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14 Jan 17:36

Why is this news?: Ohio State validates College Football Playoff committee, the Urban Meyer effect

by Ian Cuevas

All of today's big Ohio State news, in one helpful place.

"All we needed was a chance and we were able to show the world what we could do."

- Darryl Baldwin, via Jon Solomon, CBS Sports

Whatever you thought of the BCS system, whether it brings a positive connotation to you or a negative one, there's no question that the College Football Playoff committee got it right in their first try when they bumped Ohio State up two spots to the fourth seed. Sewing up the final spot in the inaugural College Football Playoff, there were plenty of complaints about the Buckeyes jumping over TCU and Baylor, but Ohio State put those arguments to rest after upsetting the number one team in the country and then defeating the Heisman trophy winner in the national championship game.

Now that the Buckeyes sit atop the college football world, Ohio State validated the committee's decision, which turned out to be a brilliant. The simple fact is that if the playoff system wasn't in place this season, Ohio State wouldn't have been playing for a title at all. Oregon might not have been either, considering Florida State was unbeaten heading into the postseason. The College Football Playoff started out the way it should have and you have to credit the committee for making the tough decisions, but getting it right in the end.

"That's Urban Meyer. He never stops trying to figure out another way to motivate players, improve the program, get coaches to coach better. That's the secret recipe to him. It's not scheme. The scheme is fine, but there's too much emphasis on that. Get your guys to play fast and get them motivated, that's your value as a coach."

- Steve Addazio, via Pete Thamel, Sports Illustrated

If you were trying to find a better replacement for Jim Tressel, following his resignation in light of the Tatgate findings, look no further than Urban Meyer. Ohio State fans knew nabbing coach Meyer from his retirement from college football was a huge deal at the time of his hiring. Now, the third-year head coach has a Big Ten championship and national championship (including record-setting win streaks and record-high offensive numbers) under his belt and seems like he's just getting started. When coach Meyer was on the stage following the national championship game, something just felt right. He was supposed to be there. Coach Meyer has held a certain body language and has had a specific mindset while at Ohio State and it's something that has translated to his players on the field.

As freshman quarterback Stephen Collier shared in the article, coach Meyer and his staff have a knack for getting players motivated to do the right things, the smart things, and leaving it all on the field:

"It's unreal," said scout-team quarterback Stephen Collier. "If you have a problem being motivated here at Ohio State, there's actually something wrong with you."

"This team wasn't supposed to do this ... To say we had this vision back in September or even August, no, not a chance."

- Urban Meyer, via Matt Hinton, Grantland

When Braxton Miller went down, Ohio State fans lowered their lofty expectations almost instantly. The play of J.T. Barrett was enough to bring that expectation back up to new highs and more, but a fractured ankle in the final game against Michigan sent those dreams down a notch. With the Buckeyes on their third quarterback, Cardale Jones, it would have been acceptable to put up a good fight in the Big Ten championship and maybe even etch out a win. If they didn't make the playoff, it wouldn't have been the end of the world. Then Ohio State blew out Wisconsin 59-0 with their third-string quarterback wowing all spectators, including the College Football Playoff committee.

With such a young offensive line, and inexperienced players all over the starting offense and defense (sprinkled with some veteran leadership) the general consensus was that Ohio State was one year away from being able to win it all. Instead, that group capped off an unbelievable run to the national title game after taking down the king of the SEC and Heisman trophy winner in Marcus Mariota. With this young (championship) team mostly intact for next season, expectations will be high, but the Buckeyes have proven time and again that they can handle any sort of adversity thrown at them.

"Cardale has always had talent. But something happened in the last couple months. Everybody has a chance to push restart ... and he pushed restart and he hit the right button."

- Urban Meyer, via Ari Wasserman, Northeast Ohio Media Group

Just less than 24 hours ago, Cardale Jones was viewed as a third-string quarterback that had miraculously played out of his mind for two straight games on some of the biggest stages in college football. Now? Jones is a three-time starter that is also a national champion quarterback with an unblemished starting record (against three really good teams, mind you). Jones stepped up in the biggest way possible, firing his cannon of an arm left and right, while taking off up the middle and trucking defenders for first downs.

Jones has already been lighting up talking points on sports shows across the country about his potential as a quarterback in the NFL and if he should be considered going above Marcus Mariota. While that is probably crazy, his performance has put the nation on notice and gives Ohio State a heck of a problem to have headed into next year with three potential Heisman-contending quarterbacks on their roster. I'm sure glad Urban Meyer is making the decisions and not me, but with the hype surrounding Jones and his emergence as a national champion, plus a sensational playmaker in Braxton Miller and do-it-all quarterback J.T. Barrett, it's not going to be easy.

STICK TO CHAMPIONSHIPS:

14 Jan 17:17

Newborns at the Wexner Medical Center Receive 'We're #1' Blankets

by 11W Staff
Wexner Medical Center babies swaddled in "We're #1" blankets.

It won't surprise anyone in Columbus, but the Wexner Medical Center was on point once again, swaddling newborns in "We're #1" blankets after Ohio State's 42–20 win over Oregon in the National Championship.

Here's Violet Catherine, the only baby born in time to "see" the ending of the game:

Violet Catherine was the only #BuckeyeBaby born just in time to see the #Buckeyes become the #NationalChamps! pic.twitter.com/lQ3iKoGsLw

— OSU Wexner Med Ctr (@OSUWexMed) January 13, 2015

The blankets were just the latest in a successful run for the university's hospital, starting with the Michigan game in November:

These #BuckeyeBabies were born just in time for the Michigan game! #GoBucks pic.twitter.com/WVd0P4BEGg

— OSU Wexner Med Ctr (@OSUWexMed) November 28, 2014

The run up to Alabama in the Sugar Bowl:

These #BuckeyeBabies were born just in time to see Ohio State #BeatBama in the Sugar Bowl! #GoBucks pic.twitter.com/l6bwK9GToK

— OSU Wexner Med Ctr (@OSUWexMed) December 31, 2014

And finally, the lead up to the National Championship:

It's almost game time and our #BuckeyeBabies are ready to take on the Ducks! #GoBuckeyes pic.twitter.com/hBBEgnzL8Y

— OSU Wexner Med Ctr (@OSUWexMed) January 12, 2015

Slow clap, Wexner Medical Center.

13 Jan 22:30

Ohio State Stock Market Report: National championship edition

by Chuck McKeever

Who's up and who's down, now that OHIO STATE HAS WON THE 'SHIP

Ohio-state-stock-market-report_medium

It's games like last night that make years and years of fanhood worthwhile. Ohio State is the first ever College Football Playoff national champion.

