ass river, which I could have predicted because I’m going toward a place literally called the heart of darkness.”

Just turn around and go home, dude! It’s not like you went to Great Wall Szechuan with your gorgeous daughter and your loser boyfriend, Gary, and you and Dani got in a fight in front of Jake with the great bangs, and then you read the same fortune cookie at the same time just as lightning struck the restaurant, which made you switch bodies and now you’re stuck. That’s a real problem with some actual stakes. And as my shining daughter’s English teacher, Mrs. Dotmore, always says, without stakes, a story is just a bore-y. Mrs. Dotmore has six cats.

Take this stupid quote of yours that, for some reason, people seem to be into: “We live, as we dream—alone.” You have got to be kidding me. Everywhere my righteous daughter tries to go, I’m there. Dani is trying to listen to music in her room? I need to put away laundry right now. Dani is at soccer practice? Better yell at her to get into our busted Toyota RAV4 rather than just letting her get a ride with Courtney, who has her license and drives her mom’s Tesla. Dani is trying to chat about the existential threat of climate change with Jake, who did I mention plays the bass? Better text her literally a million times about the B-minus Mrs. Dotmore gave her last paper for “not having enough adjectives,” which was diabolical, unconstitutional, and bitchass. Dude, Marlow—being alone is the dream.

Joe, want to know what the actual heart of darkness is? Menopause. Jesus, Joey. The horror! The horror! I’m sweating, and then I’m freezing, and then I’m angry, and then I want to punch a wall and have my hair stroked by someone named Mark Harmon. WHO THE FUCK IS MARK HARMON? I honestly now get why I’m such a dick all the time to my opalescent daughter. Mrs. Dotmore gave Dani’s second-to-last paper a C for “incongruous use of adjectives.” What a fibrous jagweed.

I know that I’ve mentioned Dani a bunch. But I kind of have to, because your dumbass book comes nowhere near passing the Bechdel test. I get you were born in 1857, but this is all some white cis-het bullshit. Also, are you serious with how you talk about Black people? I mean, cannibals, seriously? It’s not the olden days anymore. It’s not 1995. Mrs. Dotmore made my incandescent daughter read Chinua Achebe, and that dude gets it. I think Mrs. Dotmore is married to a ficus.

See, while I often use words like “ungrateful,” “naïve,” and “in need of a new haircut that doesn’t hide her beautiful eyes” to describe my bodacious daughter, I also know that Dani just wants me to understand, without her ever having to say it out loud, that she actually listens to a bunch of the crap I say. She knows deep down that college boys will be way more interesting than Jake and his tattoo that says “keep calm and eat vegan” in Arabic, and she knows that—unlike your dumbass Kurtz, whose toxic masculinity made him, like, imperialize a bunch of people—I’m actually kind of a role model for girls like my impeccable daughter who want to claim their power and be their own boss. Though I’m not a role model in the boyfriend department. Gary suuuuuucks.

This is the concluding paragraph. I am telling you this because Mrs. Dotmore, who just won the Powerball and is stupidly staying at her job “for the children,” told my incomparable daughter she was getting a C-minus on her next paper for lack of topic sentences. So, here’s another topic sentence for you: I did not like your book, because it sucked butt.

Bitchily yours,
Laura Hatcher, Senior Editor at Some Random House

24 May 13:37

A blurry photo of the legendary USB Cart of Death

by Raymond Chen

Some time ago, I talked about the USB Cart of Death. This appears to have drawn a lot of attention, with some people wanting to see a picture of this fearsome assemblage of hardware.

Commenter “dimples” found an old promotional video for the Windows NT build process, and at time code 4:21, there’s a brief appearance of the USB Cart of Death.

The USB Cart of Death

That’s the steering wheel on the left, and a horrible tangle of USB devices on the right.

In that interview, we briefly talked about the bluescreen error at a Windows 98 demo. Commenter patrickm.635 explained (which I partially corroborated with another source) that the development team had a scanner that they had tested and validated in the lab. However, the demo team didn’t use that scanner. Instead, the demo team went to a local electronics store and bought a scanner off the shelf.

Oh great, so now we’re running a demo of beta code, with hardware that’s never been tested, using a protocol specification whose ink is barely dry.

On stage, during the USB power negotiation, the scanner reported itself as a bus-powered device (meaning that it promised not to draw more than 500mW), but it ended up exceeding this limit. This faulty hardware triggered an untested error condition, and that caused the bluescreen.

