Shared posts

18 Dec 23:49

God: Leibniz vs Voltaire

Is the concept of God useful at a time of crisis? German philosopher Gottfried Wilhelm Leibniz and French writer and philosopher Voltaire had different views on that question. *This episode originally aired on December 14, 2020.
17 Dec 16:15

AOC on Ending the Pelosi Era, Biden’s Corporate Cabinet, and the Battle for Medicare for All

Tom Roche

David Dayen is great, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez underwhelming/disappointing

President-elect Joe Biden’s Cabinet is being constructed in significant part from corporate Democrats and Obama-era national security hawks with a small side order of more progressive figures. This week on Intercepted: As Nancy Pelosi runs unopposed in her party for another term as speaker of the House, Congress has failed for many months to deliver meaningful aid to millions of Americans suffering through the Covid-19 pandemic. But lawmakers moved swiftly to approve the National Defense Authorization Act, an overwhelmingly bipartisan military and war spending bill. New York Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez was one of just 37 Democrats to vote against the NDAA, and she is increasingly vocal in her criticism of her party’s leadership. In a wide-ranging interview with Intercepted, Ocasio-Cortez discusses the fight for Medicare for All, the battle for the future of the Democratic Party, red-baiting and the 2020 election, Biden’s emerging Cabinet, disaster profiteering in Puerto Rico, the weaponizing of the Espionage Act, and more. Then, The American Prospect’s Executive Editor David Dayen breaks down the negotiations over another round of Covid-19-related “stimulus” legislation, explains the failures of the Democrats and the viciousness of the Republicans on Capitol Hill, and discusses the battle over Biden Cabinet appointments.

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

17 Dec 16:13

Long Reads: Oliver Gloag on the Colonial Contradictions of Camus

by Jacobin magazine
Tom Roche

VERY EXCELLENT

Long Reads is a new Jacobin podcast looking in-depth at political topics and thinkers, both contemporary and historical, with the magazine’s longform writers. Hosted by Features Editor Daniel Finn.

Our guest today for a discussion of Camus’s legacy is Oliver Gloag. Oliver teaches French and Francophone Studies at the University of North Carolina. He’s the author of a recently published book: Albert Camus: A Very Short Introduction.

Read Oliver's essay on "The Colonial Contradictions of Albert Camus" here: https://www.jacobinmag.com/2020/10/colonialism-albert-camus-france-algeria-sartre

Produced by Conor Gillies, music by Knxwledge.

12 Dec 19:43

Matt Christman and MSNBC’s Petty War on Sanders

Tom Roche

excellent

Matt Christman joins the show to talk modern political identity in America and 'Chapo Trap House.' Katie and Matt watch a clip from MSNBC ridiculing him for his record of passing legislation that he's written

Merch Link: https://teespring.com/stores/useful-idiots

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

10 Dec 18:04

Episode 2: Dr. Cornel West on the life and legacy of John Brown

by Sarah Kunstler
Tom Roche

EXCELLENT, just too short

On December 2nd , the 161 yr anniversary of the execution of Abolitionist John Brown. special guest Dr. Cornel West dazzled host Randy Credico with his wide and profound understanding and knowledge of the Revolutionary Christian Brown, the history of the Abolition movement, the individuals whose lives Brown touched and the individuals whose lives touched Brown's life.

08 Dec 17:10

A Political History of Georgia

Tom Roche

VERY EXCELLENT detailed, not too PC (some Stacey Abrams fawning)

With runoff elections in Georgia next month poised to determine control of the US Senate, national media have turned their eyes south. To help you digest the coming avalanche of Georgia coverage, Ryan Grim sits down with Intercept contributor George Chidi to discuss his state’s raucous political history.

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

08 Dec 15:40

Beating Up on Finance

by Dean Baker
Tom Roche

indirectly points to The American Prospect’s series='Day One Agenda' [for Biden-Harris administration] @ https://prospect.org/day-one-agenda

When I do one of my diatribes about how our protectionist barriers allow U.S. doctors to earn twice as much as doctors in other wealthy countries, I invariably get complaints from doctors and their friends asking why I don’t go after the really big bucks people on Wall Street. The answer of course is that I do, but the bloated paychecks on Wall Street are not a reason to pay an extra $100 billion a year ($750 per household) to doctors in the United States. But it is true that I haven’t beaten up on the financial sector for a while, and with Biden now putting together his administration, this would be a great time to take a few shots. 

First, we need some important background. Finance is an intermediate good, like trucking. It does not directly provide value to people like housing or health care. Its value to the economy is allocating capital and facilitating transactions so that the sectors that do provide value are as efficient as possible.

For this reason, an efficient financial sector is a small financial sector. People need to be able to borrow money to buy a home or start a business, and businesses need to be able to get money to expand, but we want as few resources as possible employed in handing out the money.

However, rather than getting smaller and more efficient, the financial sector has expanded hugely over the last four decades. This is seen most clearly in the narrow commodities and securities trading sector, which was less than 0.4 percent of GDP in the mid-seventies and is now more than 2 percent of GDP ($400 billion a year). Other parts of finance have exploded also. We now spend over $250 billion a year (1.2 percent of GDP) on the administration of the health insurance industry, $100 billion on life insurance (0.5 percent of GDP), and hundreds of billions more on other financial services.

In addition to being a drain on the rest of the economy, the financial industry is the source of many of the country’s greatest fortunes. Folks who are concerned about inequality need to have their eyes squarely focused on the sector.

 

Financial Transactions Taxes

I have long been a huge fan of financial transactions taxes (FTT) as a great way to reduce the size of the sector and raise a large amount of money for the government.  By my calculations, a FTT could raise an amount of revenue roughly equal to 0.6 percent of GDP or $130 billion a year in the 2021 economy.

This revenue would come almost entirely at the expense of the financial industry. This needs a bit of explaining since the industry spokespeople have worked so hard to create confusion on this issue. It is true that a tax will likely be mostly passed on to investors in the form of higher trading costs. If the tax on stock trades is 0.2 percent, the cost of trading stock is likely to rise by close to 0.2 percentage points.

However, if we want to look at the costs actually borne by investors, we have to look at a fuller picture. Suppose that an increase in trading costs of 0.2 percentage points would double the cost of trading. There is a large amount of research that shows that trading volume would decline by roughly the same percentage as the increase in costs. (in other words, the elasticity of trading is close to 1.0.)

This means that the doubling of trading costs would mean that trading volume would be roughly cut in half. In that situation, investors would be paying twice as much on each trade, but trading half as much as they did previously, which means their total trading costs would be little changed.

Who pays the tax in that story? Well, the industry pays it in the form of reduced revenue. The money that investors had been paying to the industry to carry through trades is instead going to the government as tax revenue. 

What about the reduction in trading volume, won’t investors be worse off with fewer trades? This is the dirty secret that the industry doesn’t want people to know about. In general, investors will not be worse off if their portfolio turned over less frequently.

The logic here is straightforward. Every trade has a winner and a loser. There are a small number of very astute investors who are disproportionately on the winning side of trades, but the vast majority of investment managers are not that skilled. On average they win half the time and they lose half the time.

This means that on average if they reduced their trading, the direct returns on the portfolio would not suffer, and investors would save from lower fees. The losers of course are the people in the financial industry, who get money from trading.

Cutting trading volume in half means cutting their revenue in half. When we realize who is actually paying the tax, it is no longer a surprise that the financial industry screams bloody murder when anyone talks about a financial transactions tax. This is money out of their pockets and they will fight like crazy to protect their income. And, since they are very rich, we can expect a serious fight.

As a practical matter, a financial transactions tax would face an enormous uphill fight in the Senate, even if the Democrats can somehow win the two seats in Georgia that will give them control. But there are other things that can be done to attack the inefficiencies and great fortunes in the sector.

 

Private Equity

Many of the richest people in the country have made their fortunes in private equity. While the industry tries to sell a heroic image of itself as being turn around experts that give failing companies the capital and management skills they need to be successful, more typically they make their money by financial engineering, tax gaming, laying off workers, and pushing down wages. My colleagues, Eileen Appelbaum and Eleanor Eagon, have comprised a Day One agenda of measures the Biden administration can do through executive action to rein in these abuses.

But in addition to measures to rein in abusive practices, there is another side of the equation that is worth pursuing. Private equity actually has not been providing good returns to investors in recent years. While private equity funds did provide outsized returns in the 1980s and 1990s, that has not been the case since 2006.

This means that, while the general partners who run private equity firms might be getting very rich, the limited partners who put up the money are doing no better on average than if they just put their money into a stock index. And, they would face much less risk.

While we can’t keep rich people from blowing their money on bad investments, much of the money for private equity comes from pension funds and especially from public sector pension funds. In most cases, it is not possible to find the terms of the contracts that private equity companies sign with pension funds. Their standard line is that they are giving the pension fund a good deal. If they had to disclose their terms, they would have to give the same deal to everyone else, and then it wouldn’t be profitable.

Of course, the idea that everyone else is being ripped off, except our favored pension fund, is nonsense on its face. Private equity companies want their terms kept secret so that it is not clear how much money they are taking from the pension funds that invest with them.

