Shared posts

09 Jul 17:10

South China Sea: The battle for Scarborough Shoal

Joshua Chen

Law that cannot be enforced is nonsense

The BBC's Howard Johnson gained rare access to a disputed coral reef called Scarborough Shoal.
24 Jun 03:54

王冠云/在西方主流媒體中長期消失的巴勒斯坦,這次會被看見嗎?

「如果你不譴責哈瑪斯,你就是『反猶主義』的支持者。」這個盛行於國際政壇、主流媒體的框架,在今年5月的以巴衝突中,卻遭到新聞工作者、各國民眾甚至猶太團體的挑戰。我們能改以反種族歧視、反殖民議題的方向來認識以巴關係嗎?
24 Jun 02:01

《理性》:印度教民族主義下,如何煉成一個迷你屠殺的時代

印度教民族主義崛起,因種族、階級而起的暴力事件不斷,發出理性之聲的人也無故遭暗殺⋯⋯,印度當代最重要的紀錄片大師安南.帕渥丹,用影像記錄、控訴這齣未完的時代悲劇。
22 Jun 06:39

疫食之間(下):容易忽略的回收誤區 環署促紙餐具再利用 源頭減量再等等

by 鄒敏惠
今年COVID-19疫情爆發以來,一次性餐具用量快速攀升,外帶紙餐具爆量。儘管去年回收率接近九成,亮眼的數字背後,是使用量數據未公開,是否有大量紙餐具流入一般垃圾焚燒的質疑。不只如此,紙餐具回收補貼措施與源頭減量推動計畫也出現變數,民眾減廢生活的習慣養成,恐怕得因疫情再等等。 距離2030年免洗餐具全面禁用的目標還有多遠?2021年疫情帶來什麼樣的改變,環境資訊中心整理四個影響層面,帶您一探疫食之間的兩難。 影響3:第一線清潔人員憂染疫、仍有民眾不知紙餐具可回收
20 Jun 08:09

煢影/一個外媒記者目睹的經濟陰暗面和「異鄉人」──讀《低端中國》

承襲費孝通對底層中國農民的關懷,駐華多年的外媒記者羅谷,第一線採訪農民工有血有肉的故事,探查經濟成長亮麗數字的背後的陰暗角落。中國「成功」的經濟模式,具有持續性嗎?
20 Jun 03:18

【疫苗解盲幕後】緊急授權標準最後一刻出爐,高端二期成功、聯亞月底揭曉,但得和AZ做療效PK

Joshua Chen

整合每個疫苗的各項指標的順序成一個綜合判斷疫苗優劣的問題和 Arrow Impossibility Theorem 在數學邏輯上是一樣的結構

TL;DR 疫苗有效就用了,硬要 PK 是死路

https://www.academia.edu/2310163/An_Impossibility_Theorem_for_Amalgamating_Evidence

6月10日高端公布二期解盲成功,眾多專有名詞背後代表的意義是什麼?食藥署對國產疫苗EUA標準也在今日公布,要和AZ「PK」是什麼意思?其中有哪些沒說清楚的關鍵?《報導者》訪問多位專家,揭開解盲的幕後,以及國產疫苗走向國際的挑戰。
20 Jun 02:31

專訪緬甸平行政府:背負國民血淚尋求國際支持,誓與軍政府打持久戰

Joshua Chen

截斷軍政府的金流

在緬甸街頭示威外,一個納入跨族群、女性和青年代表,平行於軍政府的「全國團結政府」成立。《報導者》專訪其成員,了解他們的策略:直接與國際對話、擬定與軍政府打交道的公司黑名單、遊說企業不向軍政府繳稅、甚至準備成立聯邦結盟的人民防衛部隊。緬甸幾乎走向內戰的狀態會怎麼發展?
10 Jun 23:35

Global banking regulators call for toughest rules for cryptocurrencies

by Kalyeena Makortoff Banking correspondent
Joshua Chen

This regulation either forces the pegging between fiats and bitcoin or encourages chains with real peer-to-peer media-of-exchange capability in bitcoin.

Growth of crypto-assets threatens financial stability and could increase risks faced by banks, they warn

Global regulators have said cryptocurrencies such as bitcoin should come with the toughest bank capital rules to avoid putting the wider financial system at risk should their value collapse suddenly.

The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, which consists of regulators from the world’s leading financial centres, is proposing a “new conservative prudential treatment” for crypto-assets that would force banks to put aside enough capital to cover 100% of potential losses.

Continue reading...
08 Jun 23:26

Colonial Pipeline: US recovers most of ransom, justice department says

Joshua Chen

> Perhaps deliberately, the DoJ are being vague about exactly how they did it

Because this success has nothing to do with bitcoin's security.

The US Department of Justice says it has seized most of the $4.4m (£3.1m) paid to cyber-criminals.
25 May 07:50

Israel-Gaza: How much money does Israel get from the US?