The Buckeyes took down three consecutive Heisman Trophy finalists en route to the title, saving the best -- Marcus Mariota, a real-life video game boss -- for last. Mariota threw for 33 yards and two scores, which was by far the best attempt of the three, but even those numbers weren't enough to take down the fearsome Buckeyes. To quote heavyweight champ Mike Tyson, "Everybody has a plan until they get punched in the mouth," and that's exactly what Ohio State's ground game and defense did to the Ducks on Monday night.

The Buckeyes did everything they needed to do, short of avoiding turnovers, and it's insane that this game could have been even more lopsided had Ohio State protected the football more effectively. To only allow 20 points despite giving the ball away four times to a top-tier offense is a testament to both the tenacity of the defense (Adolphus Washington) and the chess-match big-game playcalling of Urban Meyer and Tom Herman. There was a moment -- okay, there were lots of moments -- when it looked like this one was going to get away from Ohio State, despite their impressive early lead. When Cardale Jones did his best Jameis Winston impression and fumbled the ball away without being touched, it seemed like a loss was almost predestined. But it wasn't to be. The Buckeyes, like they have all year, rose to the challenge and shook off the mistake, along with all the others.

There will be a full-season Stock Market Report coming down the line, but today is all about the 'ship. Let's break it down:

Blue Chip Stocks:

Ezekiel Elliott, RB: How does he keep doing it? In case anyone wasn't paying attention, that's 696 rushing yards and eight touchdowns in the last three games. Four of those TDs came last night. Those three games, the biggest of the year, were Elliott's true coming-out party. Cardale Jones was as good as he needed to be, but it's hard to imagine this Cinderella ending without Elliott (and his "slobs" up front) absolutely eviscerating the opposition on the ground. Zeke is a joy to watch on the football field, his family travels well and travels loud, and he's got abs to match his smile. HEISMAN 2015!

Cardale Jones, QB: This has to be the craziest story of college football's last... decade? Half-century? Century? Jones was regarded as little more than an immature, unpolished quarterback, known more for his infamous tweet than his ability to win games. Needless to say, that analysis was a little premature. A third-string quarterback being thrust into the midst of all this, having to follow in the footsteps of a brace of award-winning teammates, and somehow making his team better -- making them champions -- is something you don't see every day. Or every millennium, really. Jones is a great story, a great guy, and one of the best things that's happened to this program in a long time. He could never play another snap of football and he'd still go down in history. Here's to you, 12 Gauge.

Darron Lee, LB: The Sugar Bowl's defensive MVP didn't let up off the gas for the biggest stage imaginable. A two play sequence defined Lee's contributions to this team: after eating the lunch of an Oregon tight end to blow up a running play in the backfield (which could have otherwise gone for fifteen or twenty yards), Lee made a ridiculously athletic play in pass coverage to force Oregon into an unmanageable situation. Lee camped out in coverage, then leapt high and almost reeled in Mariota's pass with one hand. Even without the INT, it was a crucial pass breakup. Whether he's doing it for the pears or his teammates, Lee is a bad, bad man on the football field.

Tom Herman, offensive coordinator: Cue up Anna Kendrick's "Cups": We're gonna miss Herman when he's gone. The offensive coordinator/resident wizard is gone for the pastures of Houston to take his first shot at a head coaching job. Is it too early to handicap the Cougars as a playoff team for next season?

Solid Investments:

Joey Bosa, DE: Bosa was a problem on Monday night. He's been that way all season. He didn't rack up his typical world-wrecking stats, but the Ducks' offensive line still struggled mightily to contain the future first-round pick. His last hit on Marcus Mariota banged up the quarterback badly enough to impact the remainder of the game, and the amount of double teams and bad blocking attempts he forced materially changed the gameplan for the ordinarily high-flying Oregon offense. We are so, so lucky to have him back for another season.

Michael Thomas, WR: Four catches. 53 yards. One ridiculous juke move that would have you crying foul if it happened in a video game, much less real life. Keyshawn Johnson's nephew has had a phenomenal year, leading the Buckeyes in catches, and his downfield production has been excellent. He showed up in all the right places on Monday night, and made the plays that mattered.

Junk Bonds:

Protecting the football: Hard to be overly critical after a title win. I'll bail out on this section after one more sentence. You cannot turn the ball over four times (on three unforced errors!) and expect to win a game, but that's just how this team rolls, I guess.

Buy/Sell:

BUY: Ohio State vs. Heisman Trophy finalists. Three up, three down, see ya. Anything can happen, but at this point it seems crazy to imagine next year's Heisman field not including at least one Buckeye, right?

BUY: The Next Man Up. Injuries. Tragedy. Adversity. This team overcame all that and more, and it would be impossible to be more proud than we already are.

SELL: The conversation about who starts at quarterback next season. LA LA LA LA YOU CAN'T MAKE ME TALK ABOUT IT

13 Jan 17:22

The Empire State Building Goes Scarlet and Gray to Honor Ohio State's Championship

by 11W Staff
The Empire State Building lit up in scarlet and gray to honor the Buckeyes.

The Empire State building went scarlet and gray to honor Ohio State's 42–20 win over the Oregon Ducks in the national championship tonight.

Yeah, yeah, I'ma up at Brooklyn, now I'm down in Tribeca
Right next to De Niro, but I'll be hood forever
I'm the new Sinatra, and since I made it here
I can make it anywhere, yeah, they love me everywhere

Beautiful.

[via @CourtReagan]

13 Jan 17:20

Ezekiel Elliott Just Finished the Greatest Postseason Run in College Football History

by Johnny Ginter
Ezekiel Elliott ran away from the Oregon Ducks all night.

Ezekiel Elliott deserves to have his name written in the pantheon of legendary Ohio State football players. Right now. Don't look at the stats (although we will), don't compare him to anyone else, don't try and contextualize any of it.

Your eyes and your heart will tell you all that you need to know: Zeke is John Henry and Babe the Blue Ox and Captain America and heart and guts and gristle and bone and he is why Ohio State finished off the most improbable season in the 125 year history of the program.

Zeke Down the Stretch
Opponent Game Att Yds TD
No. 13 WISCONSIN B1G CHAMPIONSHIP 20 220 2
No. 1 ALABAMA SUGAR BOWL 20 230 2
No. 2 OREGON NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP 36 246 4

Watching Elliott bounce off would-be tacklers, churn his legs for first downs, and pinball down the field on long run after long run was shocking. Not because his ability wasn't evident; but more because with each successive run he became some kind of weird, otherworldly presence.

It's easy to be hyperbolic after a National Championship game, but man, in your life have you ever seen someone single-handedly suck the living soul out of three consecutive opponents with run after run after run?