This practice suggests a very simple and obvious reform: require full disclosure of terms. States could require that contract terms with every private equity company (for that matter any investment manager) be posted in full on their website, so that any reporter, researcher, or individual could quickly see the terms the fund had negotiated.

The pension funds should also report the returns from the private equity fund or investment manager. (In the case of private equity funds, the only returns that will typically be meaningful will be after the fund has been closed. This is generally a period of ten years.) This would allow anyone to quickly assess how much money the pension fund earned on an investment, compared to how much money the private equity fund or an investment manager made.

A little sunshine may go a long way to reducing the worst rip-offs in this sector. As things stand now, private equity partners make a big point of courting pension fund managers, who typically are not financial professionals. The pension fund managers may view the private equity partners as friends, as opposed to shrewd dealers looking to make as much money as possible from the pension fund.

Anyhow, a push for full transparency on public pension fund investments should in principle be a manageable lift. After all, it might be hard for Republicans to claim that insisting the public be able to know where public money is going is “socialism.”

Needless to say, both Republican and Democratic politicians receive large campaign contributions from private equity funds and other investment managers. They will fight like crazy to block disclosure requirements at the state or federal level. But this seems like good grounds on which to fight a battle.

The post Beating Up on Finance appeared first on Center for Economic and Policy Research.

08 Dec 01:15

Wikileaks and its continuing influence on journalism and foreign policy

Tom Roche

VERY EXCELLENT, detailed and in-depth

When Wikileaks began releasing classified documents on the world it became a new player in the world of global journalism and its influence is still being felt. The diplomatic cables released taught us a lot about how the United States sees the world, including Australia, and are still useful in trying to understand our foreign policy relating to Afghanistan and Iran.
07 Dec 18:49

Democracy Now! 2020-12-03 Thursday

Tom Roche

excellent

Democracy Now! 2020-12-03 Thursday

  • Headlines for December 03, 2020
  • A Massacre in Lagos: Nigerian Military Forced to Admit It Fired Live Rounds at Peaceful Protesters
  • Ethnic Cleansing Feared as Ethiopia Wages War on Tigray Region Amid Communication Blackout
  • Indian Farmers Lead Historic Strike & Protests Against Narendra Modi, Neoliberalism & Inequality

Download this show

07 Dec 18:46

Meta Redux: Advent of Open Source

by Bozhidar Batsov
Tom Roche

TODO: Emacs Prelude 1.1

Ah, it’s again this magical time of the year - the Advent! When I was little I associated it mostly with advent candy boxes with a different candy for each day of the Advent, but these days I mostly associate this period with the famous Advent of Code.1

As much as I love solving puzzles, I’ve realized lately that probably it’s not the best use of my limited free time. Last year I opted to do an blogging challenge, instead of the Advent of Code, and this year I’m challenging myself to contribute something (meaningful) to my open-source projects every day from the 1st of December to Christmas. Fun times ahead!

Today is the 3rd of December already, so I guess I have to report what I’ve done so far.

Dec 1

  • Shipped RuboCop 1.5
  • Lots of improvements to the Clojure Style Guide
    • New sections on guiding principles and consistency
    • Documented the sources of inspiration
    • Added lots of new code examples (e.g. here)
    • Fixed many headings that had broken wording after the automated conversion to the current structure last year (each guideline now has a title, and the titles were auto-generated from the old permalinks associated with the guidelines)

I hope to gradually clean up the backlog for improvements of the style guide in the months to come. I’ll also mention here that I wouldn’t mind some volunteers willing to help document the best practices for working with cljc and clojure.spec.

Dec 2

  • Shipped RuboCop 1.5.1
  • Projectile
    • Groomed the backlog (replied to some tickets, closed some tickets that were addressed/irrelevant, added tags to everything else)
    • Merged a few outstanding PRs (see the changelog for details)
    • Lots of improvements to the documentation site
      • Improved Usage page (better basic setup instructions, plus coverage of the mighty but elusive Projectile Commander)
      • Improved Projects page (in particular, you’ll find there a lot of information about the mythical and mystical projectile-project-root-functions)
      • Improved Configuration

It always feels great to revisit Projectile, as it’s both the first open-source project I ever created and the project I use more than anything else.

Dec 3 (today)

  • More work on Projectile’s documentation and grooming the backlog
  • Preparing for another RuboCop bug-fix release (1.5.2 might land later today)

Looking Forward

So, what’s next? My main priorities for the Advent of OSS are currently:

  • Polish the Clojure Style Guide
  • Ship CIDER 1.0
  • Ship Emacs Prelude 1.1
  • Clean up Projectile’s backlog

I probably won’t be able to achieve them all, but I’ve been told it’s good to be ambitious. If someone wants to help me out, be my guest. My projects have plenty of tickets tagged with Good First Issue that you might try tackling.

I’ll try to post some updates here every few days, both to keep it up-to-date with my progress and to keep myself honest. That’s all from me for now. Keep hacking!

P.S. In the time-honored tradition of the Advent, I’m inviting all of you to join my on the Christmas OSS adventure and see how far are you willing to go! It will be fun!

  1. Half my Twitter timeline is about the “Advent of Code” these days. 

07 Dec 18:44

Meta Redux: Migrating from Disqus to Hyvor Talk

by Bozhidar Batsov

For a very long time1 I’ve been using Disqus as the commenting service for all of my Jekyll blogs.2 Today that’s no longer the case.

I’ve never been particularly happy with Disqus for various reasons:

  • The service is tracking its users for marketing purposes
  • Their JS payload is huge and slows down your site
  • The formatting options they support are limited, especially if you run a blog focused on programming and people are often discussing code snippets in the comments.

I’m guessing the readers of my blogs were not particularly fond of Disqus either, as I’d rarely get any Disqus comments, even on articles that would generate a lot of feedback on third-party platform like Reddit, HN or Lobsters.

Note: This great article digs deeper into all the issues with Disqus.

I did tolerate them, however, because Disqus is the only commenting service supported by Jekyll out-of-the-box, and because they were free. Lately, however, Disqus started to insert some horrible ads in my blogs automatically, without giving me any options to opt-out of this in advance. I’ve managed to disable the ads for a couple of my sites (based on them being small and non-commercial), but for some reason I couldn’t disable them for Meta Redux and for me this was it. Obviously I could have paid Disqus to disable the ads, but given my other concerns about their service I preferred to pay someone else if I had to.

I looked around for Disqus alternatives and several articles suggested the privacy focused Hyvor Talk as a great option. As a bonus it supports Markdown-like markup in the comments and works well with code snippets.

Note: Hyvor is a small startup that reached a 100 paying customers only a month ago. Normally, I’m cautious about such small companies, but given my very positive experience with their product I’m feeling optimistic about their future.

Now, let’s the discuss the actual migration process.

Migration Steps

The migration itself is pretty simple and literally took me 5 minutes.3 The instructions I wrote are for Jekyll in particular, but the process is fairly generic, so I’m confident the bulk of them are applicable to most cases.

Export Data from Disqus

First you need to export your comments from Disqus. The process is described in their docs. If you’re too lazy to read them just go here and export the data for each site you have with them individually.

They’ll send you the exported data for each site as a gzipped XML via email. For me this happened almost immediately, but for people running popular sites with lots of comments the process will probably take longer.

Setup Hyvor Account

At this point you have to sign up for Hyvor Talk, create a site there and import the Disqus data.

The import process is pretty simple, but there are a couple of things to keep in mind:

  • You need to upload the export data unzipped (first I tried to upload the export in its gzipped form)
  • You have to specify “Absolute URL” as the identifier used by Disqus to map URLs to comments (I’ve never changed this myself, so I assume that’s their default)

After the import is successful you are now ready to enable Hyvor Talk for your Jekyll site.

Add Hyvor to Jekyll

First, remove any Disqus configuration from your _config.yml. Normally you’d have there something like:

disqus:
  shortname: sitename

Now you need to add the following HTML snippet to every Jekyll layout that you want Hyvor comments enabled for:


<div id="hyvor-talk-view"></div>
<script type="text/javascript">
 var HYVOR_TALK_WEBSITE = YOUR_SITE_ID; // DO NOT CHANGE THIS
 var HYVOR_TALK_CONFIG = {
     url: '{{ page.url | absolute_url }}',
     id: '{{page.url | absolute_url }}'
 };
</script>
<script async type="text/javascript" src="//talk.hyvor.com/web-api/embed"></script>

That’s the trickiest part of the migration process, as you’ll have to tweak some Jekyll layouts manually. Normally, you want comments only for posts, so you’ll need to modify the post.html layout. The layout files are bundled with Jekyll’s themes so you have to create a _layouts directory in your site, and copy the post.html from your site’s theme (e.g. minima) there. I usually just grab the file from the theme’s GitHub repo, you can also get it from the locally installed theme:

$ cd mysite
$ mkdir _layouts
$ bundle info --path minima
/home/bozhidar/.rbenv/versions/2.7.1/lib/ruby/gems/2.7.0/gems/minima-2.5.1
$ cd /home/bozhidar/.rbenv/versions/2.7.1/lib/ruby/gems/2.7.0/gems/minima-2.5.1
$ tree
.
├── LICENSE.txt
├── README.md
├── _includes
│   ├── disqus_comments.html
│   ├── footer.html
│   ├── google-analytics.html
│   ├── head.html
│   ├── header.html
│   ├── icon-github.html
│   ├── icon-github.svg
│   ├── icon-twitter.html
│   ├── icon-twitter.svg
│   └── social.html
├── _layouts
│   ├── default.html
│   ├── home.html
│   ├── page.html
│   └── post.html
├── _sass
│   ├── minima
│   │   ├── _base.scss
│   │   ├── _layout.scss
│   │   └── _syntax-highlighting.scss
│   └── minima.scss
└── assets
    ├── main.scss
    └── minima-social-icons.svg
$ cp /home/bozhidar/.rbenv/versions/2.7.1/lib/ruby/gems/2.7.0/gems/minima-2.5.1/_layouts/post.html _layouts/

That’s it! Now just add the Hyvor snippet to the end of the layout file and publish your updated site. All of your old comments should be attached to their respective blog posts.

