Tom Roche
Shared posts
The spy who couldn’t spell: how the biggest heist in the history of US espionage was foiled – podcast
Tom Rocheoriginal article/transcript by Yudhijit Bhattacharjee @ https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/oct/26/spy-couldnt-spell-how-biggest-heists-us-espionage-history-foiled
Kushal Das: Running gotun inside Jenkins
Tom Rochegotun runs tunir which tests cloud images: https://tunir.readthedocs.io/en/latest/why.html
By design gotun is a command line tool which can be called from other scripts, or any larger system. In the world of CI, Jenkins is the biggest name. So, one of the goals was also being able to execute within Jenkins for tests.
Setting up a Jenkins instance for test
vIf you don’t have a setup for Jenkins already, you can just create a new one for staging using the official container. For my example setup, I am using the same at http://status.kushaldas.in
Setting up the first job
My only concern was how to setup the secrets for authentication information on Jenkins (remember I am a newbie in Jenkins). This blog post helped me to get it done. In the first job, I am creating the configuration (if in future we add something dynamic like the image name there). The secrets are coming from the ENV variables as described in the gotun docs. In the job, I am running the Fedora Atomic tests on the image. Here is one example console output.
Running the upstream Atomic host tests in gotun inside Jenkins

My next task was to run the upstream Project Atomic host tests using the similar setup. All the configuration file for the tests are available on this git repo. As explained in a previous post, onevm.py creates the inventory file for Ansible, and then runsetup.sh executes the playbook. You can view the job output here.
For both the jobs, I am executing a Python script to create the job yaml files.
Thomas Friedman Says Donald Trump Could Boost Productivity Growth by Ending NAFTA
Tom Rochehttp://cepr.net/blogs/beat-the-press/thomas-friedman-says-donald-trump-could-boost-productivity-growth-by-ending-nafta
> It's important to note that the requirement that countries respect their own labor standards (e.g. that they enforce the minimum wage laws they set) is not enforceable by non-state actors. While the TPP allows Pfizer to take a complaint that its patents are not being honored to a special investor-state dispute settlement tribunal, foreign investors are the only ones who get this privilege. The TPP does not provide unions in either Mexico or the United States with a direct route for challenging abuses in Mexico.
...
> On Meet the Press [23 July] 2006, Friedman said:
see https://en.wikiquote.org/wiki/Thomas_L._Friedman
> "I was speaking out in Minnesota — my hometown, in fact — and a guy stood up in the audience, said, 'Mr. Friedman, is there any free trade agreement you’d oppose?' I said, 'No, absolutely not.' I said, 'You know what, sir? I wrote a column supporting the CAFTA, the Caribbean Free Trade initiative [sic, actually the Central American Free Trade Agreement]. I didn’t even know what was in it. I just knew two words: free trade.'"
Economists have been worried about the weak productivity growth of the last decade, with some worried it will continue indefinitely. In the last decade, productivity growth has averaged less than 1.0 percent annually. This compares to a rate of close to 3.0 percent a year in the decade from 1995 to 2005 as well as the quarter century from 1947 to 1973. Slower productivity growth limits the extent to which wages can rise, except through redistribution.
However, Thomas Friedman apparently believes that if we end NAFTA, we will bring back manufacturing to the United States. But he argues that the new manufacturing capacity will be far more productive than the industry at present, and therefore mean very few jobs. He told readers:
"And if Trump forces all these U.S.-based multinationals to move operations from Mexico back to the U.S., what will that do? Help tank the Mexican economy so more Mexicans will try to come north, and raise the costs for U.S. manufacturers. What will they do? Move their factories to the U.S. but replace as many humans as possible with robots to contain costs."
Economists usually believe that expanding trade leads to higher productivity, so Friedman is offering a novel thesis with this idea that contracting trade will lead to more rapid productivity growth.
Democracy Now! 2017-02-10 Friday
Tom Roche1st piece (Vince Warren on litigating Trump's Muslim ban) is fairly good, last piece (start ~50 min) is quite good (on how USCFM ignores white-supremacist terror planning and attempts)
Democracy Now! 2017-02-10 Friday
- Headlines for February 10, 2017
- Court Refuses to Reinstate Trump's Muslim Ban, Says "No Evidence" of Attacks from 7 Listed Countries
- Trump Launches "Blue Lives Matter Regime" with Three New Executive Orders on Law Enforcement
- ICE Raids Speed into Overdrive: Advocates Say Obama's Deportations Reaching "100 MPH" Under Trump
- In Real Bowling Green Massacre, a White Supremacist Planned Attack Against African Americans & Jews
Behind the News – February 9, 2017
Tom RocheJohn Ackerman on Trump and Mexico; Art Goldhammer on French politics
The Essay: Gun Culture: Gotham's Gun Baron
Tom Roche... name=Marcellus Hartley. Excellent piece on how "gun runners" and arms merchants change or at least affect history.