In the Wisconsin, Alabama, and Oregon games Elliott had runs of 15, 81, 60, 54, 17, 85, 33, 17, 26, and 22 yards, which buried Ohio State's three opponents. In those three games, he ran for over 200 yards three straight times, something no Ohio State player has never, ever done. He set rushing records in the B1G Championship Game, the Sugar Bowl, and the National Championship. 76 carries. 696 yards. 9.1 yards per carry. Three of the most amazing games by a running back these tired eyes have ever seen.

And that's the thing. Enjoy this, because for the rest of your college football watching life you may never see something as special as what we've seen from Ezekiel Elliott over the last month or so.

12 Jan 22:56

Ohio State overtakes Texas as the most valuable program in college football, per Wall Street Journal

by Matt Brown

Ohio State's run of success hasn't just been good for the standings.

When you have an enormous alumni base, a wildly successful football program, and lucrative TV deals, not only if your program going to be well positioned for success on the football field, it is going to be worth a lot of money. The Wall Street Journal has an annual report on exactly how much money, and this year, there is a new most valuable program, the Ohio State Buckeyes. From the WSJ:

Ohio State, which will take on Oregon in the national-title game Monday night in Arlington, Texas (8:30 p.m., ESPN), is now worth more than $1.1 billion, the largest figure in the nation. The Buckeyes have dethroned the reigning champion, Texas, which had held the top spot for three straight years in the annual valuation of programs by Ryan Brewer, an assistant professor of finance at Indiana University-Purdue University Columbus.

Of course, as Gene Smith or anybody else in the NCAA would happily remind you, Ohio State football can't be "sold" on the open market like say, the Cleveland Browns could, but if they hypothetically could, this might be a solid estimate of what they'd go for. Ohio State is the only program worth over a billion dollars. Michigan is second, followed by Texas, Notre Dame, and Florida.

Oregon, Ohio State's opponent tonight, is "worth" $358.7 million, good for 18th.

Nice to see that Ohio State's financials are on the right foot, and hey, one more thing to brag about when compared to Oregon is never a bad thing.

12 Jan 22:37

Wine School: Your Next Lesson: St.-Joseph

by By ERIC ASIMOV
The best combination of value and distinctiveness is found in St.-Joseph, a region that follows the sinuous north-south twists of the Rhône River.






12 Jan 22:17

Wines of The Times: Wine Review: Nero d’Avola

by By ERIC ASIMOV
The wine panel explores the red grape of Sicily.






12 Jan 22:04

Forget ESPN, the Columbus Zoo Won the Countdown to the National Championship

by 11W Staff
Staffers and a giraffe strike the O-H-I-O pose at the Columbus zoo.

In a day full of great photos, quotes and soundbites, the Columbus Zoo is your champion of the countdown to the National Championship.

First, this came this magnificent tweet of staffers striking an O-H-I-O pose with a FREAKING TIGER:

We're all rooting for our @OhioState #Buckeyes! O-H-I-O! @zoos_aquariums @OregonZoo #GoBucks #cbusproud pic.twitter.com/RPdWqIpAok

— Columbus Zoo (@ColumbusZoo) January 12, 2015

Followed shortly by a giraffe getting in on the O-H-I-O action:

The #ColumbusZoo giraffes are standing tall for the @OhioState #Buckeyes! O-H-I-O! #GoBucks #cbusproud pic.twitter.com/w9UyJiBFaT

— Columbus Zoo (@ColumbusZoo) January 12, 2015

And then Colo was all like:

#ColoGorilla is ready to cheer on her favorite team! @OhioStAthletics #GoBucks #cbusproud pic.twitter.com/91GyS8SjHd

— Columbus Zoo (@ColumbusZoo) January 12, 2015

Koala's all Buckeye, too, you know:

A big O-H-I-O from our #koalas to The @OhioState #Buckeyes and punter, @Cam_Johnston! #GoBucks #cbusproud pic.twitter.com/WRZVcVknVi

— Columbus Zoo (@ColumbusZoo) January 12, 2015

#GoBucks

07 Jan 23:11

Hot Off the Press: National Championship Game Poster

by Walt Keys
Oregon Game Poster
Duck Hunting

As always, if you'd like to print these posters out, you can download a high res PDF from the link below. These should look sharp up to 18"x24".

[Download Hi-Res Poster]

If you'd like to check out past game posters, you can view the archive here.

06 Jan 20:10

College Football Playoff says they'll provide travel assistance to families

by Luke Zimmermann

The families of parents will be getting the help they deserve.

Here's the press release from the College Football Playoff:

IRVING, Texas - The College Football Playoff (CFP) announced today that, subject to NCAA rules, it will defray the cost of expenses for student-athletes' parents or guardians to travel to the inaugural College Football Playoff National Championship on January 12.

The reimbursement will cover expenses for hotel accommodations in North Texas and travel reimbursement and meal expenses for a maximum of two parents or legal guardians per athlete. The reimbursement will be capped at $1,250 per parent or guardian.

"We know how expensive travel can be, so we're pleased to provide assistance to parents or guardians who want to see their sons play in the first College Football Playoff National Championship," said Bill Hancock, executive director of the College Football Playoff. "It will make the game even more special for the student-athletes to know that their family members are receiving this benefit."

The CFP moved quickly to provide this benefit as a pilot program just six days before the National Championship Game.  The program will be evaluated going forward to make certain it provides the appropriate amount of permissible assistance.

Urban Meyer reacted at a press conference he was in when the release was issued with a fist pump saying that the news made his day.

05 Jan 15:27

A League of Underdogs, Big Ten Defies Odds Against the Spread

by Patrick Maks

It's a fact the SEC won't win another national championship this season.

Whether or not its reign as college football's best conference is another matter.

In any case, though, it seems that it's becoming abundantly clear that other leagues across the country are closing a gap that previously existed between them and the sport's most fussed over conference. 

In particular, the much-maligned Big Ten, which entered the bowl season as underdogs in every game, has a whole lot of momentum going for it after Ohio State toppled Alabama, Michigan State engineered a massive comeback against Baylor, and Wisconsin rallied past Auburn. Rutgers and Penn State pulled off upsets, too. 

Compare that to the SEC, which entered as favorites in nine-of-12 games, and how it suffered major defeats with the Crimson Tide, Ole Miss, Auburn, Mississippi State and LSU. Texas A&M beat West Virginia, Georgia smacked Louisville, Arkansas destroyed Texas Missouri handled Minnesota, Tennessee beat Iowa, Florida slipped by East Carolina, and South Carolina did the same against Miami. 

According to USA Today Sports' Paul Myerberg:

SEC ties its own FBS record most bowl wins with 7. But league's 5 losses also ties for most it has had since adding teams in 1992.