One thing to keep in mind is that by default the Hyvor snippet for Jekyll looks like:


url: '{{ page.url | absolute_url }}',
id: '{{page.id}}'

This implies that comments are mapped to URLs by using relative URLs. However, the exported data from Disqus was using absolute URLs. I needed to change it the default, so the Hyvor IDs would match what Disqus was using in my case (absolute instead of relative page URLs):


url: '{{ page.url | absolute_url }}',
id: '{{page.url | absolute_url }}'

Closing Thoughts

I told you that the process was pretty easy. I really regret not doing this earlier, but then again - if I had left Disqus earlier probably I wouldn’t have discovered Hyvor Talk (as it wouldn’t have existed). There’s always some silver lining.

If you are not paying for it, you’re not the customer; you’re the product being sold.

Hyvor Talk doesn’t have a free plan, which might be a deal-breaker for some, but I’m more than happy to pay $5/month for a service that is respecting the privacy of my users and could be used on unlimited number of sites. If you’d like to give Hyvor a try I’d appreciated it if you used my affiliate link to sign up.

That’s all I have for you today. Keep hacking!

  1. Something like 10 years. 

  2. I currently have 4 of those. 

  3. Writing this article took way longer than the actual migration. 

07 Dec 17:39

Money Through the Ages

Tom Roche

quite shallow

Money does make the world go around, but when you investigate its history, it is also a great confidence trick. A shared fiction, which works because we all agree it works. But it was not ever thus, as a look back at history reveals, from the first coins to the first paper money in China under Kublai Khan, up to Bitcoin and MMT.
06 Dec 23:08

A Political History of Georgia

by Deconstructed
Tom Roche

excellent, detailed, though occasionally Chidi is a bit PC (esp regarding Stacey Abrams)

Right now you can head over to theintercept.com/give and donate to support The Intercept’s reporting. Your donations are what allow us to do the kind of independent, investigative accountability journalism the public relies on.

All donations are welcome. Consider becoming a sustaining member at $5 or $10 a month; it may seem small, but it has a big impact over time. Your donation — no matter the amount — does make a difference.

With runoff elections in Georgia next month poised to determine which party will have control of the U.S. Senate, national media have turned their eyes south. To help you digest the coming avalanche of Georgia coverage, Ryan Grim sits down with Intercept contributor George Chidi to discuss his state’s raucous political history.

Ryan Grim: Welcome back to Deconstructed, this is Ryan Grim. Before we start the show today, I wanna ask you all a favor. Right now you can head over to theintercept.com/give and donate to support The Intercept’s reporting — that’s theintercept.com/give. Your donations are what allow us to do the kind of independent, investigative, accountability journalism the public relies on. Later on the show, we’ll talk about a story The Intercept broke that exposed the shady financial dealing of Georgia senator David Perdue, an investigation that is now shaking up a race that determines control of the Senate and the fate — for better or for worse — of the Biden administration’s legislative agenda. This stuff is important, but it’s expensive to do.

Democracy depends on the public’s right to know. That’s why our journalism will never be hidden behind a paywall. The Intercept gives reporters the freedom and support to do deep investigations that just don’t get done anywhere else. We are committed to bringing you voices and ideas you won’t find elsewhere:

All donations are welcome — consider becoming a sustaining member at $5 or $10 per month. It may seem small, but it has a big impact over time. So pause this thing, head to theintercept.com/give and donate now. I mean, if you feel like it. No pressure. That’s theintercept.com/give. Your donation — no matter what the amount — does make a difference.

Now, if you want The Intercept to know that you’re a Deconstructed listener, there’s a link in the show notes that you can give through. Either way, we appreciate that you’re listening. Now, on to the show.

[Musical interlude.]

Sidney Powell: I think I would encourage all Georgians to make it known that you will not vote at all until your vote is secure. [Applause.]

Lin Wood: If Kelly Loeffler wants your vote, if David Perdue wants your vote, they’ve got to earn it. They’ve got to demand publicly: “Brian Kemp, call a special session of the Georgia legislature.” And if they do not do it, if Kelly Loeffler and David Perdue do not do it, they have not earned your vote. Don’t you give it to them.

That was a recent rally in Georgia headlined by former trump lawyer Sidney Powell and Republican heavyweight attorney Lin Wood. But it’s not the only blow to the GOP’s chances in the upcoming Georgia Senate runoffs.

CNN Newscaster: The latest attacks from Ossoff target the timing of Senator Perdue’s sales of more than $1 million worth of stock from Atlanta-based Cardlytics, a financial company where Perdue was once a board member. In emails obtained by The New York Times, Cardlytics CEO at the time, Scott Grimes, emailed the Senator on January 21: “David, I know you’re about to do a call with David Evans. As an FYI, I have not told him about the upcoming changes.” Senator Perdue responded: “I don’t know about a call with David or the changes you mentioned.” The Cardlytics CEO emailed back the next morning: “David, sorry, that email was not meant for you. Wrong David.” An email mix-up.

But the next day, on January 23, financial disclosure forms show Perdue sold between $1-$5 million in Cardlytics stock. Six weeks later, Cardlytics stock plummeted when the CEO announced he was stepping down, forecasting disappointing earnings. On March 18, with Cardlytics stock at $29 per share, financial disclosures show Perdue bought back between $100-$250,000 worth of Cardlytics stock. Cardlytics is trading this week at around $120 per share.

RG: On Thursday, I added new reporting to this scandal, namely that David Perdue had previously lied and claimed that an independent outside adviser made his trades, but it’s now clear he personally directed the sale after that email exchange with the CEO.

I’m joined by Intercept correspondent George Chidi, who’s based in Atlanta and has been closely tracking these races. You’re gonna be hearing a lot about Georgia the next two months, so today on the show we thought we’d take a look back at that state’s tumultuous history and how it ended up in its present political mess.

George and I are gonna run through the history of the state — from Oglethorpe to Talmadge, from Tom Watson to FDR, from Jimmy Carter to Stacey Abrams. But first, George, how is that Sidney Powell-Lin Wood rally playing in the news down there?

George Chidi: Oh, my goodness. So for the most part, people, the news, like the AJC, and the television stations, and whatnot — they’re not really talking a whole lot about it. Where it’s coming through at all is in social media. And in that case, it’s really bifurcated. The progressive people in Georgia are seeing this and it’s mockery, and conservatives are seeing this and they’re torn, like there’s a real internal argument happening in social media between, frankly, how crazy do we want to be? And whether or not we need to dismiss this stuff in order to move on and win the two competitive Senate races that are still on the table.

RG: What about David Perdue’s stock trading scandal? He’s been running this hilarious ad that refers to himself as totally exonerated, which is the least ringing endorsement you can give yourself in a campaign ad.

GC: It’s very Trump-like.

RG: It is. It is.

Ad Voiceover: Perdue was cleared by the bipartisan Senate Ethics Committee — the SEC — and DOJ. Perdue was totally exonerated. Jon Ossoff: you just can’t believe him.

RG: But is it getting much play? Is this resonating or do people just not care? And if he’s corrupt, he’s our corrupt guy?

GC: Oh no — they care, but not enough. They care, but it’s pecking at the edges. And Perdue’s ad, I might add, is running, but those are not the ads that people are paying any attention to. Because they’re not running a lot of those ads. Like, they’re out there in order to be out there.

Most of Perdue’s ad buy is about attacking Jon Ossoff as a Marxist radical and all the rest of it.

RG: Mhmm.

GC: Like, it’s rare to see a positive advertisement at all from Perdue, and completely none from Loffler. Loffler, as far as I can tell, hasn’t run a single positive ad at all in the entire cycle. I’m exaggerating, but only marginally — like the vast majority of the advertising has been attacks on Warnock.

Ad Voiceover: This is America. But will it still be if the radical left controls the Senate? Raphael Warnock calls police “thugs” and “gangsters”; hosted a rally for communist dictator Fidel Castro.

GC: And the ad buys are $300 million, apparently, of ad buys have been placed for the cycle in Georgia. It’s unreal. It’s insane.