The Muslim Ban, Silicon Valley, and Poor Media
Tom Roche2nd segment is an interview between Cat Brooks (regular KPFA cohost) and Elizabeth Dwoskin (WSJ Silicon Valley correspondent), which "features" some of the most ridiculous drivel ever broadcast about (e.g.) Big Tech's politics and labor management, particularly regarding H-1B. Salient example of how pseudo-progressives can be totally spun by capital using the immigration issue.
The Russian revolution and myths of ancient Egypt
Tom Rocheboth segments excellent, esp 2nd
July 1914: Countdown to War by Sean McMeekin. Part 1 of 2.
Tom Rochererun
Democracy Now! 2017-02-03 Friday
Tom Rochethe Frederick Douglass piece is overkill--it's waaay stretching to construe Trump as claiming Douglass is alive, but even the responsible left (as opposed to the "liberal" USCFM) likes to portray itself as smarter than rightwing performers like W and Trump--but has some interesting history. Better is Scahill on the war in Yemen. And Amy claims there will be a web-exclusive part 2 on the very short Lewis Wallace piece.
Democracy Now! 2017-02-03 Friday
- Headlines for February 03, 2017
- Does Donald Trump Think Frederick Douglass is Alive? Douglass's Great-Great-Great-Grandson Clarifies
- Yemen: Jeremy Scahill & Advocates Question "Success" of Trump Raid That Killed 24 Civilians
- Jeremy Scahill: Trump CIA Deputy Director Pick Gina Haspel Ran Secret Torture Black Site
- Meet Lewis Wallace: Trans Reporter Fired for Writing About Journalistic Integrity in Trump Era
Painful Nonsense on Trade
It really is amazing how much effort elite types expend denying that trade has cost us manufacturing jobs. The latest entry is from Robert Samuelson who tells us that it isn't true that manufacturing jobs have been lost to trade. Samuelson's main source on this is Brad DeLong, who is actually a very good economist and surely knows better.
Samuelson tells readers:
"Contrary to popular opinion, trade is not a major cause of job loss. It’s true that U.S. manufacturing has suffered a dramatic long-term employment erosion, sliding from roughly one-third of nonfarm jobs in 1950 to a quarter of jobs in the early 1970s to a little less than 9 percent now, according to economist J. Bradford DeLong of the University of California at Berkeley in an essay posted on Vox. But the main cause is automation."
The cheap trick here is going back to 1950. Yes, we have lost lots of manufacturing jobs to automation and over a 70 year period that does swamp the impact of the jobs lost due to trade, but this is really a dishonest way to present the issue. Manufacturing was declining as a share of total employment even in the 1950s and 1960s, but the pace was modest enough and we were creating enough jobs in other sectors that the job loss still allowed for real wage growth in both manufacturing and the economy as a whole.
Potential Savings on Medicare Part D from Lower Drug Prices
Tom RocheThe high savings scenario saves state and federal government $1.1 TRILLION dollars over 10 years! and individuals over a quarter trillion ...
Four years ago, we calculated the potential savings to the federal and state governments, as well as beneficiaries, from lower drug prices. In the paper, Reducing Waste with an Efficient Medicare Drug Benefit, we compared how much people in the United States paid for drugs with payments in other wealthy countries. We then calculated how much the federal and state governments, as well as beneficiaries, would save on the Medicare prescription drug benefit if we paid the same amount for drugs as people in other countries.
The calculation had low and high savings scenarios. In the low savings scenario, it was assumed people in the United States would pay as much for prescription drugs as in Canada, the highest country in the group. This involved savings of 27.8 percent on drugs, since Canadians pay on average 72.2 percent as much as people in the United States. The high savings scenario was based on drug payments in Denmark, which are on average 34.5 percent as high as in the United States, implying a savings of 65.5 percent.[1]
Hey, Can We All Agree on Ending Protectionism for Doctors and Dentists?