Joshua Chen

報稅季節黑語錄:3.8bn 可以打很多疫苗,所以能逃稅就逃稅

Israel gets billions of dollars in US aid - we look at why, and what that money is used for.
24 May 06:52

一片土地,四種身分證──越洋採訪戰火中的巴勒斯坦人心聲

Joshua Chen

重申以色列是一個「猶太人的國家」

配樂: 甘仕堡回憶童年諷刺納粹的 yellowstar https://www.bing.com/videos/search?q=yellowstar+gainsbourg&view=detail&mid=9A5F17657A31E50F55DD9A5F17657A31E50F55DD

「對以色列來說,我們的存在就是個威脅。」在1948年以色列建國後數起戰爭下,巴勒斯坦人被迫離散於西岸、加薩、東耶路薩冷與以色列。我們採訪這四地的巴勒斯坦人,不管拿的是哪一種身分,來自以色列的武力與種族歧視的壓迫都持續加深⋯⋯
24 May 06:06

Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', opposition says

Nations demand the dissident's release, after a MiG-29 escorts the Greece-Lithuania flight to Minsk.
19 May 11:24

Long working hours killing 745,000 people a year, study finds

Joshua Chen

pick one: die in fatigue, in hunger or in virus. "in the long run we are all dead" --WHO

The World Health Organization says the trend may worsen due to the coronavirus pandemic.
19 May 11:24

Malawi burns thousands of expired AstraZeneca Covid-19 vaccine doses

Joshua Chen

economic surplus loss by the left

Health officials hope the event will increase public confidence in getting the vaccination.
09 May 06:59

Chinese dreams on Native American land: A tale of cannabis boom and bust

How the pandemic cannabis boom led to chaos on the Navajo Nation, pitting two minorities against each other.
08 May 10:54

Grand Canyon lottery to kill bison gathers 45,000 entries

A chance to shoot a rare buffalo in the famed US National Park drew over 45,000 applicants.
27 Apr 04:59

India Covid: Anger as Twitter ordered to remove critical virus posts

The country is struggling with a massive surge in cases and a major oxygen shortage.
25 Apr 21:07

Central Bank Digital Currencies And The Orwellian New World Order

by /u/jmdugan
23 Apr 20:09

‘Black Swan’ Author Nassim Taleb Advises to Stay Out of Bitcoin, Citing No Link to Inflation or ‘Anything Economic’

by Kevin Helms
Joshua Chen

Core chain coin is not bitcoin. It is only one of the chains of the bitcoin who does not care the death of a chain, if any. What Taleb says is true for core chain coin.

'Black Swan' Author Nassim Taleb Advises to Stay Out of Bitcoin, Citing No Link to Inflation or 'Anything Economic'

The famous author of The Black Swan, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, says investors should not buy bitcoin. To hedge against the current turbulent market, he advises buying stocks or real estate, emphasizing that bitcoin has no connection to inflation or “anything economic.”

Nassim Taleb Advises Against Bitcoin Investing

Nassim Nicholas Taleb, the famed author of “The Black Swan,” has shared his view on bitcoin and on how to hedge against the current turbulent market in an interview with CNBC Friday. Taleb is a Lebanese-American scholar, mathematical statistician, former options trader, and risk analyst.

He was asked about cryptocurrency, particularly bitcoin, given that investors have been increasingly restructuring their portfolios with this asset class. Regarding bitcoin, “It has the characteristics of an open Ponzi scheme. Everyone knows it’s a Ponzi,” he claims, adding:

Basically, there is no connection between inflation and bitcoin. None. You can have hyperinflation and bitcoin goes to zero. There is no link between them.

Admitting that bitcoin is “a beautifully set up cryptographic system,” Taleb insisted that “It’s well-made but there is absolutely no reason it should be linked to anything economic.”

“If you want to hedge against inflation, buy a piece of land,” he advised, adding that one can “grow olives on it. You’ll have olive oil.” He continued, “Of course, the best strategy for investors is to own things that produce yields in the future.”

While a number of analysts support Taleb’s theory that bitcoin is not an inflation hedge, some believe otherwise. Investment bank Goldman Sachs said in December last year that “bitcoin is the retail inflation hedge,” noting that it “is replacing gold as the inflation hedge of choice.” British investment management firm Ruffer wrote that bitcoin “acts as a hedge to some of the monetary and market risks that we see.” Deutsche Bank observed that there “seems to be an increasing demand to use bitcoin where gold used to be used to hedge dollar risk, inflation, and other things.”

Concluding Friday’s interview on how to hedge risk in today’s market, Taleb said:

Stay out of bitcoin. Buy stocks that are stable and buy things you understand.

He also reiterated that investors can also “Buy a piece of land” and grow something on it, like in his earlier olive example.