RG: And what about on the Democratic side? What are Warnock and Ossoff doing?

GC: So it’s a mix. Ossoff has taken the attack role. The Ossoff and Warnock campaigns are running as a joint campaign: they’re sharing staff, they’re sharing resources.

Ossoff has taken the attack role here, and he’s pounding on the stock trades, but his ad-mix and his public communication mix is 50/50. It’s a much more even split between attacking Perdue for being distant, and not holding town halls, and not talking to people, and being some sort of corrupt avatar of corporate America, and his own sort of take on trying to get rural hospitals going and talking about pandemic relief. Warnock is almost exclusively positive, talking, again, about pandemic relief and the soul of the nation stuff.

It’s a fascinating problem, as I’m looking at this. Both of them have to win. So they’re being very tightly connected. I think somebody got the memo and over on the Republican side, that only one of them has to survive this, so they’re taking a kind of a different tack, each of them.

RG: Right. I think what you said earlier about a lot of voters, you know, caring about Perdue’s corruption, but not quite caring enough, really kind of flows out of Georgia history, because it’s a place where political beliefs are held so intensely, and it’s kind of —

GC: It also has a lot of political corruption in its history.

RG: Right.

GC: So, it is, even now, viewed as one of the more corrupt states in the United States. Let me tell you, as a close observer, for the last 10 or 15 years, it’s gotten better. It’s actually better now than it had been, but it took a lot of hard work.

The people who care about the corruption issues, by and large, they’re the minority. The things that motivate voters here are the big-ticket abortion and gay rights for the religious right. Sort of a general anti-, I don’t want to say anti-Black, but the sort of white racial resentment, driving some part of that, and this really old plantation class split, where folks who’ve got money are looking to protect it from the big, bad, evil government. Those are the things that motivate the right, at least, in Georgia.

RG: Right. It’s been that way for hundreds of years, in some ways. And so tell us a little bit about James Oglethorpe and the founding of Georgia, and a lot of people might not know this, the really only Southern free state, at least for a while, you know, founded as a free state. How did that happen?

GC: Right. So like — first things first, if you walk into the State House, at the top of the stairs, in the most prominent place in Georgia, you will see a giant bust of James Oglethorpe; and even now, he’s a revered figure here. Georgia was founded as a state that would not have slavery in it.

RG: Right.

And what’s amazing is that while it was founded as a free state and Oglethorpe was a genuine humanitarian, was opposed to slavery, he was this Englishman who had been a kind of prison-rights advocate, who saw the possibility of a colony in Georgia, as this classless society, he was going to bring over all these people who were in debtors prison, and turn them into artisans and farmers and create this kind of utopian society in Georgia.

But the reason that the Crown was OK with it at the time was not because they were humanitarians; they needed a buffer between South Carolina and Spanish Florida, because down in Spanish, Florida, you had some Native American tribes, but you also had the Spaniards who, if enslaved people could get from South Carolina down to Florida, if they would convert to Catholicism, they had their freedom. And then they would form them into kind of guerrilla armies and send them back up into South Carolina, where they would inspire slave revolts.

And from the 1600s on, you had relentless slave revolts in the Caribbean, which — people forget — the Caribbean was part of Southern culture at the time. The Caribbean was really the kind of center of power and the thing that the English and the Spanish and the French were fighting over.

And the mainland colonies were kind of a side project. But as those slave revolts picked up in the Caribbean, a lot of these planters fled and moved over to South Carolina. And so they were tired of losing their human property through Georgia down into Florida. So they tried to create this whites-only, pro-slavery — but free — state.

But the problem was they couldn’t find white people, because they wouldn’t allow Catholics, because they figured the Catholics were going to be linked with Spain, or France, or Ireland, which was — you know — they’re all at war at this time. So they couldn’t find enough people to work the land over there who were white and so they went and, like you said, reverted fairly quickly, 20 years or so, right, they legalized slavery.

And Oglethorpe is going back and forth, invading St. Augustine, invading Florida, the Spanish are invading back. And you don’t really have today’s Georgia take off until, what? After the American Revolution.

And what’s fascinating is that Georgia was actually the place where the cotton gin was invented, is that right?

GC: I believe so.

RG: Which then really explodes slavery through throughout the South. But not throughout the whole state. It’s not not like South Carolina where it was dominated. So which parts of Georgia were the ones where slavery was prominent, and where wasn’t it?

GC: So it’s interesting, there’s still a belt. You can start that belt in Eastern North Carolina. And that belt goes through the center, and just above the the Southern line of Georgia — still primarily African American, because of the legacy of slavery. And that’s important, if you want to understand the history of Georgia and sort of Southern politics, one of my pet peeves is how the Confederate revisionist romanticists like to claim all of the South as their own. Appalachian North Georgia — Ringgold, Georgia; Dalton, Georgia — when people were coming together, just before the Civil War to say, are we going to succeed or not? By and large, North Georgia told the plantation class from South Georgia to go jump in a creek. They weren’t having it. They didn’t want to go.

And as so much of Georgia politics is about — like there was a national convention a few weeks later, and they got them all drunk, and then they said yes. But even now, like, yes, the delegates were bribed, they got them drunk, they delayed some of them, and they stole it. They stole it! That was secession. They stole secession in Georgia.

RG: Right. Probably plenty of bribes to go along with it.

GC: A lot of folks either chose not to fight — in the north of Georgia, I might add — a lot of folks in the north of Georgia either chose not to fight or fought for the union.

RG: Right.

GC: Even now, there’s a Union County, Georgia. So it’s interesting.

Atlanta, I mean, they burned Atlanta to the ground, they burned most of this stuff to the ground, you started to see a few African-American elected leaders.

RG: And so how did that play out, then, in Reconstruction?

GC: I mean, Reconstruction was horrible, don’t get me wrong, like it was painful for everybody. Except Black people, for whom it was somewhat less painful. And that didn’t last long.

Eventually, guys in white sheets started taking control back, town by town. Everything sort of went wrong. And, eventually, African Americans were effectively re-enslaved, to a point where people who were confronting that in government, were being shot in duels.

RG: And it starts, in a way, with 40 acres and a mule. You know, Field Order No. 15, so General Sherman, marches from Atlanta to the sea, burning everything on the way. And as he’s marching, hundreds and then thousands of people free themselves, and walk off of plantations and are following him.

He, in order to try to figure out what to do with this roving band of former slaves, comes up with Field Order No. 15. But that was something that, as I understand it, was pushed for by local Black clergy, and activists and organizers, kind of with the enslaved community. He said, “What do you want?” And they said, “Well, what we want is land.” And so he divvies up 40 acres per family, plus, if they want a tired, old mule that the Union Army is no longer using, they can have one of those. And, you know thriving communities begin until Lincoln is assassinated and white supremacist Andrew Johnson comes in and essentially takes it all back.

Now, I understand something similar happened on Sea Island, right, where the local, Black population there was able to take over the land, but they formed militias and fought off attempts to retake that land. And I don’t know about this day, but held it for decades or maybe more than 100 years.

GC: Fun fact, David Perdue lives on Sea Island.

RG: There you go. Yeah, he has like a multimillion-dollar house there, right?

GC: Yes, he does: 9000 square feet.

RG: And that’s where Republicans — well, the American Enterprise Institute, I believe, holds a kind of an annual lavish retreat where something like 30 to 60 private planes land every weekend when they hold that.

And so you were saying as a result of the terror campaign, there’s kind of a re-enslavement that brings you, eventually, into the populist era. So you’ve got Tom Watson, who ends up later in his career, becoming this kind of proud white supremacist, but post-Reconstruction in the kind of 1880s and 1890s, Tom Watson leads this Populist Party, which is going to be a coalition of Black and white laborers. And it starts to make serious inroads, particularly throughout the South, and he has this famous quote in one of the speeches he gave: “You are kept apart that you may be separately fleeced of your earnings. You are made to hate each other because upon that hatred is rested the keystone of the arch of financial despotism which enslaves you both.”

That is the race-class narrative that the kind of more sophisticated left is pushing now, which says that: Look, the elites are using race as a wedge to divide people who have common interests, to use race to divide the working class. So this is 150 years ago, this is Tom Watson pushing that. He makes some substantial progress, but is eventually kind of co-opted by William Jennings Bryan.

GC: Right.

RG: And so the Democratic Party kind of adopts the white element of that and sheds the Black element of it. Why do you think that that fell apart? And what’s the legacy of that effort to create a multiracial populism in Georgia?

GC: I think part of that is to, one, it’s the same political dynamic to some degree that exists still today — a fear amongst modestly educated white people that their labor would be displaced by Black people. Trying to overcome that is unusually difficult. Because there was a lot of Black labor around.

On top of that, there was this sort of long-term resentment that still persists in politics today, you could still see pieces of it, of the cost of educating African-American children. Newspaper editors, eight ways to Sunday, including Grady, would speak at length about the sacrifices that white people had made, since the end of the war, in order to educate Black children, that so much public spending was being devoted toward the education of Black children — and, to some degree, they were arguing that this is a waste, because Black people are never going to be fully educated — educable — equal, it’s not going to work. Like, look at all this waste that we’re doing. But we’re doing it because we want to show our good Christian character and our commitment to this idea. But no, it’s not working, and we should abandon this, and Black people need to be in their place, because the alternative is this waste.