— Paul Myerberg (@PaulMyerberg) January 3, 2015​​

And, contrary to recent years, the SEC stumbled in the games that mattered most in respect to national respect and national perception.

Also what's a good indicator of potential changes in the college football landscape is to look at conferences' records against the spread.

Bowl record by conference 2015 w l Against the spread
ACC 4 7 5-6
BIG TEN 5 5 6-4
BIG 12 2 5 3-4
PAC-12 6 2 4-4
SEC 7 5 7-5

It's here where it becomes clear that the SEC's death-grip on the sport has loosened and where it becomes clear the Big Ten isn't as bad as we all previously thought.

In addition to wins by Ohio State, Michigan State, Wisconsin, Penn State and Rutgers, unranked Nebraska lost to No. 24 USC, 45-42.

And while it's too early to declare the SEC's reign of dominance entirely over, conferences like the Big Ten and the Pac-12 made big statements on big stages to show they aren't inferior leagues. 

In fact, on New Year's Day, they were better. 

30 Dec 19:44

Sugar Bowl: Five Bold Predictions for Ohio State's Showdown with Alabama

by Michael Citro
Corey Smith and Jalin Marshall are ready for the Sugar Bowl.

We’ve just about broken down Thursday night’s Sugar Bowl game in every way imaginable, shy of comparing long snappers, analyzing vertical jump by position or taking an in-depth look at how many times each team has seen the John Hughes classic, Uncle Buck.

There’s not too much left to say, although we’ll certainly say it anyway between now and game time. Why not take a break from the analysis and make a few bold predictions? That way, win or lose, you can come back to this column and rip me for being ridiculously wrong.*

*I reserve the right to claim I was misinterpreted rather than wrong.

Ezekiel Elliott will run for 100 yards

The power of the abs.
Elliott and his abs will run for 100+ yards..

He’ll run for 109 yards, to be exact. I don’t think Elliott will enjoy the consistent success he’s had throughout the season, but I still believe he’ll rip off a long run or two of 20+ yards to help the average and build toward the century mark. The Buckeyes average about 261 rushing yards per game, and I believe they’ll be right around that with the addition of some big scrambles by Cardale Jones and a few additional yards by Jalin Marshall, Curtis Samuel and possibly others.

Ohio State will have a 100-yard receiver

This would ordinarily be Devin Smith territory, but I expect Alabama to take precautions against the Smith home run ball. I think Michael Thomas or Marshall could have a big day with a little extra attention being paid to Smith. I like Thomas to break out for six or seven catches and reach the century mark, but it could just as easily be Marshall with a variety of slants, tap passes and downfield routes. I'm not ruling out Corey Smith, though I think Thomas or Marshall is more likely.

Amari Cooper will have 89 yards receiving

Chris Ash’s troops get the job done on Cooper, for the most part. I see him getting around 89 yards but also probably scoring twice. I’ve said multiple times this year that I didn’t think Cooper would win the Heisman but I still believed him to be the best player in college football this season. He’s very difficult to cover in the way they move him around and shutting him down completely is probably unrealistic. He’ll get some yards and find the end zone, but hopefully the Buckeyes can limit his explosion plays, make him catch the ball underneath and tackle him immediately.

Jalin Marshall will complete a pass

Marshall is 0-for-2 on the season as a passer, but I have a feeling he’s not done. We’ve seen him throw before, both out of the wildcat and after taking a handoff. I think Tom Herman still has a trick or two up his sleeve and it will involve a Marshall pass out of run action. His pass back to Cardale in the B1G Championship Game was ill-advised, but a look at the film showed two wide open receivers down the middle of the field. A little coaching could turn that same play into a winner.

Blake Sims will complete a high percentage of passes

I expect Sims to have a good day throwing the ball, with a controlled passing game and a few shots to Cooper. Sims is a much-improved quarterback from early in the season and I’ll go so far as to say his completion percentage will be higher than Cardale’s. I’m not sure if he’ll have as many yards, but I think he’ll be able to complete around his average of 65%. Jones also completes around 65% of his throws this season but I expect he’ll be careful about throwing it away to avoid sacks and negative plays tomorrow night, which will make his average dip.


I don’t have a final score prediction. There are so many variables—Jones’ second career start, turnovers, field position, etc. I do, however, expect a competitive game and think it will be close in the fourth quarter. From there, we’ll see if the good guys can pull it out.

 

 

30 Dec 17:05

Paris / New York

by Aaron M. Renn

This week’s video is a split screen comparison of New York and Paris that’s kind of fun. If the embed doesn’t display for you, click over to Vimeo. h/t Likecool

30 Dec 17:05

Blind Melon Guitarist Embarks on New Life as Corporate Lawyer

by Jacob Gershman
Two decades ago Rogers Stevens was playing lead guitar for Blind Melon, the alternative rock band best known for its hit single "No Rain". Now he's a labor and employment lawyer at Ballard Spahr LLP.
30 Dec 16:56

Indiana High Court: Being Drunk and Annoying is Illegal

by Joe Palazzolo
The Indiana Supreme Court has ruled that it is illegal to be drunk and annoying -- or what a reasonable person would find to be annoying, anyway.
22 Dec 16:11

College football conferences as HBO's Game of Thrones

by Patrick Martyn

When you play NCAA football, you win or you die. There is no middle ground.

Action. Drama. Intrigue. Betrayal. BS targeting calls. Am I talking about college football, or an episode of HBO's Game of Thrones? (It's football. That last one probably gave it away.) While at first glance it may not seem like these two programs have a lot in common, the offseason forces us to think about football in ways it was never meant to be thought about. Who will win the 2015 Heisman Award? How is this sport like a fantasy television show? These are questions that don't need to be asked, and yet they are questions that the internet is trying to answer. With that in mind, let's take a look at how this land of power struggles, bitter feuds, and violence compares to the Seven Kingdoms of Westeros.

The Big Ten = The North

A frozen, snowy land. A kingdom of honor and tradition, where the people enjoy the warm summer but always remember that winter is coming. There is nothing more Big Ten than the North. Hell, if you showed me a shot of Winterfell and another of Minneapolis, I probably wouldn't be able to tell the difference between the two. We played in a game known as the Snow Bowl, for crying out loud. The people of the Big Ten stand on principles and traditions that the rest of the world doesn't understand, like our love of knit sweaters and corn hole.

Also, Michigan is House Bolton. No spoilers, but they're the worst.

The SEC = The Westerlands

The most hated, yet most talked-about of all the conferences, the SEC definitely seems like the sort of place to be ruled over by Tywin Lannister. Nobody outside of their land really likes them, but if you want money and/or power, you need to pretend to be a strong supporter. Do you really think that ESPN would have formed the SEC Network if there hadn't been secret threats and promises of gold? Not likely. Plus, look at which team the Selection Committee named as their number one: the University of Alabama, aka the Cersei of the South.