The famous author was initially a bitcoin proponent, believing that BTC can be used as a currency. However, when he saw that the price of bitcoin is very volatile and investors are using the cryptocurrency as a vehicle for speculation, he started selling off his bitcoin and began calling it a failed currency.

What do you think about Nassim Taleb’s advice about bitcoin? Let us know in the comments section below.

23 Apr 09:14

Jack Dorsey and Elon Musk agree on bitcoin's green credentials

Joshua Chen

People just don't know what money and proof-of-work mean.

But their opinions are not shared with those more cynical about the cryptocurrency's impact.
15 Apr 08:09

多國武肺主權債券藏氣候風險 《自然》期刊專家提醒三步驟避險

by 許芷榕
Joshua Chen

Scientifically false

一篇刊登在《自然》期刊的評論文章指出,在武漢肺炎(COVID-19)大流行期間,許多國家政府的借款高如天文數字,卻很少注意氣候變遷可能影響其償還債務的能力。研究者分析了世界各國2020年發行的主權債券發現,絕大多數國家並未揭露全球暖化帶來的信用風險。 氣候變遷恐使各國國內GDP下滑 政府應設法評估氣候風險 研究者說,氣候變遷可能嚴重影響一國經濟。許多武肺主權債券期限為30~50年,這段期間光是全球平均溫度的變化就可能導致某些國家的國內生產總值(GDP)下降數十個百分點。例如
09 Apr 05:57

How US history explains vaccine passport scepticism

Yellow fever, slavery and distrust of government all contributed to resistance to official checks.
08 Apr 07:21

Myanmar: Celebrity model arrested amid coup crackdown

Paing Takhon has millions of fans and had openly posted against the military coup
24 Mar 23:13

Bridgewater’s Ray Dalio Warns Government Could Restrict Bitcoin Investments, Impose ‘Shocking’ Taxes

by Kevin Helms
Bridgewater's Ray Dalio Warns Government Could Restrict Bitcoin Investments, Impose 'Shocking' Taxes

The founder and chief investment officer of Bridgewater Associates, the world’s largest hedge fund firm, has warned that the government could “impose prohibitions against capital movements” into assets such as bitcoin. He added that regulators may also impose changes in taxes that “could be more shocking than expected.”

Ray Dalio Warns About Government Prohibitions and Taxes

Ray Dalio, founder and chief investment officer of Bridgewater Associates, wrote a post on Linkedin last week entitled: “Why in the World Would You Own Bonds When…”

He pointed out that the bond markets currently offer “ridiculously low yields,” which “do not meet these asset holders’ funding needs.” The executive wrote, “There is now over $75 trillion of US debt assets of varying maturities,” adding that their holders will at some point want to sell them to get cash to buy goods and services with.

However, Bridgewater’s chief investment officer estimates that “at current valuations, there is way too much money in these financial assets for it to be a realistic expectation that any significant percentage of that bond money can be turned into cash and exchanged for goods and services.” He elaborated: “It has to be accommodated … via printing a lot of money and devaluing it, and restructuring a lot of debt and government finances, usually including large increases in taxes.”

Dalio explained: “Based both on how things have worked historically and what is happening now, I am confident that tax changes will also play an important role in driving capital flows to different investment assets and different locations, and those movements will influence market movements.”

The billionaire fund manager emphasized that “If history and logic are to be a guide, policymakers who are short of money will raise taxes and won’t like these capital movements out of debt assets and into other storehold of wealth assets and other tax domains,” warning:

They could very well impose prohibitions against capital movements to other assets (e.g., gold, bitcoin, etc.) and other locations. These tax changes could be more shocking than expected.

The Bridgewater Associates founder used Elizabeth Warren’s proposed wealth tax as an example, stating that it “is of an unprecedented size.” Citing his study of “wealth taxes in other countries at other times,” he expects this proposal “will most likely lead to more capital outflows and other moves to evade these taxes.”

Consequently, “The United States could become perceived as a place that is inhospitable to capitalism and capitalists,” Dalio opined, emphasizing that “the chances of a sizable wealth tax bill passing over the next few years are significant.” In conclusion, the Bridgewater executive cautioned:

One should be mindful of tax changes and the possibility of capital controls.

Dalio has been studying bitcoin over the recent months. In November last year, he admitted that he may be wrong about bitcoin but was nonetheless worried about governments outlawing cryptocurrency. In December, he said bitcoin could “serve as a diversifier to gold and other such storehold of wealth assets.” Then, in January this year, he said that “bitcoin is one hell of an invention,” revealing that his firm looking closely at the cryptocurrency.

What do you think about Ray Dalio’s warning? Let us know in the comments section below.