That idea — this idea of wasting energy and resources on Black people — that was extremely difficult to overcome for folks who were still struggling to dig out of the problems associated with Reconstruction and their loss of economic power.

RG: It reared its head in the pandemic too, right? Did you see some of that play out?

GC: A little bit.

RG: Yeah.

GC: Like, why are we spending — even now, despite a pandemic, well, it’s half of the people who are dying are Black. Like they it’s unstated, but it’s there. And why should I be spending my money in order to create financial support for these people?

RG: So then you move into the Great Depression, and now that the Democratic Party is becoming this interesting kind of white, populist beast down south. So 1936 that’s the first time that a majority of Black voters around the country voted for the Democratic Party, or the party of the Confederacy. And FDR wins something like 80-plus percent across Georgia — huge New Dealers down there.

At the same time, they elect Richard Russell, who is a kind of a New Dealer, but a white supremacist, and Eugene Talmadge, who was hostile to the New Deal. And his argument, as I understand it, tracks with what you were saying earlier: he was worried that the New Deal, by raising wages and living standards for everyone, would undo the apartheid that Georgia had implemented. Yet you had this kind of two-tier system, where whites were making one wage and living in certain areas, Blacks were making different wages and living in different areas. That’s how he wanted it to stay. And if you improved everybody’s lot, that put that whole project at risk. And these are people in the same party.

So yeah, who is Talmadge and what’s his legacy?

GC: So I’m gonna back up for a second. Start at the turn of the century: white conservatives in the South had fomented a race riot in Atlanta, through the newspapers, particularly Watson’s, but others, saying that Black people have finally started to run amok, they’re raping and attacking our white women, and we need to do something.

The new Klan emerges. Stone Mountain starts getting carved. Stone Mountain is a monument to the Confederacy in Georgia that, I might add, is two miles from my house and is the largest monument to the Confederacy in the United States. It’s still the most popular thing anybody visits in Georgia, because it’s a nice park. But there’s a giant carving of Confederate leaders on the side of a mountain.

And successively, Democratic leaders — governors, Senators, whatnot — they oriented themselves toward this idea that white supremacy is the most important thing. Eugene Talmadge, I would suggest, is the apotheosis of this political trend. A populist, absolutely, like in the vein of Donald Trump, a chicken in every pot populist. Like, I want the people of Georgia to know that their government is doing what they want it to do. The people of Georgia, among other things, want them Blacks kept in place. [Sighs.] And he, along with Richard Russell, were sort of instrumental in redefining this sense of rugged individualism, a very sort of classic, what we would think of as conservative views: free markets and free ideas, you should be able to do well based on your own individual enterprise and the government’s job is to make sure that it can do that for you, with you, as a partner.

The thing is he got elected because he was able to tap very deeply into the white supremacist, white resentment of the white working class of Georgia, who felt that their position was owed almost entirely to — well, it was not that their position was owed to being superior to Black people, but if there was any question of equality, that that’s enough. Like there are no other issues for a subset of Georgia voters — the white Georgia voters, then: Am I better than the Black guy who’s competing for the same job that I’m competing with?

RG: Right. And after his landslide win in 1936, Roosevelt starts to think that he has the power, that he can maybe do something about this. And now he comes at these Southern Dixiecrats in the next midterm and just gets crushed.

GC: Yeah.

RG: Like they annihilate him.

GC: Like, I think Talmadge won two, three counties. Maybe?

RG: You mean lost two or three counties?

GC: He lost two or three counties. Like he won everywhere. Bearing in mind, you’ve got no Black people voting, but still.

Eugene Talmadge died in office. And there was a question about — he was Governor-elect, he died, essentially in the lame duck period, and the state constitution didn’t say who would become governor in the lame duck period. Would it be the lieutenant governor?

RG: The U.S. Constitution is silent on that, too.

GC: Absolutely. Well, we fixed it now. But there was some question of political philosophical difference between the Lieutenant Governor-elect Melvin E. Thompson, and Ellis Arnall, who is like the outgoing governor. Because the legislature didn’t necessarily get along entirely with Eugene Talmadge. The legislature, they sorted this out by getting drunk, because that’s how they do things in Georgia. [Laughs.]

Quite literally, they had quorum trouble in the legislature as they were trying to sort this out, because there were too many people passed out in the anterooms. This isn’t like 1820. This is 1946! People are alive who saw this and remember it.

RG: [Laughs.] Right.

GC: This sort of backroom struggle for power, I think it informs to some degree, the sort of craziness that we’re looking at today in Georgia.

Newscaster: Senators Perdue and Loeffler issued a joint statement calling for the resignation of Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger over alleged failures in the election process

GC: — because he is unwilling to just set aside the election and decertify it in order to assign delegates to Trump. There’s a history here of backroom, double dealing, whatever it takes to hold on to power. Because there’s a fundamental skepticism of democracy baked in, because of all of the effort that had been made to ensure that African-American voters were never able to exercise political power again.

RG: Right. That this is how it’s done in Georgia. It’s been done this way before and they’re just trying to do it again.

GC: I want to say today that we’ve unwound a lot of that. I really think we do. But the DNA of that attitude is still baked into the political culture of Georgia. Like we’ve overcome it because of massive demographic change, and a tremendous increase in education. But politics are hereditary. Like I still argue with Herman Talmadge’s grandson on Facebook, and Herman Talmadge’s grandson both remembers all of this stuff, and is an advocate for it. Like, it’s still there, like, and I think it’s important that we talk through this stuff, so that people who are new to Georgia, and new to politics around here, really get where all of this is coming from.

[Musical interlude.]

RG: And so then you start to see, you know, the realignment that began kind of in the 30s, or depending when you want to date it, where the Republican Party all of a sudden starts to consider Georgia to be potentially competitive. You know, Eisenhower makes a bit of a run at it, but Nixon tries to bring it all home following Goldwater’s run in 1964 with the backing of Strom Thurmond.

And Strom Thurmond becomes kind of like Richard Nixon’s man in the South, in 1968. That he’s the validator.

GC: Yup.

RG: Yes, he’s going to speak vaguely about race. He’s going to talk about states rights, but: I’m Strom Thurmond, and trust me, I’ve spoken with Richard Nixon, and, you know, you can you can believe in him.

GC: Nixon’s sort of attitude towards Georgia Southern racist stuff — and, bear in mind, I’ve heard the tapes, like, yeah, Nixon was a racist, — but he had a keen sort of political ear. And it’s why I find it difficult to just sort of write him off as a cranky crook.

I’m coming back to Stone Mountain, in part because it’s sort of a marker for a lot of this stuff — Stone Mountain started getting carved, then it stopped getting carved, then there was this effort to raise money in order to start the carving again, nd whenever they started doing stuff with Stone Mountain it was always tied almost directly to sending a white supremacist message around here.

You know, a governor in the 50s ran on a platform that, yeah, we’re gonna take the Stone Mountain, the state’s gonna buy it from the private folks who own it to preserve it forever so that somebody else doesn’t try to destroy it. And, you know, he wins on that as part of his platform. And four years later the state owns Stone Mountain.

They started carving it again just as the Civil Rights Act passed. And sort of bringing it back to Nixon, Nixon was asked to be at the ceremony to open Stone Mountain and monument properly. And Nixon didn’t go because he knew what it would look like. He knew it would be this overt symbol of white supremacy —

RG: Too much.

GC: Yeah. So he sent Spiro Agnew in his place. Spiro Agnew was the one who sort of held up the federal flag saying yes, this is a good thing, not Nixon, because Nixon knew how to keep his hands clean [laughs] most of the time.

But yeah, this Southern strategy, you know, emerged from recognizing that white racial resentment trumped a lot of other bread and butter, pocketbook considerations about what would be good for someone, that if you had enough racial resentment, you would vote in the direction that alleviated that, regardless of other considerations.

RG: Right, it took a while to put that coalition together, because you were asking, essentially, populist, pro-New Deal forces to team up with kind of northeastern business, anti-New Deal interests. And so how do you square that circle?

And so right, they finally squared it around the idea of federal power: OK, we in the Northeast think that federal power is bad, because it’s going to tax us and it’s going to create a robust government, it’s the thing that powers the New Deal. You in the south might be OK with that, but you don’t really like a powerful federal government, because it’s going to bring about civil rights, it’s going to bring about equality, it’s going to bring about integration. So we can agree that we both hate the federal government, even if we hate them for different reasons. So you pull that coalition together.

But Jimmy Carter is a fascinating punctuation mark in the middle of this move from Nixon to Reagan. And he feels like a combination of the kind of legacy of Talmadge and the legacy of FDR. He’s hostile to big government. He’s not at all overtly what white supremacist, but he’s coming from South Georgia.

So, Georgia where he comes from, what are the racial politics there? And what is it that allows him to kind of take the mantle of both of those strains of the party?