The Pac-12 = Dorne

This revelation came from my brother, and while at first it didn't make sense to me (I was going to just say that the whole state is Texas was Dorne), I can finally see it. In the Seven Kingdoms, Dorne is a bit of an outsider. They do their own thing, and nobody really understands them. As a Midwestern man, that sounds like a perfect description of the Pac-12 to me. I know they're good, but they don't make sense to me. Plus, their lands are so far away and strange to the rest of us. (The IFC documentary Portlandia proves how very strange of a people they are.) #KeepSunspearWeird

The Big 12 = The Iron Islands

If you're going to make it in the Big 12, you'll have to pay the iron price. There is no sissy tournament to decide who rules. You don't win a division; you win the conference. You battle everyone, and only the worthy will be crowned the One True Champion.* Plus, the iron born are conquerers. They plunder wherever they go, be it the Riverlands or West Virginia.

*Note: Not true in any season when the Big 12 reeeeeeeally wants someone in the playoffs.

The ACC = The Stormlands

The mighty folk of the ACC are no strangers to power. After all, Florida State won it all last season and is looking to do it again. They are struggling, though. Losing power and influence. After all, undefeated FSU is ranked lower than two one-loss teams. If anyone should be heir to the throne, it's them, and yet power struggles and scandals have rocked them from their position on top, and now they must fight to reclaim what was theirs.

Other thoughts? Opinions? Theories about who will rise from the chaos to rule over the 2015 Selection Committee? Tweet me.

For now, let's just take the chance to repost this exceptional, updated version of this season's B1G commercial:

19 Dec 16:12

Devin Davis expected to return to school next semester

by podcastonthebrink@gmail.com (Matt Dollinger, Justin Albers)

Indiana sophomore forward Devin Davis, who continues to rehab following an accident that resulted in a traumatic brain injury, is expected to return to school next semester according to Hoosiers coach Tom Crean. In an interview on Thursday afternoon on the Dan Dakich Show on 1070 The Fan in Indianapolis, Crean said that Davis, who […]

The post Devin Davis expected to return to school next semester appeared first on Inside the Hall | Indiana Hoosiers Basketball News, Recruiting and Analysis.

19 Dec 14:54

On the Street….Black & White Silhouette, Dubai

by The Sartorialist

111514BWB2828web

17 Dec 19:02

Advertising: Bond’s Martini Will Be Shaken With a Different Vodka

by By STUART ELLIOTT
James Bond will be drinking a new brand of vodka in “Spectre,” the coming installment of the Bond thrillers.
16 Dec 22:12

Indy’s Streetcar Network: 91 Years Later

by Kevin Kastner

This morning I was cleaning up some files on my work computer, and I came across a map that I found of the old streetcar network from 1923. I linked this image back in 2008, but it’s worth revisiting again:
streetcar1923

At my workplace, I was able to work on this file a little bit, and I created a shapefile of the network as faithfully as I could:

streetcarthoroughfare

Note: Please let me know if you want the streetcar shapefile, I can e-mail it to you.

 

Basically, if I was unsure about the actual routes, I’d follow the roads in places where I could find historic mixed-use buildings in the city. The businesses located in these buildings often relied on their locations next to the streetcars, so I figure many of these are safe assumptions. Here are some examples of routes where I took some liberty in placing the lines through educated guesses. If you have personal knowledge that any of these are incorrect, please let me know in the comments:

Clifton and 30th

Clifton and 30th (image from 2013, the buildings on the left have been demoed.)

40th and 42nd and Boulevard Place

40th and 42nd and Boulevard Place

Howard and Blaine

Howard and Blaine

Guilford and 30th

Guilford and 30th

Union and Palmer

Union and Palmer

 

Many of these structures pictured above are still standing almost a hundred years later. This lends credence to the argument that traditional neighborhood planning can last for generations. What are we building today that will be worth investing 100 years into the future?

Update: Due to request, here is what the network looks against the current IndyGo bus network:

streetcarbus

16 Dec 16:00

Making the Leap: Darron Lee Went from Unknown to Breakout Star in 2014

by Michael Citro
Darron Lee: Playmaker

Back in March, I wrote an innocuous column about how a less-heralded kid out of New Albany named Darron Lee would try to fill the mighty playmaking linebacker shoes vacated by Ryan Shazier. Lee had been running with starters Curtis Grant and Joshua Perry and seemed to have come out of nowhere to land the gig.

I'll be honest. I didn't know if he could do it. But, nine months later, it’s easy to see why the coaches had a guy we had formerly penciled in at safety or star playing as a first-team linebacker. Just yesterday he was named to ESPN’s Big Ten All-Freshman Team. 

The 6-foot-2, 228-pound redshirt freshman is having a breakout season. Lee is third on the team in tackles, with 66 (43 solo). But his impact goes beyond simply making stops. He has shown a knack for making big, game-changing plays that has lessened the loss of a standout like Shazier.

Lee has 13.5 tackles for loss this season, which is second on the team, for a total of 59 yards lost by Ohio State’s opponents. His 5.5 sacks are third, behind Joey Bosa (13.5) and Michael Bennett (6). His knack for the big play extends to turnovers. He has intercepted two passes, forced a fumble and recovered two others this season.

He has been instrumental in helping turn around last year’s leaky pass defense. In addition to his two interceptions, Lee has two pass breakups and four passes defensed, as well as three quarterback hurries. Whether he’s rushing or dropping into coverage, Lee has been an active defender all season, making life miserable for opposing quarterbacks.

And he scores points, too. Both of Lee’s fumble recoveries went for touchdowns this year, bookending the regular season in style. He scored his first career touchdown with a 61-yard return in the season opener against Navy, giving Ohio State a 13-7 lead in the third quarter. His most recent was a 33-yard run back with 3:58 to play, sealing Ohio State’s victory in The Game.

Lee has a nose for the football.

His sense of the dramatic doesn’t only pertain to recovering fumbles and running them back for touchdowns. He has typically saved his best performances for the biggest stage. He recorded a season high six solo tackles in the win at Michigan State on Nov. 8 and backed that up a week later with six more solo tackles and an assist at Minnesota. He tallied five solo tackles each in The Game and the Big Ten Championship Game.

Lee’s first career interception came in the team’s first conference road game of the year at Maryland. He nearly ran it back for a score, but fumbled inside the 5-yard line, where teammate Raekwon McMillan recovered. The interception was applauded by Buckeye fans everywhere, but the fumble at the end earned him an admonishment from mom.