Tom RocheBaker's criticism of the Ingraham post
https://web.archive.org/web/20170202192917/https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2017/01/31/the-basic-error-of-trumps-draft-order-targeting-immigrants-on-welfare/
is a bit unfair. Though egregious, Ingraham does not claim that 'immigrants everywhere and always benefit all workers', only that immigrants use less public services than citizens of equivalent income. The fact that US immigration is overwhelmingly of low-income workers, thereby increasing public need for services, Ingraham conveniently ignores.
The response to Donald Trump's ban on Muslim immigrants has been reassuring. Millions of people have acted in various ways to express their opposition to this blatant act of bigotry. But as part of this story, we are being told that immigrants everywhere and always benefit all workers.
Far be it from me to criticize this great wisdom, which we can find in this Wonkblog post by Christopher Ingraham. So let's pretend that the people making this assertion have a shred of integrity. How about getting rid of the restrictions that make it extremely difficult for foreign doctors and dentists to practice in the United States?
Currently, foreign doctors are banned from practicing unless they complete a U.S. residency program. Foreign dentists are prohibiting from practicing in the United States unless they graduate a U.S. dental school. (We have allowed graduates of Canadian schools since 2011.) As a result of these protectionist measures our doctors earn on average more than twice as much as doctors in other wealthy countries, netting more than $250,000 a year. Our dentists also get paid twice as much, averaging close to $200,000 a year. This protectionism costs us close to $100 billion a year in higher health care costs.
So we all agree that protectionism is bad and that we want more immigrants, so how about it? Will we tear down the walls barring qualified doctors and dentists, or are all of our open border types not really sincere?
Dr. Keeanga-Yamahtta Taylor “From #BlackLivesMatter to Black Liberation”
Tom Rocheno download
Is whitelash enough of an explainer for the rise of President Donald Trump?
Is it rigorous enough to blame the people who didn’t show up to vote for our impending collective struggle under this administration?
On this edition, we hear from Dr. Keeanga-Yamahtta Taylor, assistant professor in the Department of African American Studies at Princeton University. Dr. Taylor most recently wrote, “From Black Lives Matter to Black Liberation.” We’ll be sharing a talk with Dr. Taylor’s insights on Black Liberation as framed through this most recent election.
Special thanks to KPFA for hosting and recording Dr. Taylor’s speech.
Like this program? Please show us the love. Click here and support our non-profit journalism. Thanks!
- Dr. Keeanga-Yamahtta Taylor, author of “From #BlackLivesMatter to Black Liberation,” assistant professor of African American Studies at Princeton University
- Host: R.J. Lozada
- Producers: Anita Johnson, Marie Choi, Monica Lopez, R.J. Lozada, Andrew Stelzer
- Executive Director: Lisa Rudman
- Audience Engagement Director/Web Editor: Sabine Blaizin
- Development Associate: Vera Tykulsker
More Information:
‘Is this what the west is really like?’ How it felt to leave China for Britain – podcast
Tom Rocheoriginal article/transcript by Xiaolu Guo @ https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/jan/10/xiaolu-guo-why-i-moved-from-beijing-to-london
On an Irish Island by Robert Kaniglel.
Tom Rochererun
WaPo Factcheck Attack on Sanders’ ACA Warning at Odds With Actual Facts
Tom Roche"it’s time to end the failed experiment of factchecking columns. Not only do these projects give the false impression that checking facts is a sidelight rather than central to the journalistic mission, they are fatally compromised by corporate media’s interest in maintaining the illusion of impartiality." Too true!

Yes, Bernie Sanders had an academic study to back up his claim—but he didn’t footnote his tweet properly.
With the New York Times finally agreeing to name politicians’ lies where they belong—in the headlines of the stories where they first occur—it’s time to end the failed experiment of factchecking columns. Not only do these projects give the false impression that checking facts is a sidelight rather than central to the journalistic mission, they are fatally compromised by corporate media’s interest in maintaining the illusion of impartiality. As FactCheck.org’s Brooks Jackson (Time, 10/9/12) said, in an admission that should have put paid to the whole enterprise:
Even if we could come up with a scholarly and factual way to say that one candidate is being more deceptive than another, I think we probably wouldn’t just because it would look like we were endorsing the other candidate.
Unmoored for commercial reasons from any hard and fast standards for what constitutes a fact, media factologists are free to follow their own political whims (or those of their outlets). Which seems to be what’s going on in a recent Washington Post factchecking effort by Glenn Kessler, “Bernie Sanders’ Claim That ‘36,000 People Will Die Yearly’ if Obamacare Is Repealed” (1/14/17).