GC: Carter is like the most fascinating, frustrating political figure that I think has emerged out of Georgia since Talmadge.

You start with this, he’s an avatar of anti-corruption. That’s part of the reason he won here in Georgia, was because there was this long legacy of corruption issues in Georgia, and he was viewed as this person who was above that, because of his personal history, his military background, and the rest of it.

Plains was racially driven by the, you know, Supreme Court decision in 1954, like Brown v. Board of Education, like racial integration was not taken well in that part of Georgia. Carter was a Kennedy supporter. He was an integrationist. But he was, for lack of a better word, nice — nice isn’t exactly the right word. He presented that in a way that was less threatening, I suppose, to the average Georgia voter than others, you might expect. And part of the problem here is like, he was succeeding less dramatics — that’s the context. Less dramatics, like axe handles, like, “you can’t have your Black people come into my store.” Less dramatics.

RG: Right, that’s what he got famous for, there was a store owner who chased a Black customer out with him with an axe handle and was proud of it.

GC: Georgians didn’t want that image of their state to be the thing that was on the nightly news in the rest of the country anymore. And so, they looked for somebody that could send an entirely different message to the country, and that’s where —

RG: These are like the Republican voters who were embarrassed by Trump’s Twitter.

GC: Yeah. Like, we can’t be the state of Lester Maddox.

There was a lot of other stuff going on — like the airport had just started to get built. And it was a thing in Atlanta that was distinguishing Atlanta from places like Charlotte and Birmingham and Macon. Atlanta was not the huge, great, amazing city in 1974 that it is today; Atlanta and Birmingham are equals economically. Atlanta and Georgia were able to sort out some of the racial issues in a way that states around them were not, and were able to create this sort of Atlanta way of this coalition of civil rights interests, and business interests that would were attempting to serve the interest of the community, basically to sidestep this sort of the horrible history of racism in the state for the purposes of making everybody money. [Laughs.]

And I laugh because it works.

RG: Right.

GC: Like whatever else is going on, appealing to people’s mercenary interests is what got them past a lot of this stuff.

RG: Right.

GC: I’m a fan of it, I advocate for it.

RG: You can’t look at Jackson, or Birmingham, and compare them to Atlanta, and say that it didn’t work. You’re right about that.

GC: So that’s Carter. That’s where he emerges from, like: We’ve got to stop being these people. He’s a complicated guy, though. And I don’t want to — there’s no way to have a five-minute conversation about Jimmy Carter without — I mean, there’s a lot there.

RG: Right.

And so the Democratic Party, and people might not realize this, the Democratic Party clung to power in Georgia, much longer than it did in a lot of other places in the rest of the South. And when did they finally get pushed out? And how did they hang on for so long?

GC: So the straw that broke the camel’s back was 2004. Like it was actually that late, and it was abortion — not abortion! Gay marriage.

RG: Right. Karl Rove’s weaponizing of homophobia that election. Right.

GC: It had been drifting in that direction with suburban flight that started in the 80s. White people just started leaving the city of Atlanta en masse. Cobb County drew a line, at the county line, saying Atlanta, thou shalt not pass. People outside of Atlanta would not allow the train system to expand beyond the core county areas, because they were afraid of Black people escaping the confines of the city and getting into the suburbs, which has still had conservative Democrats who were winning congressional races, like in North Georgia and South Georgia and eventually Nathan Deal who was a congressman, switching parties from being Democrats to being Republican, like starting in the late 90s.

The straw that broke the camel’s back was the push for gay marriage, essentially. There was a constitutional amendment posed in 2004 to make gay marriage illegal in the state constitution. It passed. Democrats were opposed to it. But not all Democrats; they lost some Black religious leaders and that was enough to lose the state. Everything flipped over at that point.

They flipped 40 seats in 2004, give or take. I mean, it was a route. And Democrats haven’t won a statewide seat in Georgia since — not secretary of state, not agriculture, not a public service commissioner, nothing. The party line vote flipped over permanently, or so everybody thought, in 2004. And it’s been like that until a month ago, with Biden’s win, and potentially with the runoff races here.

RG: So how does Stacey Abrams come onto the scene?

GC: So Stacey Abrams, she’s brilliant. And her biography is, you know, we could talk about it. But she was recognized as a very strategically wise sort of political infighter and the Democrats in the state legislature made her their minority party leader.

Abrams ran for — by the way, she lives up the street for me, I know her, she’s a friend. Abrams ran for governor in 2018 and she fundamentally challenged one of the sitting beliefs like that people had been holding throughout that 16-year period where they couldn’t win a statewide seat that you have to win more than 30 percent of the white vote in Georgia as a Democrat in order to have a shot at winning a statewide seat, that you have to win at least 30 percent.

Jason Carter had run in 2014 for a senate seat against David Perdue. And I heard over and over from his campaign team, “We’re going to get more than 30 percent, we’re going to get more than 30 percent.” They got 23 percent of the white vote, and they lost by seven points.

So like, the strategy has always been trying to run a moderate Democrat that can win 30 percent or more of the white vote, so that you can get to 50 percent plus one vote. Don’t be completely in the tank for racial equality, don’t pander to the Black vote, like you’re trying to, like run a quote-moderate-unquote campaign. And Abrams said: Hey, look, given the demographic changes, and the fact that a lot of Black people just don’t bother to show up to vote, because nobody’s trying to get them, we lose. I’m going to try a different thing. I’m going to run a campaign where I’m just going to try to get every Black voter out there to show up, and I’m going to be who I am, and I may or may not get 30 percent of the white vote, but it’s not going to matter. Because I’m going to have enough other voters, and I’m going to increase voter turnout enough where it’s not going to matter. And she came within, what was it, 50,000 votes? Like she, came within a half a percent of beating Brian Kemp. And suddenly everybody woke up because it was the best showing a Democratic had had in 15 years.

RG: And without the voter suppression and shenanigans, do you think that there were enough shenanigans, that her strategy, absent that, actually succeeds? Or did succeed?

GC: No. Maybe! It’s a question. I took heat for this in 2018, when people were saying, “Oh, it got stolen from Stacey Abrams.” And I’m like, you know, it was close. It was really, really close.

Turnout, at least before November of this year, was extremely high. It’s hard to argue that there was massive voter suppression going on because turnout was as high as it was.

I mean, you can nitpick some of the strategic choices that Abrams made. But it really is nitpicking. If it had gone the other way, you wouldn’t say anything about a flyer targeting African Americans, like John Lewis went on television was talking about how Stacey Abrams is the legacy of the civil rights movement, and white voters sort of took that as an attack on their integrity — some white voters, you know which ones.

But that’s all small potatoes. It’s small-ball. It’s base-hit politics. That’s sort of, you know, blocking and tackling. I honestly can’t say that there was some act of suppression that I can point to and say, “Yeah, that was worth 100,000 votes.”

I just haven’t been willing to make that statement.

RG: How did she do among the white vote?

GC: She won, I want to say 23 percent. Now that you say it, I’m gonna look it up. She did not crack 30 percent of the white vote. And I might add, neither did Biden. He came in just below. He was at like 28 percent or something like that.

RG: Interesting.

GC: So that whole idea of there’s a line, and you’ve got to get above it in order to win. I think that’s done. I think that’s blown away.

RG: So what is your read on how this run-off is looking at at this point? And what are the smart Stacey Abrams of the state saying about how this looks? Because historically, Democrats haven’t come out for these runoffs. Do you think this is gonna fit that historical pattern or?

GC: This is way different.

So fewer people will come out to vote in January, like that much is clear. Fewer people will vote. Like traditionally you would see 25 percent of the electorate shop for a runoff, if it was a runoff of the public service commission — and there’s a public service commission runoff, and the public service commission is very, very important, and nobody knows or cares about the public service commission. And if that’s the only thing that was on the ballot, you would have turnout out of 8 percent. You would expect 25 percent.

I think 50 percent is possible. I think it’s plausible because it’s all the marbles. And because there’s $300 million of ad buys going out there, like people who choose not to vote in January are choosing not to vote in January. They’re not just blowing it off.

But it’s a jump ball. Like, there’s no way to tell whether or not voter outreach and voter mobilization is going to be sufficient to get Democrats across the line, whether or not this sort of lingering resentment, like the hostility and anger that Trump voters have is going to translate into a “screw you, we’re keeping this vote that keeps Perdue and Loeffler in office.” I am unwilling to hazard a guess. My sense of it is that it’s still going to be relatively close, like within two or three points up or down. But anybody who says that they can call it right now is lying.

RG: Oh, I just checked. CNN guessed Abrams had a 25 percent of the white vote.

GC: Yup.

RG: What do you make of the absentee ballot requests so far, which seemed to be trending Republican?

GC: So I wouldn’t read more into that. So, here’s the thing: There are a lot of people who are Republicans who are cross voting now. Like, the Republican Party has lost some steam in Georgia. Like Trumpism has — I’m looking at some long-term Republican officeholders who are voting Democrat, because they’re seeing how Perdue and Loeffler’s defense of Trump speaks to a deeper malaise in Georgia politics. And they are very unhappy that there is this internal squabbling between Kemp and the U.S. senators, like where people are questioning each other’s integrity, and where Trump is attacking Republican officeholders who were respected before all of this.