Somebody had the ball hanging out.High and tight boo boo #Buckeyes

— candice (@candicenbc4) October 4, 2014

His other pick came on the first possession of the game against Illinois, turning a promising drive around with a 26-yard return. That led to a Curtis Samuel 23-yard touchdown run three plays later, setting the tone for a 55-14 demolition of the Fighting Illini.

The best thing about Lee’s outstanding freshman season is that he’s only scratching the surface of the player he can become. His career trajectory is off to a blazing start. As he matures at the position, he’ll have the chance to place his name beside guys like Shazier, Chris Spielman, A.J. Hawk, James Laurinaitis and other OSU legendary linebackers.

Ouch.

 

15 Dec 13:43

J.T. Barrett Finishes 5th In Heisman Trophy Voting

by Patrick Maks

J.T. Barrett didn’t make it to New York as Heisman Trophy finalist, but Ohio State’s redshirt freshman quarterback finished fifth in the final voting Saturday night.

In an expected landslide, Oregon quarterback Marcus Mariota won college football’s most prestigious award. Wisconsin running back Melvin Gordon was the runner-up, Alabama wide receiver Amari Cooper was third, and TCU quarterback Trevone Boykin was fourth.

After being called upon to replace Braxton Miller 12 days before the season opener, Barrett guided Ohio State to an 11-1 record and Big Ten Championship Game berth before breaking his ankle in the regular-season finale against Michigan.

Barrett, who is the Big Ten's Quarterback of the Year, Freshman of the Year and a first-team all-conference selection, combined for 45 touchdowns and 3,951 yards.

Not bad for a first-year starter.

11 Dec 20:45

Wines of The Times: Wine Review: White Bordeaux

by By ERIC ASIMOV
Good white Bordeaux does not conform to many general expectations of what makes a wine interesting.






10 Dec 22:44

Orchestra Posts Balanced Budget, Increased Ticket Sales

The Indianapolis Symphony Orchestra says it has achieved a balanced budget for the second straight fiscal year. The organization says income from ticket sales jumped more than 15 percent compared to the previous year.
05 Dec 17:05

November’s Jobs Report Crushed It

by Ben Casselman

Last month, I wrote that it was time to retire clichés about the “slow but steady” recovery in the job market. The recovery had found its footing; there was no longer anything “slow” about it. But I had one caveat: Job growth was strong, but employers weren’t raising pay.

Now even that caveat is looking less necessary.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday that employers added 321,000 jobs in November, the most in nearly three years. And crucially, employers are paying workers more: Average weekly earnings rose 2.4 percent from a year earlier, their fastest pace in a year.

casselman-datalab-decjobs-1

Note that’s weekly earnings. Hourly earnings are up a more modest 2.1 percent, only a bit faster than the rate of inflation. The growth in weekly earnings was driven by companies asking their employees to work more hours — a good sign for the economy but not evidence that employers are being forced to offer raises to hold on to workers. In any case, one month of solid wage growth isn’t enough to declare victory.

But let’s call a spade a spade: This month’s jobs report crushed it. Job growth far exceeded economists’ expectations — they were predicting only about 230,000 new jobs — and was widely distributed across industries. The government also revised up its estimate of September and October job growth by a combined 44,000 jobs. There were some notes of caution buried in the report, as there always are, but all the trends are pointed in the right direction. After years of tempered optimism, this economy is finally starting to look like one that Americans can feel good about.

casselman-datalab-decjobs-2

 

Here are some other observations from Friday’s report:

A strong trend: It’s never wise to get too excited, or too depressed, over one month’s jobs report. The month-to-month figures are volatile and subject to revision. But though November’s 321,000 jobs may turn out to be an outlier, the longer-run trend is nearly as strong. This was the 10th consecutive month of job growth over 200,000 — the first time that’s happened since the Clinton administration. The economy has added 2.7 million jobs over the past year, and the year-over-year pace of job growth has shown a clear acceleration in recent months.

casselman-datalab-decjobs-3

Not just jobs. Good jobs: One of the fears in the recovery has been that while the economy is creating more jobs, it isn’t necessarily creating the right kind. But that’s been less true in recent months. In November, job growth was spread across industries, with construction, manufacturing, finance and other generally well-paying sectors posting strong gains. Meanwhile, fewer people are getting stuck in part-time jobs. The number of people working part time because they can’t find full-time work is at its lowest level since the recession (although it remains high by historical standards).

casselman-datalab-decjobs-4a

casselman-datalab-decjobs-4b

Unemployment flat: The unemployment rate remained unchanged at 5.8 percent in November, which might sound surprising given the rapid pace of job growth. As regular readers know, the jobs report is based on two surveys: a huge survey of businesses, which is the source for data on job growth, and a smaller survey of households, which produces the unemployment rate and related figures. This month’s household survey wasn’t as strong as the business survey: Unemployment was up slightly, and employment was barely positive. That most likely reflects monthly volatility — last month’s household survey was unusually strong — and the overarching trend remained positive. But Friday’s report does drive home how hard it remains to find a job: More unemployed Americans stopped looking for work than found jobs in November, and fewer people re-entered the labor force to look for work.

casselman-datalab-decjobs-5

CORRECTION (Dec. 5, 11:50 a.m.): In a previous version of the “Monthly Job Growth” chart, the line showing the six-month average was incorrect. The chart has been corrected.

05 Dec 17:04

Le Méridien Opens in Downtown Indy

An upscale hotel in downtown Indianapolis is open after a $13 million transformation. The 12-story Le Méridien is located in the former Canterbury Hotel. Ohio-based Rockbridge Capital LLC purchased the historic property last year.
04 Dec 20:32

2014 Holiday Gift Guide

Present ideas for everyone on your shopping list, selected by Times experts.






24 Nov 20:03

Film Study: Jalin Marshall's Big Day Against the Hoosiers

by Kyle Jones
Jalin Marshall stood out from the crowd against the Hoosiers

Just one week after setting personal bests of five catches and 95 receiving yards against Minnesota, Jalin Marshall found himself in the spotlight yet again on Saturday. While the redshirt freshman from Middleton matched those same numbers against Indiana, he also found the end zone on four occasions that afternoon, matching Indiana running back Tevin Coleman's big day and leading the Buckeyes to an important victory.

After receiving quite a bit of criticism from a small, but vocal minority of Buckeye fans following a pair of fumbles on a cold day in Minneapolis, Marshall made news by spending his free time catching punts in the snow. Apparently his work paid off, as he returned a punt for a touchdown for the first time in his young career.

Trailing 20-14 late in the third quarter, the Buckeyes set up a punt return for Marshall to the wide side of the field. Though they had lined up as if they were going to try and block the kick, members of the Ohio State special teams unit released downfield with their opponents after the snap. 