Of course, they didn’t know at the time that that’s why the system crashed. They only discovered this after bringing the offending scanner back to Redmond and debugging what went wrong.

As a painful reminder of this error condition, the scanner was mounted on a World War II infantry helmet and worn by one of the engineering managers to the War Room meetings for the remainder of the project.

The post A blurry photo of the legendary USB Cart of Death appeared first on The Old New Thing.

24 May 13:29

Trudeau startled by UK news that long-standing, deeply-unpopular governments must eventually hold elections

by Mark Hill

OTTAWA – According to sources in 24 Sussex Drive, Justin Trudeau was taken aback after learning that Rishi Sunak, the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, has called a July election despite somehow being even less popular than he is. “Isn’t he polling terribly? The British Conservatives will get creamed, why would he call an—oh, […]

The post Trudeau startled by UK news that long-standing, deeply-unpopular governments must eventually hold elections appeared first on The Beaverton.

24 May 13:29

Study Finds 63% Of Construction Sites Just Group Of Friends Who Wanted To Play With Jackhammer

NEW YORK—Sharing the results of a nationwide study commissioned by industry trade group the New York Building Congress, researchers published findings on Thursday that showed 63% of all construction sites are just a group of friends who want to play with a jackhammer. “Contrary to popular assumption, the majority of…

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24 May 13:28

Jerky, 7-Fingered Scarlett Johansson Appears In Video To Express Full-Fledged Approval Of OpenAI

SAN FRANCISCO—In response to allegations that the artificial intelligence research organization used the actress’s voice without consent, a jerky, seven-fingered Scarlett Johansson appeared in a video Thursday to express her full-fledged approval of OpenAI. “It is me, Scar Johnson, to express to the internet that…

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24 May 13:28

Kristi Noem Forced To Drive 500 Miles Around Tribal Land To Pick Up Dry Cleaning

PIERRE, SD—Furrowing her brow at the clock as she pressed down harder on the gas pedal, South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem was reportedly forced to drive 500 miles around tribal land Thursday in order to pick up her dry cleaning. “I really wish I’d known I was going to be banned before I dropped this stuff off last week,”…

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24 May 13:28

Study Finds Daily Marijuana Use Outpaces Alcohol In U.S.

A study based on the National Survey on Drug Use and Health found that more people in the United States use marijuana daily than alcohol, with 17.7 million people reporting using pot daily or nearly every day. What do you think?

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24 May 13:27

Everyone In ER Bit Off Finger While Holding Sandwich

INDIANAPOLIS—Admitted with complaints that it had been hard to tell the difference between their fingers and their food, everyone in Unity Medical Center emergency room Friday had bitten a digit off their hand while holding a sandwich, according to hospital officials. “At the present time, every bed in our ER is…

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24 May 13:27

Cicada Emergence Results In Increase In Odd Kids Filling Satchels With Molted Shells While Mumbling

WASHINGTON—With trillions of periodical cicadas returning after years underground, the U.S. Forest Service confirmed Friday that the emergence of two broods this spring had led to a significant uptick in odd little children filling satchels with the insects’ molted shells while mumbling under their breath. “This is…

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24 May 13:27

FDA Recalls 50 Million Pounds Of Ground Meat Just To See What That Much Ground Meat Would Look Like In One Room

SILVER SPRING, MD—In an effort to gain insight into the food product, the Food and Drug Administration announced Friday it had recalled 50 million pounds of ground meat just to see what that much ground meat would look like in one room. “Effective immediately, we’re issuing a recall on any ground meat produced in…

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24 May 11:57

where are you now? (a call for updates)

by Ask a Manager

This post was written by Alison Green and published on Ask a Manager.

It’s mid-year updates season!

If you’ve had your question answered here in the past, please email me an update and let us know how your situation turned out. Did you take the advice? Did you not take the advice? What happened? How’s your situation now?  (Don’t post your updates here though; email them to me.)

Your update doesn’t have to be positive or big to be worth submitting. We want to hear them all, even if you don’t think yours is that interesting.

And if there’s anyone you especially want to hear an update from, mention it here and I’ll reach out to those people directly.

24 May 11:57

my friend is in trouble for attendance issues caused by her dad being sick

by Ask a Manager

This post was written by Alison Green and published on Ask a Manager.