The Post, just to set the stage, is a paper with a serious animus against the junior senator from Vermont—once running 16 negative stories on Sanders in 16 hours, and on another occasion squeezing four separate Sanders-bashing articles out of one dubious study. So it isn’t surprising to see Kessler giving “four Pinocchios” (the highest score, reserved for “whoppers”) to Sanders’ warning that “as Republicans try to repeal the Affordable Care Act, they should be reminded every day that 36,000 people will die yearly as a result.”
Sanders’ number came from Think Progress (12/7/16), which in turn derived its forecast of how many people could lose insurance under Obamacare from an Urban Institute report, and its estimate of the effect of insurance on mortality from an Annals of Internal Medicine study (5/6/14). So—a pretty solidly grounded political claim? Ah, sorry, you don’t understand the rules of political speech—as applied by the Washington Post to Bernie Sanders.
You see, Sanders in his tweet didn’t include all the academic qualifiers that occurred in the original Annals study. (It was a study of Massachusetts, not the whole country!) And Sanders’ warning was based on the “pretty big assumption” that the ACA will not be replaced with a brand new GOP-designed program—the barest outlines of which have yet to be described.
This kind of “fuzzy math” generally merits three Pinocchios, Kessler said. What “tips this claim into four-Pinocchio territory,” though, was the fact that Sanders expressed a prediction in the future tense: He said that people “will die” rather than “could die.” I would remind Kessler that every statement about the future is necessarily uncertain, and therefore every use by a politician of the future tense should be awarded an extra Pinocchio.

Kind of like pulling out Marshall McLuhan to explain to the person behind you in line that their take on McLuhan’s ideas is all wrong.
Fortunately, an antidote to this nonsense appeared in the Washington Post itself, in the form of an op-ed (1/23/17) that appeared under the headline, “Repealing the Affordable Care Act will Kill More Than 43,000 people annually.” It was written by Steffie Woolhandler and David Himmelstein, two doctors who are professors at Hunter College and lecturers at Harvard Med School; “for more than 30 years,” they note, they have “studied how death rates are affected by changes in healthcare coverage.” Their take on ACA repeal:
The biggest and most definitive study of what happens to death rates when Medicaid coverage is expanded, published in the New England Journal of Medicine, found that for every 455 people who gained coverage across several states, one life was saved per year. Applying that figure to even a conservative estimate of 20 million losing coverage in the event of an ACA repeal yields an estimate of 43,956 deaths annually.
They noted, as an example of what looks like “cautious optimism about the effect of a potential repeal,” that “the Washington Post’s Glenn Kessler awarded Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) four Pinocchios for claiming that 36,000 people a year will die if the ACA is repealed,” but said “such optimism is overblown”:
Kessler…chides Sanders for assuming that repeal would leave many millions uninsured, because Kessler presumes that the Republicans would replace the ACA with reforms that preserve coverage. But while repeal seems highly likely (indeed, it’s already underway using a legislative vehicle that requires only 50 Senate votes), replacement (which would require 60 votes) is much less certain.
Kessler’s four-Pinocchio judgment on Sanders still stands. Perhaps he’ll run a follow-up piece awarding some number of Pinocchios to the doctors for daring to question the ruling of a media factchecker on the flimsy basis of 60 combined years of academic research into the question at hand?
Jim Naureckas is the editor of FAIR.org. You can find him on Twitter: @JNaureckas.
Messages can be sent to the Washington Post at letters@washpost.com, or via Twitter @washingtonpost. Please remember that respectful communication is the most effective.
The neo-Nazi murder trial revealing Germany's darkest secrets – podcast
Tom Rocheoriginal article/transcript by Thomas Meaney and Saskia Schäfer @ https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/dec/15/neo-nazi-murders-revealing-germanys-darkest-secrets
The Pacific is sinking
Tom Rochererun
The return of history: CBC Massey lecture 1
Tom Rocheunfortunately only *excerpts* from the Massey lectures are available free: see http://www.cbc.ca/radio/ideas/masseys
The Rogue Republic: How Would-Be Patriots Waged the Shortest Revolution in American History Apr 20, 2011 by William C. Davis
Tom Rochererun
Behind the News – January 19, 2017
Tom Rochethe Tobin piece is marginal; the Levine piece is just poor
Behind the News, 1/19/17
Tom Rochethe Tobin piece is marginal; the Levine piece is just poor
Aristotle: his life, legacy and ideas
Tom Rochererun
Democracy Now! 2017-01-18 Wednesday
Tom RocheScahill always excellent, plus this is part 1 with "web exclusive" to follow
Democracy Now! 2017-01-18 Wednesday
- Headlines for January 18, 2017
- Chelsea Manning's Attorneys: Obama's Commutation Will Help Save Life of Jailed Army Whistleblower
- Jeremy Scahill on Obama's Commutation of Chelsea Manning & Continued Demonization of Edward Snowden
- Oscar López Rivera to Be Freed as Obama Commutes Sentence of Puerto Rican Independence Activist
- Activists Call on Obama to Pardon Leonard Peltier, Warning He'll Die in Prison Otherwise
- Jeremy Scahill: Did Education Nominee Betsy DeVos Lie to Senate About Ties to Anti-LGBT Foundation?