The first wave of Buckeyes to get downfield were Armani Reeves (#26), Curtis Grant (#14), Noah Brown (#80), and Gareon Conley (#19), all of whom make sure they have let their assigned opponent release toward's Marshall's right, giving them leverage when he cuts to the left after catching the ball.

Return Left set up

That entire group not only maintains their leverage, keeping up with their defenders, but also make solid contact with their men as well, highlighted by a block from Reeves that takes out not only has man, but Curtis Grant's as well.

But while the first wave of defenders has been taken care of, OSU freshman linebacker Dante Booker (#33) wasn't able to keep his man blocked off the line, allowing him to have a free run at Marshall downfield.

Reeves gets a huge block, but Booker's man is free

But thanks to his vision and quickness, Marshall stutter steps and easily jukes the Hoosier, who never lays a finger on the returner. At the same time, Booker gives a great effort, not giving up on the play even though he lost the first battle. Instead, he hustles downfield and finds another free-running Indiana defender to block, which seals the alley on both side through which Marshall runs.

Booker makes a big block

Make no mistake though, Marshall does plenty of the work on this return. The young man showed excellent vision and patience, reading the blocks set up for him by teammates, and then beats two different defenders with juke moves in the open field. 

Marshall heads to the house

Both Booker's man and the punter never really stood a chance on a play that shifted momentum back to the Buckeyes at a critical time in the game. Not only had OSU re-taken the lead on the scoreboard, but a cold, quieted crowd was energized and back in the game as well.

Marshall's work was far from done though, as he'd become the focal point for an OSU offense that had struggled for much of the second and third quarters. Once the Buckeyes got the ball back early in the fourth, they methodically worked their way down to the Indiana six-yard-line, where once again Marshall would steal the spotlight.

The Buckeyes called on Marshall to run the "Jet Sweep" shovel pass with a hoard of blockers in front of him. Lining up in the slot to the left with two tight ends and a running back aligned opposite, Marshall goes in "Jet" motion before the snap. As soon as quarterback J.T. Barrett receives the ball from center, he softly tosses the ball with two hands like a basketball chest pass to the motioned Marshall, who already has forward momentum.

By passing the ball forward instead of simply handing it off, the play becomes a pass in the box score, and while the tactic has become more popular in the last few yards, many have wondered why teams choose to do so. The best answer given is that if anything goes wrong with the exchange, the play is dead and ruled an incomplete pass instead of a fumble, an explanation that does have some merit. However, it's more likely that teams prefer this method because it does help their passing stats. Usually a receiver is the one carrying the ball, and a touchdown catch looks better than a touchdown run.

Up front, the offensive line blocks the play just like they would on an outside zone handoff, all taking lateral steps toward the direction of the play, trying to get their hands and shoulders across the face of any onrushing defenders.

OL blocks outside zone

But the most important blocks on the jet sweep come from the tight ends and running back. Unlike in a regular outside zone play, where the runner looks for a cutback lane around the the area where the tackle lines up, the jet sweep looks to lead the runner around the outside of the furthest player on the line, who in this case is tight end Nick Vannett (#81).

Though Vannett and the other tight end, Jeff Heuerman (#5), take the same steps as the rest of the offensive line, they're looking to immediately seal a hole for Marshall. Heuerman immediately recognizes that the middle linebacker is reading the play, and chops him down with an excellent cut block while Vannett's man, the outside linebacker rushes so hard upfield that Vannett simply allows him to run, kicking him out toward the sideline and creating a nice hole between he and Heuerman.

Vannett kicks out the OLB

From there, Marshall simply follows the lead block of running back Ezekiel Elliott, whom the TV broadcast and coaches both recognized this week for his effort and ability to block for other players, a trait rarely seen in feature backs. Elliott leads the way straight through the newly-created hole, and makes enough contact with the final Hoosier defender to allow Marshall to get in the end zone.

Although his teammates did a great job creating a hole for him, Marshall once again showcased his own abilities on the play, running through arm tackles and maintaining excellent balance, never allowing the Hoosiers to come close to taking him down before scoring.

Jalin's first Jet Sweep TD

The jet sweep proved so effective that when the Buckeyes got the ball back late in the game, they ran the exact same play, but this time to the opposite side. On this occasion, however, Vannett and Elliott swapped roles from the previous touchdown, with Vannett leading Marshall through the hole while the running back kicks out the furthest defender to the edge.

Jeff Heuerman also comes up big yet, taking out the middle linebacker again, this time blocking him straight into another Hoosier linebacker, totally sealing a giant hole to the inside for Marshall.

EzE and the TEs clear the way

The result is a wide open lane for the runner, who this time needs only to turn on the afterburners, going untouched for 54 yards before hitting pay-dirt.

Jalin's 2nd Jet Sweep TD

The crown jewel of Marshall's day was the touchdown pass he caught with just over four minutes left in the game. On the first play after Tyvis Powell picked off Indiana quarterback Zander Diamont, the Buckeyes once again called Marshall's number, looking to find him in the end zone in single coverage.

Throughout the game, Indiana had shown man-to-man coverage from their defensive backs once the Buckeyes entered the red zone. OSU offensive coordinator, Tom Herman had taken some criticism throughout the game from fans on Twitter for his play-calling, but made an excellent call on this occasion, taking advantage of the Hoosiers' single coverage.

Lining up in a five-wide formation, the Buckeyes split running back Ezekiel Elliott all the way out to the right side. Thanks to this subtle change in alignment, the Hoosiers are forced to show their hand before the snap, sending a linebacker all the way to the outside to cover Elliott while a cornerback lines up near the middle of the field over Marshall. Such a swap in alignment is dead giveaway that the Hoosiers are in man coverage, and with the rest of the Hoosiers showing blitz, Barrett will have a simple read.

Knowing he'll have an open read to the right side, Barrett calls receiver Evan Spencer in from his slot position on the left side to line up like a tight end, giving the Buckeyes an additional pass blocker to counter the Hoosier rush. Spencer once again shows what kind of player he is, as few senior wide receivers would probably be called upon to protect the passer in the fourth quarter of a one-score game.

But Herman and Barrett know where the ball is going right away. The "China" concept is fairly simple, and very similar to the "Smash" concept found in every playbook across America, which calls for the outside receiver to run a short hitch route with a corner route on top of it from the inside receiver. Smash is a great way to beat zone coverage, as it creates a vertical stretch on the cornerback, who must choose which receiver to cover in his area. 

China asks the outside receivers to run short slants or crossing routes, dragging their defenders to the middle of the field and creating an opening over the top for the corner route. Though the concept can be run with only two receivers, it's often most effective with three, giving the corner route more space to outrun his defender since it starts closer to the middle of the field.