A reader writes:

I’m wondering if you have any advice on encouraging a coworker (or former coworker) to stand up for themselves. I have a feeling there’s not a lot I can do, but I feel so helpless watching this situation.

My former coworker and friend, Jane, is still at the job where we met. It’s not the worst employment situation I’ve ever heard of, but they keep salaries low, are extremely cliquey, and encourage in-fighting among staff. HR is primarily concerned with pressuring employees to give up federally protected rights, spreading confidential information, and micromanaging people’s clock in/out times.

Jane’s father is in hospice. He is unfortunately terminal and is unlikely to be around for very much longer. She is in her late 20s, so still quite young to be losing a parent. Due to the distressing nature of this, she had some issues with attendance as she tried to balance her ill father and multiple jobs. HR’s response to this was to place her on a PIP for attendance. Am I crazy to think this is totally bananapants and unbelievably unsympathetic? (I only left this job a few months ago, and I’m unsure how much it warped my idea of what is normal.) I get that it is technically allowed, but I can’t imagine my new team or company doing this — I’m hard pressed to think it’s now the professional standard.

I’ve encouraged her to look into FMLA and various forms of paid (or unpaid) time off to be with her father, but she’s extremely averse to conflict. Additionally, I’m fairly new to the corporate world and I’m unsure whether I’m giving the right advice or if I need to be more specific. I’ve tried to encourage her to look for new jobs but with so much going on obviously now is not a great time for that.

Because of her nature and now being placed on a PIP, she’s concerned about bringing it up or pushing back on these circumstances at all. For various reasons, she can’t afford to be without a full-time job for long and she’s also relatively inexperienced in the professional world. I think while she values my support she’s unsure if she can take my advice seriously (I’m a bit younger but a little more world weary, having been on my own since I was 17 years old). I’m wondering if someone with more experience than either of us confirming this is indeed insane would help give her a push.

(To be clear, she is in no way integral to the functioning of the company. The team could absolutely handle her taking a week or two off. They are griping about being short staffed but they just walked out an employee on the team who put in their two weeks, for no reason other than to make some kind of point? None of us under the manager that runs that team had or have access to confidential information/trade secrets.)

Is the answer simply “you can lead a horse to water but you can’t make it drink”? Or is there something I’m missing beyond general advice-giving?

Do you know exactly what the attendance issues have been? If it’s just that she’s missed some work because her dad is terminally ill, then yes, her company is being horrible. They instead should be talking to her about options for time off (including things like FMLA).

On the other hand, if it’s something like she’s missed work without alerting anyone she’d be out, or that her presence at work has been unreliable without talking to anyone about the reason why … well, she still shouldn’t be on a PIP if they now understand what’s happening; they should be explaining what they need on her end (like an alert when she’ll be out, to the extent that’s realistic) and what her options are for time off.

You mentioned some of the attendance issues may have stemmed from working multiple jobs; if that’s been part of it, that’s going to draw a less sympathetic response. Either way, her dad is still dying and they should assume she’s devastated and not working at optimal capacity, and they should be trying to work with her on getting everyone’s needs met, not being punitive. But some of this depends on how much has been “my dad is sick” versus “I’m working multiple jobs” (as well as on how much of the situation with her dad has been communicated to them).

As for what she should do from here, you’re absolutely right that she should be inquiring about FMLA. Some things to know about FMLA: to be eligible for it, her company needs to have 50+ employees and she needs to have worked there for at least a year and have worked at least 1,250 hours during that year. But if she meets those requirements, FMLA should be her next step since it will protect her job while she’s out for dad-related reasons. It’s not adversarial to use FMLA! It’s there for exactly situations like this. And that PIP is her company telling her that she risks getting fired if something doesn’t change; one thing it would be smart to change is the legal framework they’re using for that leave, and FMLA will do that.

24 May 11:57

I got rid of my office’s furniture by mistake, is combined PTO better than separate sick and vacation time, and more

by Ask a Manager

This post was written by Alison Green and published on Ask a Manager.

It’s four answers to four questions. Here we go…

1. I got rid of my office’s furniture by mistake

We downsized our office recently, and I was in charge of getting rid of all the excess furniture. I’ll admit, I probably could have paid better attention in the one (one!!!) meeting we had that showed the new floor plan, but the thing that was really emphasized to me was which offices and rooms we were getting rid of. It was a lot and I was able to put it off because the start date kept getting delayed to “TBD,” until we got a week’s notice that construction would begin and I had to call a company to remove everything.