Yeah, you might see 900,000 absentee ballots being pulled, and that a disproportionate number of them might be Republicans, but I, again, would not read more into that than it is.

One thing is clear, like Democrats vote early. And my sense of it is that they remain distrustful of the mail, and they’re anticipating that with lower a lower turnout race, that trying to vote early by going to their local polling place in person and voting early, where they know that there won’t be any questions whatsoever about whether or not their vote’s going to count, because they’ll stand there and show ID and it will get counted. I think that what I’m looking at is a shift of Democratic voters from absentee ballots to early, in-person voting.

RG: Mhmm. No, that makes sense.

Who’s Raphael Warnock? And does he have any chance at all of peeling off slightly more religious, like evangelical whites than a typical Democrat might? Or is that just a pipedream?

GC: [Sighs.] Some.

So, it’s worth writing about. It’s worth thinking about. I actually want to ask him about it. He is an anti-prosperity gospel. And I love him for it, because that’s one of my personal foibles, that bugs me.

The thing is, white evangelical Christians are still, you know, I want to say, probably about 50 percent of the electorate in Georgia at this point — 40 percent anyway. And 80 percent of them have a theology that is relatively hostile to the theology that Warnock offers. There are liberal, white evangelicals; they exist, there are actually a lot of them. Liberal in the sense of politically liberal, not logically liberal. But they’re already voting Democrat.

RG: Right.

GC: The evangelical Christian vote in Georgia has been shrinking. Part of its demography, and part of it is that that wing of Christianity is losing favor amongst younger people. People are not joining evangelical churches.

So the folks who remain tend to be much more devoted to their theological and political philosophy than those who have already left.

I don’t think Warnock’s sort of religious appeal is to white evangelical voters. I think it’s to disillusioned former evangelical voters who might see something closer to their own political views in what he speaks.

RG: And if you had to guess, and last question, which one of them has a better shot, Ossoff or Warnock? Or do you think that they kind of live or die together?

GC: I think in general they live and die together. I think Warnock has a slightly better chance against Loeffler than Ossoff has against Perdue. And the reason, in part, is because Loeffler’s never won a campaign before. Like she’s never run for public office before. She’s got some high negatives going on. Plus, there’s some vestigial sexism in Georgia politics that is probably a drag on her in particular.

The betting money is that Warnock is pulling Ossoff along. That’s not to undersell Jon Ossoff’s appeal. Like, I think he’s a great candidate. But I think Warnock has sort of the higher profile right now. Also, just part of the way he’s campaigning, like the positivity of his campaigning, frankly, makes him a much more appealing candidate than any of the others. It’s part of the reason why I think Loeffler has been trying to scuff him up by associating him with sort of perceived, radical extremist Black preachers. She can’t do a, “Hey, I’m the white person, don’t vote for this Black person” campaign. But, you could put right Reverend Jeremiah in front of you and let somebody draw their own conclusions.

You know, it’s really frustrating to watch. But I think Warnock is the leader here.

RG: And when does early voting start?

GC: Early voting starts on December 14 and goes up until the Friday before the Election.

RG: Oh, boy. Alright, gonna be quite a ride. George Chidi, thank you so much for joining us on Deconstructed.

GC: Happy to be here.

RG: This race is only gonna get wilder between now and Election Day.

Rudy Giuliani is now in Georgia crying fraud. On Saturday, Donald Trump is rallying in Georgia for David Perdue and Kelly Loeffler. But Republicans down there are deeply worried that he’s gonna go wildly off script and send this thing further around the bend than it already is. It’ll be interesting to watch.

[Musical interlude.]

RG: That was George Chi. And that’s our show.

Deconstructed is a production of First Look Media and The Intercept. Our producer is Zach Young. The show was mixed by Bryan Pugh. Our theme music was composed by Bart Warshaw. Betsy Reed is The Intercept’s editor in chief. For more on Georgia’s founding as a free state, check out Gerald Horne’s “The Counter-Revolution of 1776.”

I’m Ryan Grim, D.C. Bureau Chief of the Intercept. If you’d like to support our work, go to theintercept.com/give — your donation, no matter what the amount, makes a real difference.

And If you haven’t already, please subscribe to the show so you can hear it every week. If you’re subscribed already, please do leave us a rating or review — it helps people find the show. And if you want to give us feedback, email us at Podcasts@theintercept.com. Thanks so much!

We’ll see you next week.

The post A Political History of Georgia appeared first on The Intercept.

06 Dec 21:30

The problematic polymath that was J.B.S. Haldane

Tom Roche

rerun

J.B.S. Haldane was a brilliant and eccentric British scientist, as famous in his day as Albert Einstein, whose predictions inspired Aldous Huxley's Brave New World. But his passion for science was matched by his passion for politics, and his inability to separate the two would prove his greatest moral crisis. Originally broadcast on the 7th of September, 2020.
06 Dec 21:24

Modern socialism in Latin America

Tom Roche

antisocialist hit piece

Stephen Hicks and Gloria Alvarez discuss socialism of the 21st century. 'Democratic socialism' is supposed to be the answer to free-market failures of the past. A new wave of leftist ideas is sweeping across Latin America. What are the reasons behind anti-liberalism and the obsession with socialism in many Latin American countries?
06 Dec 21:17

The Flip Side of History: the Aztecs through their own words

Tom Roche

excellent though occasionally PC/identitarian

Forget history written by the victors. Cundill Prize-winning historian Camilla Townsend turned to annals kept by the Aztecs themselves to reveal a history of a vibrant, sophisticated people who valued hard word, perseverance, who were master storytellers and loved a good joke — and who 500 years ago had outdoor food courts! *This episode originally aired on December 3, 2020.
06 Dec 21:16

Ep. 125: Obama-Era Media Failures We Shouldn't Rehash Under Biden (Part I)

Tom Roche

VERY EXCELLENT

President-elect Joe Biden has promised what he calls a return to "decency" and "unity," and American media has broadly characterized his victory over Donald Trump as, in the words of New York Times columnist Charles Blow, "The Third Term of the Obama Presidency." Many of the same holdovers — Samantha Power, Antony Blinken, Michèle Flournoy, Bob McDonald, Jake Sullivan, Susan Rice, Sally Yates, John Kerry and many in the revolving think tank, consulting outfits, marketing firms, undersecretary advisor world are expected to be back into the White House come January 20, 2021.

While they have many obvious superficial differences, the Obama and Biden White Houses will more or less borrow from the same playbook: slick, marketing-focused, technocratic, centrist, hawkish maintainers of the neoliberal status quo. As such, many lessons can be learned from the media’s coverage of the Obama White house and what mistakes not to repeat again.

From Obama’s prosecution of foreign occupations to directing dirty wars, supporting the destruction of Yemen to running a drone strike regime, pushing austerity dogma to continue the brutal war on drugs, inhumane immigration enforcement to many routine cruel and violent policies — because they lacked the partisan hook and sadistic fervor of Trump — were largely ignored, downplayed, or soft pedaled by U.S. media from 2009 to the beginning of 2017.

This is Part I of a two-part episode breaking down these "media mistakes" - major areas where the American press failed to hold the most powerful person in the world to account. We explore how the Obama era may provide a blueprint of what we may expect under the upcoming Biden administration and how activists can get ahead of these failures before they inevitably manifest.

Our guest is Peter Hart, National Communications Manager for Food & Water Watch.

06 Dec 02:02

Maria Theresa

Tom Roche

excellent

Melvyn Bragg and guests discuss Maria Theresa (1717-1780) who inherited the Austrian throne in 1740 at the age of 23. Her neighbours circled like wolves and, within two months, Frederick the Great had seized one of her most prized lands, Silesia, exploiting her vulnerability. Yet over the next forty years through political reforms, alliances and marriages, she built Austria up into a formidable power, and she would do whatever it took to save the souls of her Catholic subjects, with a rigidity and intolerance that Joseph II, her son and heir, could not wait to challenge. With Catriona Seth Marshal Foch Professor of French Literature at the University of Oxford Martyn Rady Professor of Central European History at University College London And Thomas Biskup Lecturer in Early Modern History at the University of Hull Producer: Simon Tillotson
06 Dec 02:02

Piers Plowman

Tom Roche

excellent

Melvyn Bragg and guests discuss William Langland's poem, written around 1370, about a man called Will who fell asleep on the Malvern Hills and dreamed of Piers the Plowman. This was a time between the Black Death and The Peasants’ Revolt, when Christians wanted to save their souls but doubted how best to do it - and had to live with that uncertainty. Some call this the greatest medieval poem in English, one offering questions not answers, and it can be as unsettling now as it was then. With Laura Ashe Professor of English Literature at Worcester College, University of Oxford Lawrence Warner Professor of Medieval English at King’s College London And Alastair Bennett Lecturer in Medieval Literature at Royal Holloway, University of London Producer: Simon Tillotson
05 Dec 17:44

The Palace Letters and the Dismissal

Tom Roche

excellent

Forty five years after the event , the dismissal of the Whitlam government in 1975 continues to make waves and the release of the palace letters has added a new dimension to the story. Earlier this year, the High Court of Australia overturned the Queen’s embargo on correspondence between Sir John Kerr and the Queen’s Private Secretary. What do these letters tell us about how events unfolded and what the palace knew?
05 Dec 16:53

Ep 196 Iran & Middle East: Shifting Priorites? feat Elijah Magnier

Tom Roche

excellent

Guest: Elijah Magnier. We talk about the recent assassination of an Iranian top scientist and threats of retaliation proposed by hardline Iranian media, the precarious situation due to Trump  likely leaving office soon and Netanyahu’s political troubles. We discuss the failure to withdraw US troops from Iraq and the likely consequences, the prospects for rejoining the JCPOA Iran nuclear deal and the things that could complicate that, the stronger influence of Russia and China in the region and finally a bonus question about the relationship between Trump and Netanyahu near the end of his term. 