24 Mar 20:24

New FATF Guidance Applies Regulatory Standards to Decentralized Exchanges, Defi and NFTs

by Jamie Redman
New FATF Guidance Applies Regulatory Standards to Decentralized Exchanges, Defi and NFTs

On March 19, the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) published draft guidance on the risk-based approach to virtual assets. The newly updated guidance now applies anti-money laundering and know-your-customer rules to stablecoins, decentralized finance (defi), and non-fungible token (NFT) assets.

FATF Defines Decentralized Exchanges and Defi as a Virtual Asset Service Providers

For a while now, cryptocurrency proponents have said that one day, global regulators would likely target decentralized finance (defi) and the latest non-fungible token (NFT) hype. For a while now, the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) has been trying to come up with a regulatory standard for cryptocurrencies businesses called a “virtual asset service provider” (VASP). Things like the FATF’s Travel Rule have always been controversial, but regulators from a number of countries have been adopting the organization’s guidance. Recently Gibraltar updated its guidance notes to align with the FATF rules and South Africa has been attempting the same.

The FATF’s latest guidance is merely an update of some of its past recommendations toward virtual assets (VA) and VASPs. However, the updated version now discusses stablecoins, defi, and NFTs, as things like decentralized exchanges (dex) are considered VASPs. The newly revised guidance suggests imposing anti-money laundering and know-your-customer (AML/KYC) rules toward dex applications. The FATF calls these platforms “Decentralized or distributed applications (dapp) or a platform that offers “exchange or transfer services.”

“A dapp, for example, is a term that refers to a software program that operates on a P2P network of computers running a blockchain protocol— a type of distributed public ledger that allows the development of other applications,” the latest guidelines note. “These applications or platforms are often run on a distributed ledger but still usually have a central party with some measure of involvement, such as creating and launching an asset, setting parameters, holding an administrative ‘key’ or collecting fees.”

The global regulator’s guidance adds:

Dapps can facilitate or conduct the exchange or transfer of [virtual assets].

‘The FATF Is No Stranger to Defi, Dex, and NFTs’

FATF’s latest guidance essentially defines a non-fungible token (NFT) as a VA as it defines a stablecoin. The latest guidance on NFT, defi, and stablecoins indicate that the FATF has noticed these emerging trends within the crypto space. Additionally, the FATF tweeted about the guidance and asked for commentary about the 99-page report. “The FATF wants to hear your views on draft guidance for taking a risk-based approach to virtual assets and virtual asset service providers,” the organization tweeted. “Relevant private sector stakeholders can take part in the public consultation.”

The report also touched upon VA transfers to and from unhosted wallets. “The FATF recognizes that unlike traditional fiat wire transfers, not every VA transfer may involve (or be book-ended by) two obliged entities,” the FATF guidance says. In instances in which a VA transfer involves only one obliged entity on either end of the transfer (e.g., when an ordering VASP or other obliged entity sends VAs on behalf of its customer, the originator, to a beneficiary that is not a customer of a beneficiary institution but rather an individual VA user who receives the VA transfer.”

Of course, the conversation about the FATF’s new definitions for defi, NFTs, stablecoins, dapps, and dex applications was a topical discussion on social media. “FATF ain’t no stranger to defi, dex & NFT,” Björn Godenrath tweeted. “Classification as a virtual asset service provider brings market participants into the scope of traditional money laundering regulations (if they can be identified),” he added.

What do you think about the FATF guidelines and definitions tied to defi and NFTs? Let us know what you think about this subject in the comments section below.

15 Mar 23:34

「愛國者治港」為民主上鎖:47位泛民派被控顛覆政權,中國人大改變香港選制

無論中共或特區政府不斷強調香港仍有「經濟自由、法治及司法獨立」,當47位泛民派被控顛覆政權、人大修改香港選制,國際社會開始正式將香港視為中國普通的城市,完全落於北京掌控。
09 Mar 08:22

何桂藍:我不接受任何限制言論自由的保釋條件

香港律政司2月28日以港版《國安法》「串謀顛覆國家政權罪」起訴47位泛民派,曾被稱「立場姐姐」的何桂藍是其中之一。香港法律規定港媒不能刊登保釋申請陳辭,然而《報導者》認為,其留存在香港史上有其重要與必要,我們選擇將何桂藍的陳辭全文刊登出來。
05 Mar 04:28

Food waste: Amount thrown away totals 900 million tonnes

Every year, 23 million truckloads of food go straight into the waste bin, according to the UN.
20 Feb 22:34

China steps up online controls with new rule for bloggers

Ma Xiaolin frequently wrote about current affairs on one of China's leading microblogging sites, where he has 2 million followers. But recently, he said in a post, the Weibo site called and asked him not to post original content on topics ranging from politics to economic and military issues.
20 Feb 22:33

Cambodia sets up China-style internet firewall

Cambodia's government moved to exert near-total control over the country's online life Wednesday, setting up a national internet gateway which activists say will stifle freedom of expression and block content via a China-style firewall.