It was a pain getting a company on such short notice, especially since the removal had to be after hours per our building’s policy. I was also still sorting what tech could stay and go and juggling my usual job duties at the same time. All this to say, I was very stressed and distant from our initial meeting discussing everything and (since I had zero oversight on me) I marked way too much stuff to be taken because I thought there would be absolutely no room for it post-downsizing.

I’ve just come into the office now and I see that we have a new conference room to replace our two that were lost (so now we have one large and one medium conference room) as well as a long blank hall leading to our CEO and CFO’s offices. We had furniture that would have fit there in excess, but I got rid of it all (and paid for the privilege!) so now those areas are completely empty and we have no extra furniture to put there.

I have no idea what to do. Clearly my boss hasn’t been into the office in a while or I’m sure he’d have said something. Do I own up to it? Try to find replacement furniture so I have a solution when I do? Or just wait until he says something about it?

Right now I’m freaking out and wondering how many part-time jobs I’ll have to take on to make rent once I’m fired for making such an expensive mistake, so I’d really appreciate any advice you can give.

You need to own up to it right away, not wait for your manager to notice on his own! Not saying anything would make the original mistake worse.

For example, you could say: “I’m not sure what happened! I didn’t realize we’d have two conference rooms and that long hall to furnish, and was more focused on making sure we didn’t have too much furniture still with us post-move. Now those areas are empty; we need conference tables and chairs at least.” If you can’t credibly say you didn’t realize those areas would exist because you were shown them and just forgot, then the framing is more: “I’m not sure what happened, but somehow my calculations didn’t include enough furniture for XYZ. The conference rooms and hallway are currently empty. I realize this was my mistake, and I’m mortified. What’s the best way for me to fix this?”

But own up to it, and take responsibility. The fact that there was no oversight may have been a mistake on their side, but on your side it sounds like you were pretty haphazard about it (for example, normally with a task like that you’d ensure you had your own copy of the new floor plan and were mapping everything out). It’s unlikely to be a firing offense if you take responsibility for it, but it’s more likely to become one if you (a) don’t speak up right away so a solution can be found and/or (b) don’t take ownership for what happened and for getting it fixed.

Read an update to this letter.

2. Is combined PTO better than separate sick and vacation time?

My company “LittleCorp” is going through a merger into “MediumBiz.” The question has been raised whether to continue MediumBiz’s practice of five weeks Paid Time Off (PTO) to cover both vacation and sick time, or to move more to what LittleCorp has done: unlimited sick time, but only two or three weeks of paid vacation (depending on seniority).

Several folks see the five weeks of PTO and want that extra vacation time, and I can understand that. Especially since Covid, people have gotten sick a lot *less* because of distancing and we’re mostly WFH now.

However, prior to Covid, LittleCorp had cramped office quarters and a terrible culture of coming to work while sick. All of us got sick multiple times a year as some new disease ripped through the office. Technically this is a “management” problem of not enforcing “stay home if you’re sick,” but combining vacation and sick time into PTO would seem to set up a perverse incentive to come to work while sick to “save” those vacation days.

What say you? Which is better? Less vacation time, but more sick time? Or just combine ’em?

There’s no one correct answer to this. Different people have different (strongly held) opinions, and no matter what you do, some people are going to think you made the wrong decision and will be upset about it.

That said, I hate policies that combine sick and vacation leave into one overall PTO bucket. It’s great for people who never get sick; they get the maximum amount of vacation. It’s bad for people to do get sick more often (or who have kids); they feel pressure not to plan out time for vacation because they know they’ll need to hold on to those days for sickness. On the other hand, two weeks of vacation is bare-bones level stingy, and it won’t make you competitive or seen as having good benefits. Three weeks, at any level, is the absolute minimum I’d consider. Can you do a minimum of three weeks for everyone (more with seniority) plus unlimited sick time? That’s where I’d land if forced to pick.

Another complication: If this means people who used to get five weeks of vacation under MediumBiz’s policy (because they rarely got sick) are suddenly only getting three, those people are going to feel they got a paycut. The more generous you can be in plotting out vacation minimums, the better this will go.