FOLLOW Elijah  on Twitter @ejmalrai. Find and support his work at ejmagnier.com. There is a “donate” button at the bottom of the page. 

Around the Empire is listener supported, independent media. Pitch in at Patreon: patreon.com/aroundtheempire or paypal.me/aroundtheempirepod. Find all links at aroundtheempire.com

SUBSCRIBE on YouTube. FOLLOW @aroundtheempire and @joanneleon.  SUBSCRIBE/FOLLOW on iTunes, iHeart, Spotify, Google Play, Facebook or on your preferred podcast app.

Recorded on November 29, 2020. Music by Fluorescent Grey.

Reference Links:

  1. IS THE MIDDLE EAST ON JOE BIDEN’S PRIORITY LIST? (1), Elijah Magnier
  2. CAN IRAN CONVINCE BIDEN TO RESOLVE THE NUCLEAR DEAL? (2), Elijah Magnier
  3.  WHY IRAQ IS EXPECTED TO BE HOT FOR JOE BIDEN AND VICE-VERSA? (3), Elijah Magnier
  4. WHY DOES IRAN BELIEVE ISRAEL COULD BE PREPARING A STRIKE AGAINST ITS NUCLEAR FACILITY?, Elijah Magnier
  5. The Pride of Israel: Assassinations, Haaretz
  6. Iran plans ‘calculated’ response after nuclear scientist killed as newspaper calls for revenge on Israeli city, Fox News

04 Dec 17:18

Behind the News, 11/26/20

Tom Roche

The Jeff Stein interview is just skippable--this is not the WaPo economics guy, it's some security-deep-state old-timer. For McCallum, listen to his VastMajority interview instead--it's a superset of this/BtN one.

Behind the News, 11/26/20 - guests: Jamie McCallum on overwork, Jeff Stein on the Biden natsec team - Doug Henwood
04 Dec 17:14

Behind the News, 12/3/20

Tom Roche

[Thomas Sugrue @ NYU](https://as.nyu.edu/content/nyu-as/as/faculty/thomas-sugrue.html), author of [this essay](https://www.publicbooks.org/preexisting-conditions-what-2020-reveals-about-our-urban-future/), on COVID-19’s impact on cities • [Kristin K. Du Mez @ Calvin U](https://calvin.edu/directory/people/kristin-kobes-du-mez), author of [Jesus and John Wayne](https://wwnorton.com/books/9781631495731), on gender, especially the masculine kind, in evangelical Christianity

Behind the News, 12/3/20 - guests: Tom Sugrue on COVID-19 and cities; Kristin Du Mez on gender, esp the male kind, in evangelical Christianity - Doug Henwood
04 Dec 15:52

Andrea: EmacsConf2020: Lead your future with Org

by Andrea
04 Dec 15:50

Diego Zamboni: New release of Publishing with Emacs, Org-mode and Leanpub

by Diego Zamboni
A new release of my book “Publishing with Emacs, Org-mode and Leanpub” is out! With a lot of new information and other improvements. Learn how to use powerful tools and workflows to easily publish your words.
04 Dec 06:00

#784 Radiohead's Kid A & the Story of Sex Pistols' Manager Malcolm McLaren

by jimdero@jimdero.com (Greg Kot, Jim DeRogatis, Andrew Gill, Alex Claiborne)
Tom Roche

yet another great Classic Album Dissection PLUS excellent Malcolm McLaren bio

Following up the guitar masterpiece of OK Computer, Radiohead threw the music world for a loop with Kid A. Twenty years after it's release hosts Jim DeRogatis and Greg Kot talk with author Steven Hyden about how the album was made and its lasting impact. They also discuss the life and career of the Sex Pistols and New York Dolls manager Malcolm McLaren.

 

Become a member on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/soundopinions

Make a donation via PayPal: https://bit.ly/36zIhZK

 

Record a Voice Memo and email it to interact@soundopinions.org

 

Featured Songs:

Radiohead, "Idioteque," Kid A, Parlophone, 2000

Radiohead, "How To Disappear Completely," Kid A, Parlophone, 2000

Radiohead, "Subterranean Homesick Alien," OK Computer, Parlophone, 1997

Travis, "Writing To Reach You," The Man Who, Independiente, 1999

Autechre, "Rae," LP5, Warp, 1999

Radiohead, "Fake Plastic Trees," The Bends, Parlophone, 1995

Radiohead, "Everything In Its Right Place," Kid A, Parlophone, 2000

Radiohead, "Kid A (Live)," Unreleased, N/A, 2001

Radiohead, "Kid A," Kid A, Parlophone, 2000

Radiohead, "Treefingers," Kid A, Parlophone, 2000

Radiohead, "The National Anthem (Live)," Unreleased, N/A, 2001

Radiohead, "15 Step," In Rainbows, Parlophone, 2007

Radiohead, "The National Anthem," Kid A, Parlophone, 2000

Sex Pistols, "Anarchy In the U.K.," Never Mind the Bullocks, Here's the Sex Pistols, Virgin, 1977

Sex Pistols, "God Save the Queen," Never Mind the Bullocks, Here's the Sex Pistols, Virgin, 1977

Sex Pistols, "Pretty Vacant," Never Mind the Bullocks, Here's the Sex Pistols, Virgin, 1977

Bow Wow Wow, "I Want Candy," The Last of the Mohicans, RCA, 1982

Malcolm McLaren, "Buffalo Gals," Duck Rock, Virgin, 1983

Sault, "Hard Life," Untitled (Black Is), Forever Living Originals, 2020

03 Dec 03:17

Jacobin Radio: Tribute to Diego Maradona

by Jacobin magazine
Tom Roche

excellent

Suzi introduces producers Alan Minsky, Executive Director of the Progressive Democrats of America (PDA), and Meleiza Figueroa, urban geographer, environmental and social justice activist, who pay tribute to Diego Maradona, the brilliant futbolista who also spoke truth to power. Alan and Meleiza are producers of the quadrennial People's Game -- as well as this podcast -- and today bring their insights and appreciation of Maradona, the soccer legend who died on November 25th, at just 60 years of age.

03 Dec 03:17

Michael and Us: John Rambo Innocent! w/ Micah Uetricht

by Jacobin magazine
Tom Roche

excellent

A podcast about political cinema and our crumbling world. Hosted by Will Sloan and Luke Savage.

Before he became a conservative warrior, John Rambo was just a mixed-up vet. We're joined by Jacobin deputy editor Micah Uetricht to parse the ambiguous politics of FIRST BLOOD (1982), where Sylvester Stallone is just as frazzled by right-wing cops as he is by left-wing protestors. We also situate the film among other Vietnam War movies, and compare the Vietnam canon to Iraq War cinema. PLUS: Luke has been reading Obama's autobiography and has some thoughts.

Check out Micah's podcast The Vast Majority - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-vast-majority/id1462787412

Check out Bigger Than Bernie: How We Go from the Sanders Campaign to Democratic Socialism, by Micah and Meagan Day - https://www.versobooks.com/books/3167-bigger-than-bernie

03 Dec 03:12

Ethiopia 1935: The real history behind The Shadow King

Tom Roche

astonishingly-bogus creative-writing-masquerading-as-history

Author Maaza Mengiste discusses her Booker prize-nominated historical novel The Shadow King, set during the Italian invasion of Ethiopia in 1935. She talks about the research involved, her own family connections to the story and how she uncovered the hidden history of Ethiopia’s female fighters.   

 

See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

02 Dec 19:44

Democracy Now! 2020-12-02 Wednesday

Tom Roche

note the 3rd segment on the new Malcolm X biography by (deceased) Les Payne and (daughter/interviewee) Tamara Payne is part 1, with promised part 2 via web-exclusive

Democracy Now! 2020-12-02 Wednesday

  • Headlines for December 02, 2020
  • Where Are the Progressives? Briahna Joy Gray on Neera Tanden & Other Biden Picks for Economic Team
  • The New Goldman Sachs? BlackRock Sees Clout Growing as Biden Taps Two Execs to Top Economic Posts
  • "The Dead Are Arising": New Biography on Malcolm X's Childhood, Killing & Secret Meeting with KKK

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