- Scahill: Blackwater Founder Erik Prince, the Brother of Betsy DeVos, Is Secretly Advising Trump
Democracy Now! 2017-01-17 Tuesday
Tom RocheTaibbi is good, rest skippable
Democracy Now! 2017-01-17 Tuesday
- Headlines for January 17, 2017
- Trump Attacks Civil Rights Icon John Lewis on MLK Weekend; Watch Lewis Recall Bloody Sunday 1965
- Insane Clown President: Matt Taibbi Chronicles Election of "Billionaire Hedonist" Donald Trump
- Special Report: Obama's Controversial Policy of Immigrant Family Detention Could Expand Under Trump
Reflecting On Martin Luther King Jr.
Tom RocheWilliam H. Dow (Kaiser Permanente Professor of Health Economics at the University of California, research associate at the National Bureau of Economic Research, and previous senior economist for health at the White House Council of Economic Advisers) on the implications of repealing the Affordable Care Act
Coal-Burning Electric Generating Plant Carbon Capture Sequestration Launched as the Arctic is balmy. @JohnSchwarz, @NYT
Tom Rocheoverall a good piece, but waaay too boosterish about a technology that they admit is unproven at scale (not to mention that reduces its costs by reusing the CO2 for extracting petroleum)
Oddly Familiar Talking Points
Tom RocheI often like Sorensen's work, but this is truly shameful.
Apologies for the late posting this week. I had to dig myself out of a post-holiday pileup of to-dos.
Let me start by saying I consider myself to be somewhat to the left of Bernie. I favor a Scandinavian-style social safety net — heck, I am Scandinavian. And I admire Elizabeth Warren more than just about anyone. So this comic is not coming from the perspective of a milquetoast centrist Democrat, or even a strong Hillary partisan, as I’m guessing some will assume in our world of fun political binaries. What concerns me is that I’m seeing fundamentally right-wing concepts being adopted by those who self-identify as lefties or progressives. You might say I’m criticizing the left from the left.
To address a few points raised in the cartoon: I shouldn’t need to even spell this out, but as a gentle reminder, Russia is an authoritarian regime that crushes free speech, dissidents, LGBT rights, and now, apparently, my own health insurance. This didn’t just happen to Hillary; it happened to all of us. It’s pretty much the definition of what should be a non-partisan concern. Mountains of evidence exist for Putin’s attempt to swing our election (and others), and to minimize the problem is nothing short of laughable. And yes, I do think the interference had a substantial impact.
Hillary has certainly frustrated me at times over the years, but I came to admire her intelligence and poise over the course of this election cycle. Her performance at the debates with Trump was nothing short of heroic. She also ran on the most progressive Democratic platform ever, but since policy has become almost completely divorced from politics, that doesn’t get talked about much. I could go on, but as my husband says, this was not so much an election as an exorcism, the culmination of a decades-long smear campaign by the right.
The term “political correctness” has been the cornerstone of conservative efforts to transform the ideas of civil rights and equality into something frivolous and stupid. The right loves plucking silly examples from obscure, powerless people and blowing them up into huge “culture war” issues that supposedly threaten the nation. “PC” is an insult that plays into their hands.
Along these same lines, “liberal elites” — long a Fox News favorite — is designed to shift attention away from the actual economic elites hoovering up the world’s wealth and resources, such as the Koch Brothers or Trump, and instead make one think of poodle-owning urbanites supposedly looking down their noses at everyone (while in reality voting to raise the minimum wage). It’s a frame, not a fact, and hides a deep anti-intellectual agenda. By definition, I would say a liberal is someone who cares about the less fortunate. So a liberal “elite” would be a liberal with power. However, the term is thrown around as a pejorative to smear just about anyone — feminists, college student activists, etc. — rendering it meaningless, and an effective right-wing language hack that divides the left.
So don’t fall for these con-job concepts! We progressives need to be strategic in our opposition, not Fox News Lefties.