3. Break room HVAC system aggravation

I’ve been employed by a small business for many years, and the president also owns the building. Unfortunately, routine maintenance isn’t a priority (outdated and inefficient equipment is not replaced unless it is forced, and there is no hot water in our office, for example). A few years back, an HVAC system was installed in the break room, which doubles as a file storage area. Before this, the room was intolerable during summer and winter, especially for spending an extended length of time in, such as my lunch hour. I once measured the temperature at the break room table to be 95 degrees in July. It’s important to note that it’s just the president and me working in this part of the building, and he never uses the break room. Our service technicians come in about twice a year to work from here, and at that time the boss orders lunch for everyone. In short, I’m practically the only person utilizing the space.

The HVAC system had issues since the start, and ultimately my boss stopped placing service calls on it, so it failed to heat or cool from the summer of 2022 to December 2023. I can have my lunch there during spring and fall when temperatures are pleasant, but in the extreme heat or cold, I would have to sit at my desk or go elsewhere for my lunch hour. During lunch, I work on other interests and make phone calls, and prefer not to do that at my desk so I can have some privacy. So in December, when it was extremely cold, I asked if he would consider having a technician check the system. Right after that, I fell ill with Covid and missed a week of work. During my absence, it was decided that the unit needed replacing, and my boss proceeded with it.

A couple of months later, I decided to visit a nearby Free Little Library during my lunch break. After eating in the break room, I left to exchange some books. When I returned to the office, it was about 5-10 minutes before my lunch hour ended, so I sat in my car and replied to a few texts. Upon re-entering the office, my boss confronted me, asking flippantly, “Is there something wrong with the heater in the back?” Confused, I assured him it was functioning well. He responded, “How come I just spent $4000 on it if you are just going to keep sitting in your car during lunch?” I was taken aback, because that day was the first time I had left the premises during my lunch in several weeks. I explained that I had taken about 20 minutes to eat lunch in the break room, then went to exchange some library books, and when I returned spent the remaining time in my car to return some texts to my family. His response was that he had paid for that system for me.

It’s spring now, and the lovely weather is enticing me to spend my lunch hour outdoors at a nearby park. The thought of spending nine hours confined to the office without the freedom to eat elsewhere or attend to personal tasks, all for fear of arousing my boss’s anger or seeming ungrateful, leaves me with regrets about raising the HVAC issue back in December. Should I have stayed silent? Or is it reasonable for me to choose where I spend my lunch hour, despite the fact that my boss says he invested in the HVAC system primarily for my comfort? Notably, there is no policy in our handbook that forbids leaving during lunch.

It was reasonable for you to raise the issue originally, and he’s just being a grump now. Part of operating an office space is having a working HVAC system. Or, if for some reason he’d decided to abandon heating and cooling the break room, he could have simply told you that — as in, “Sorry, we can’t prioritize the break room’s HVAC right now so it might not be usable during extreme temperatures for a while.” Or he could have said, “How often do you use it? It’s expensive to fix and I’d rather hold off if you’re only in there sporadically, but I’ll do it if it’s a space you want to use regularly.” Any of those would have been better than grousing at you because you didn’t use it once in three weeks.

All that said, I wonder if you’re putting more weight on his comment than you should. He’s probably not tracking exactly where you spend your lunch hour every day, just happened to notice the one day you weren’t in there, doesn’t realize that’s not your normal M.O., and is now wondering why he paid to make it habitable if you don’t use it regularly, given his overall cheapness. But he also might never bring it up again after his one cranky outburst.

As for how you should handle it, if it comes up again, say this: “I don’t spend my entire lunch break in the break room every day of the year. Often I do, though, especially when the weather is bad, so it really helps that it’s usable again.”

4. Employers ghost me after requesting lengthy tests and projects

I work in media. It is standard to be asked to complete an “edit test” after the first interview. These range from three-hour timed tests to three-day projects.

I am consistently ghosted after these tests. Obviously, I understand that this means they’re not moving forward with me, but after preparing (usually for a day) for a test or project or memo and completing it, I expect a polite rejection email. Most recently, I’ve been following up via email a week or two after these tests and homework and I STILL GET NO RESPONSE.

Is there a way to force a “sorry, we didn’t pick you” from these people or do I just have to accept this rudeness over and over? I should add that I have 15 years of experience in my field and am surprised to be rejected after an edit test. I’ve written for some of the largest, widest-read publications in the country and I know I do a very good job on said tests.

There is no way to force a response from them. What they’re doing is rude and unprofessional (although very common) but you don’t have any power or leverage to make them respond to you. You’re better off figuring that their silence is their response (which it is — it’s a rejection — just a particularly rude one).