Double China

Barrett has one, very simple read after taking the snap, as he simply waits for Marshall to feign an inside route with a stutter-step before cutting to the outside. The quarterback knows that once his receiver gets outside, there is no one there to stop him, as the Hoosiers have no deep safeties.

Barrett throws to the open area

Before Marshall even looks back at the QB, the ball is already in the air, leading him to a wide-open spot in the end zone.

Jalin catches the corner route

Though the ball was just slightly overthrown, Marshall once again showed his athleticism, making a spectacular one-handed catch for a touchdown, and sealing a win for the Buckeyes.

Jalin makes it look easy

Though his involvement in the offense has progressed throughout the season, Marshall has now established himself as a true weapon for the Buckeyes, and it couldn't have come at a better time. With the loss of Dontre Wilson to a broken foot, Marshall has proven to be an extremely dangerous open-field runner, something he regularly showed in high school as the quarterback of a triple-option offense.

But his emergence as a route-runner and receiver is even more impressive. After redshirting last year to learn the position, he now looks like a wideout that can run after the catch, and not a running back trying to catch the ball. The move he put on Indiana's top cornerback on the China route was both textbook in intention, and nearly impossible to replicate in athleticism.

As the Buckeyes head into their most important game of the season, followed by the Big Ten championship, opposing defenses now have one more weapon to worry about. What's even scarier is that Marshall may have the highest ceiling on his abilities of any player on the roster, with as much athleticism as anyone to go along with a work ethic and attitude that the coaches love.

Assuredly, Herman and the rest of the OSU staff will be looking for more ways to get the ball to the newest star of the #Zone6 bomb squad, and this won't be the last time we break down the ways Jalin Marshall finds the end zone.

24 Nov 16:09

Kentucky Would Lose To The 76ers At Least 78 Percent Of The Time

by Neil Paine

It happens every few years: a star-studded college team, fresh off a dominating performance, is compared favorably to the worst squad in the pros. A few years ago, it was the Anthony Davis-led Kentucky powerhouse vs. a pitiful Charlotte Bobcats outfit that set a new NBA low for winning percentage in a season. Now, it’s Kentucky’s 2014-15 team, which trounced fifth-ranked Kansas on Tuesday, vs. the tank-tactic Philadelphia 76ers.

In a radio interview this week, former Kentucky guard Eric Bledsoe (now of the Phoenix Suns) said his alma mater would own the hypothetical matchup. “I’m definitely taking Kentucky,” Bledsoe said when asked who would win a best-of-seven series between the Wildcats and Sixers. “I think Philly would probably get maybe one game.”

As others have pointed out, that’s absurd. As awful as they are — and boy, are they awful — the Sixers’ roster represents an All-Star team of college players from the past few seasons:

  • Center Nerlens Noel was first-team All-SEC two seasons ago; if he were in college now, he’d likely be considered the best player in the country;
  • Point guard Michael Carter-Williams was an honorable mention All-American as an NCAA sophomore; had he not left Syracuse, he would likely be considered the best guard in the college game;
  • Guard Tony Wroten made first-team All-Pac 12 as a freshman two years ago;
  • And rookie K.J. McDaniels was named to the All-ACC first team last season.

These are all players who could still have NCAA eligibility if they had they not departed early for the NBA.

To put these anecdotes in a more rigid framework, we can return to the same projection methodology we used for our NBA preview. The premise there was to take Real Plus/Minus data from last season, adjust for aging effects and regress to the mean to estimate each player’s true talent level. In this case, we also need to account for any information gleaned from the first three weeks or so of the NBA season; since RPM isn’t available for 2014-15 yet, I’m using a weighted average between a player’s current 2014-15 Statistical Plus/Minus (a box score-based statistic designed to emulate RPM in situations where RPM isn’t available) and our projected RPM ratings from the preseason.

By this accounting, the 76ers are made up exclusively of below-average players. In fact, 54 percent of the team’s minutes have gone to players below the replacement-level RPM threshold of -2 points per 100 possessions. If we compute a minutes-weighted aggregation of ratings for Philadelphia’s 2014-15 roster (and adjust for the fact that the Sixers are usually trailing in their games), we’d expect them to lose to an average NBA team by 8.9 points per 100 possessions, which is ridiculously bad for a team’s true talent level. (Other teams have posted worse seasons, but that’s usually because they have bad rosters that perform below their talent levels.)

But as bad as the Sixers are, Kentucky’s roster would translate to an even worse team at the NBA level. Looking at how well players’ draft slots predicted their rookie RPM performances (and, in turn, how well ultra-early mock draft rankings like these predict a player’s draft slot), and turning the clock back on those rookie-year RPM projections using an aging curve, we can also estimate an NBA-equivalent 2014-15 RPM talent level for every player on the Wildcats’ roster. Their top prospect, Karl-Anthony Towns (who sits at No. 3 in ESPN’s class-of-2015 draft rankings), would translate to a -2.6 RPM performance at the NBA level this season, worse than almost every player on Philadelphia’s roster. Every other Kentucky player, from Willie Cauley-Stein to Alex Poythress and the Harrison twins, grade out with various shades of putrid RPM ratings that would embarrass even Hakim Warrick.

The aggregation of Kentucky’s NBA-translated RPM scores would predict an efficiency margin of -13.6 against an average NBA team. Even after accounting for the fundamental uncertainty surrounding projection models, such a team would lose about 88 of every 100 games against average NBA competition on a neutral court. The Sixers are far from average, of course, but even they would be expected to beat the Wildcats 74 percent of the time at home, and 56 percent of the time on the road. Using those probabilities to simulate Bledsoe’s hypothetical best-of-seven matchup, Kentucky would lose the series 78 percent of the time even if we gave them home-court advantage, most frequently falling in six games.

It’s also likely those numbers vastly overestimate Kentucky’s chances. The NBA doesn’t let prospects who are not believed to be pro-caliber players take the court in games, so we don’t really know what kind of performance expectations to set for those Wildcat players who will never play in the NBA. This means the aforementioned translations are naturally biased toward inflating Kentucky’s rating. Furthermore, it’s probably not appropriate to assume the same uncertainty level around Kentucky’s rating that we would for an NBA team. Ironically, because we know they are a college team with no historical track record against NBA teams, we should probably be more certain that their horrible aggregated RPM rating is appropriate, because the sample of (NCAA) teams they’re being drawn from is known to be inferior to the NBA.

Kentucky would not be favored against any NBA team, even one as horrid as the Sixers have been. The Wildcats look good when dismantling collegiate opponents, but the NBA is, quite literally, a whole different ball game.