That said, a three-day unpaid project is ridiculous. If that’s the norm of your field and all the most desirable employers are in your field are doing that, you probably can’t do anything about it unless your skills are especially in demand … but in general, it’s very reasonable to decline to do three days of unpaid work.

24 May 11:39

Can Black Holes Unify General Relativity & Quantum Mechanics?

by PBS Space Time

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Black holes are inevitable predictions of general relativity—our best theory of space, time and gravity. But they clash in multiple ways with quantum mechanics, our equally successful description of the subatomic world. One such clash is the black hole information paradox—and a proposed solution—black hole complementarity—may forced us to radically rethink what it even means to say that something to exists.

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23 May 16:17

what are the strangest things you’ve seen in resumes and cover letters?

by Ask a Manager

This post was written by Alison Green and published on Ask a Manager.

Let’s discuss the weirdest things you’ve seen on resumes and in cover letters.

To kick us off, some highlights from past commenters:

  • One of my coworkers once received a super long cover letter that included the fact that the candidate had been proudly celibate for several years.
  • A college student applied for a summer internship by sending us copies of love letters he wrote to his high school crush as a proof of his writing skills.
  • A very light resume in the work history section, but a very detailed Karate section.
  • Listed in the “interests” section of a managerial candidate’s resume: “shitting.” Candidate called us shortly after applying, apologizing up one side and down the other because he’d just realized that his teenage son had made an unauthorized edit to his resume.
  • I once received a resume that contained a photo of the applicant. It was a formally posed shot of him standing in front of a bookshelf holding a book and looking thoughtfully into the distance. The same resume include a series of quotes about him from people he knew (think the kind of blurbs you find on book jackets). Unfortunately for him, I knew some of them as well and they confirmed they hadn’t either said those things or given him permission to use their names in his resume.
  • I will never forget the time we were hiring for a research assistant and indicated a preference for bilingual English/Spanish speakers. One applicant’s cover letter included: “I’m not bilingual or bisexual (that I know of).”
  • The candidate who listed “Birthed four children vaginally with no anesthetic” under “Other Experience.”

Please share the comments the oddest things you’ve seen on resumes and in cover letters!

23 May 16:14

What It Feels Like To Have ADHD

23 May 15:34

Houston City Council votes to sell nearly three acres of land containing White Oak Bayou to TxDOT 

by Colleen DeGuzman
Cowboy Who?

This is so sad. This is a truly beautiful green space. I used to ride that bake trail every day.

Council member Mario Castillo who represents District H and voted against the sale called the bayou “precious green space in the inner city that we’re not just making a lot of these days.” 
23 May 15:33

It’s official: Houston just experienced a derecho. What is that, and have we ever experienced one before?

by Matt Lanza

In brief: This post explains what a derecho is, where the term came from, and talks a bit about some past thunderstorms of note in Houston.

What is a derecho?

The National Weather Service has concluded that Thursday’s severe storms in Houston constituted a derecho. So what does that mean?

First off, it’s pronounced “deh-REY-cho.” Meteorologists have debated what the definition of one of these things actually is for years. And we still don’t have a concrete, universally accepted definition. However, progress was made after a 2011 storm that hit the Southeast and a 2012 derecho that ravaged the Mid-Atlantic and Midwest to work toward something more widely accepted. Ultimately, NOAA/NWS defines a derecho as a continuous or intermittent path of wind damage from a squall line of thunderstorms, bow echo, or quasi-linear convective system (QLCS) that extends at least 400 miles and is at least 60 miles wide. In other words: It’s a swath of wind damage from mostly non-tornadic thunderstorms that extends for 400+ miles and is at least 60 miles wide.

What makes it different than typical severe thunderstorms?

A derecho, as noted above can be a squall line, bow echo, or QLCS. We get several of those types of events every year in Houston. What sets a derecho apart is the wind damage. It’s not normal. It’s not a couple trees on power lines. It’s a lot of wind damage over a long path.

Are all derechos the same?

No! Derecho events are broken down into three categories: Serial, progressive, and hybrid. A serial derecho is basically where you have one giant squall line that is hundreds of miles long with multiple embedded bow echoes producing widespread wind damage. A progressive derecho is the one we experienced in Houston last week that is typically no more than about 250 miles wide. You also have hybrid outcomes, which basically share characteristics of the two others.

Why is it called a derecho?

According to NOAA, Dr. Gustavus Hinrichs, who was a professor at the University of Iowa coined the term in 1888. The literal Spanish translation of derecho is “straight ahead” or “direct” or even “right.” Here’s where the etymology gets kind of fun. “Tornado” derives from the Spanish “tronada,” which literally means thunderstorm. But there is also a Spanish word “tornado” which essentially means “twisted,” and it derives from the Spanish verb “tornar,” which means “to twist.” So essentially, Hinrichs took the “opposite” of twisted and decided that derecho (or “straight”) would be a good way to distinguish tornado-like wind damage that was not caused by a tornado.

Are derechos common?

The short answer is: Kind of. The most recent derecho prior to Thursday’s in Houston occurred back on April 1-2 from just west of Missouri through West Virginia. A storm that almost met derecho criteria occurred just this past weekend in Kansas and Missouri. There were derechos in 2023, 2022 in Canada, 2021, and so on. In fact, the quad-state area around Kansas, Missouri, Arkansas, and Oklahoma northeast of Tulsa averages more than one derecho per year.

A climatology of derechos. Houston technically falls under the once every 2 to 4 year categorization, but that may be a bit generous. Often they just start around here or mostly pass to our north. (NOAA)

Derechos are most common in May, June, and July. Keep in mind that a lot of the areas that see derechos every 1 to 2 years are more rural, so it’s likely you hear less about them than when they hit places like Chicago or DC or Houston directly, causing billions in damage.

You can read about a bunch of pre-2012 events across the country here. Some even occur out West. I was introduced to derechos when I worked in Upstate New York early in my career. The memories of the 1998 Syracuse derecho were still incredibly sharp, much like Houstonians will remember last week’s. That was followed up by a second derecho event that moved from Michigan to New York City. The 1995 Adirondack derecho (or Adirondack blowdown) was responsible for knocking over more than half the trees in 100,000 acres of Adirondack Park.

The Houston area’s history with derechos and thunderstorm wind events

There are a few thunderstorm wind events and derechos that have stood the test of time in this area. First and foremost was just last summer when a squall line delivered a 97 mph wind gust to Bush Airport.

Damage from the June 2023 storms in Montgomery County (Susanna Sovran Cronin)

That storm on June 21st was one in a series last June that caused damage across the area. It was not a derecho, but it certainly caused severe damage north of downtown Houston.

A storm system in 2002 did a good bit of damage, including to the I-10/Gessner area, according to the Houston Chronicle’s archives. Just shy of $1 million in damage was reported with fortunately no injuries.

In early May 1993, a powerful squall line knocked out power to 200,000 homes in Harris County and went on to rampage Galveston County, causing at least $50 million in damage and delivering a 98 mph wind gust to Scholes Field in Galveston.

The front page of the May 3, 1993 Galveston Daily News after a storm with winds as strong as 98 mph hammered areas southeast of Houston. (Galveston Daily News)

There was also an event the year after this in March that brought 100 mph winds to the less populous western end of Galveston Island.

Texas Boaters’ Derecho (May 1986)

While not Houston, the “Texas Boaters’ Derecho” of May 1986 makes the list of memorable derecho events in the United States. You can read a full summary of the event on page 20 of the May 1986 NOAA StormData publication.

A map of the path of the May 17, 1986 Texas Boaters’ Derecho (NOAA SPC)

It’s tough to find a lot of good information on how this particular event impacted Houston specifically, but it is infamous due to the fact that it drowned six. There was a fishing tournament and boat race on Lake Livingston that day when the storm hit, bringing winds estimated to be 90 mph and waves of 10 feet on the lake. Much like we see with the damage from this year’s derecho, there were pockets of more significant damage within a broad damage field during the 1986 storm.

May 1983 storms

Thanks to Bill Read for pointing this one out to us last week. Three years prior to the ’86 derecho, a particularly bad thunderstorm event impacted much of the Houston area.

Front page of the Galveston Daily News the day after 4 significant downburst events and 8 tornadoes tore across the Houston metro area on May 20, 1983. (Galveston Daily News)

According to NOAA’s May 1983 StormData, approximately four downburst events, including one over the city of Houston, combined with eight tornadoes for a deadly severe outbreak in our area. Winds were estimated at 75 mph or stronger in spots, with several transmission towers crumpled over, much like in this month’s event.

Houston Chronicle front page the day after the deadly May 1983 thunderstorms and tornadoes. (Houston Chronicle)

Over 300,000 customers were left without power in that storm, which would have been a bit less proportionally to this year’s storm. Winds were measured as strong as 110 mph during a tornado in Nederland, near Beaumont with this one. According to a Houston Chronicle recap of this event at the time, the spokesman for the Houston-Harris County Civil Defense stated that the damage was worse than in Hurricane Carla in 1961.

Maps (click to enlarge) showing the track of the bow echo from west of Brenham through Lake Charles and where the tornadoes and widespread wind damage occurred. (NOAA)

Approximately 10 people died with over 100 injured from this storm. Arguably, this was the previous worst non-hurricane wind storm in Houston until last week’s. It’s tough to find an official estimate on the damage caused by the May 1983 event, but it was likely in the tens of millions of dollars at the time.

Other events that seemed to garner some attention were a combination of severe storms and tornadoes on May 2, 1979, which primarily impacted western and northwestern parts of the area. On May 7 of 1976, significant wind damage occurred east and southeast of Houston, along with a few tornadoes nearby. The Exxon facility in Baytown apparently observed winds of 90 to 95 mph with considerable damage in that community. Back on June 4, 1962, a torrential squall line of storms seems to have had something of a similar impact on parts of the city as the recent derecho. Many people lost power, wind gusts hit at least 75 mph, and some windows were blown out downtown.

Houston Post front page form June 5, 1962 showing damage to the Windsor Plaza Shopping Center on Richmond, along with some other interesting items. (NewsBank)

While last week’s derecho was extreme by any real definition of Houston thunderstorms, I think we can assume that perhaps the return period on such a storm may be less than we might have thought. And Houston can now add destructive thunderstorm winds to a litany of periodic weather disasters including freezes, floods, hurricanes, extreme heat, and drought.

23 May 13:45

Tips To Increase Your Protein Intake

  • ​Brush Teeth With Greek Yogurt: It’s just a dollop on your toothbrush, but you’ll still swallow a bit of protein-rich yogurt instead of protein-free, cavity-fighting toothpaste.

Read more...

23 May 13:42

Heat continues toward a peak on Memorial Day, when highs reach the upper 90s

by Eric Berger

In brief: After a few mostly cloudy days we’ll see increasingly clear skies and this will help temperatures march upwards. We’ll go from highs in the low-90s today, to mid-90s this weekend to upper-90s by Memorial Day. After that a weak front will provide some modest relief.

Thursday

After a cloudy start we should see partly sunny skies this afternoon, and this should help to push high temperatures into the low-90s. Winds will blow from the south at 10 to 15 mph, with occasionally higher gusts. Once again, we should see some fairly strong storms develop in central Texas to the north of Austin. While these will propagate eastward, I expect them to remain north of Highway 105 once again, with no impact on the greater Houston metro area. Low temperatures tonight will only drop into the upper 70s.

Some severe storms will be possible, once again, far to the north of Houston later today. (NOAA)

Friday

A day very similar to Thursday, although high temperatures are likely to be a degree or two higher.

Saturday and Sunday

We’ll see mostly sunny skies this weekend, with high temperatures solidly in the mid-90s. We will be hitting our first highs above 95 degrees nearly three weeks earlier than normal, in case you were wondering whether this is typical weather for late May. It’s not. Nighttime lows remain sultry, around 80 degrees.

Wet bulb globe temperatures for this week. (Weather Bell)

Memorial Day

Everything comes together on Monday, sunny skies and the characteristic jump in temperatures associated with an approaching front, to push our highs into the upper 90s. If we look at wet bulb globe temperatures—a measure of heat stress in direct sunlight that takes into account air temperature, humidity, wind speed, sun angle, and cloud cover—we see the potential for an ‘extreme’ day in terms of heat. Please bear this in mind if you have outdoor activities planned.

Tuesday and beyond

We’ll see a slight chance of rain on Monday evening as the front approaches and moves through, but for now I don’t expect anything more than a dusting of showers. Highs next week look more reasonable, in the low 90s, with overnight lows perhaps in the mid-70s. We’ll also see some daily rain chances in the Wednesday through Saturday period, although they may be of the 20 percent daily variety. I’m not sure yet. In any case, the very end of May should see a bit of a return to normalcy.