Shared posts

02 May 13:17

Reconstruction of dynamic networks with time-delayed interactions in the presence of fast-varying noises

by Zhaoyang Zhang, Yang Chen, Yuanyuan Mi, and Gang Hu

Author(s): Zhaoyang Zhang, Yang Chen, Yuanyuan Mi, and Gang Hu

Most complex social, biological and technological systems can be described by dynamic networks. Reconstructing network structures from measurable data is a fundamental problem in almost all interdisciplinary fields. Network nodes interact with each other and those interactions often have diversely d...


[Phys. Rev. E 99, 042311] Published Tue Apr 30, 2019

02 May 13:17

Anomalous diffusion in random dynamical systems. (arXiv:1810.02674v2 [nlin.CD] UPDATED)

by Y.Sato (1,2), R.Klages (3-5) ((1) RIES / Department of Mathematics, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, (2) London Mathematical Laboratory, (3) Queen Mary University of London, School of Mathematical Sciences, (4) Institut fuer Theoretische Physik, TU Berlin, (5) Institute for Theoretical Physics, University of Cologne)

Consider a chaotic dynamical system generating Brownian motion-like diffusion. Consider a second, non-chaotic system in which all particles localize. Let a particle experience a random combination of both systems by sampling between them in time. What type of diffusion is exhibited by this {\em random dynamical system}? We show that the resulting dynamics can generate anomalous diffusion, where in contrast to Brownian normal diffusion the mean square displacement of an ensemble of particles increases nonlinearly in time. Randomly mixing simple deterministic walks on the line we find anomalous dynamics characterised by ageing, weak ergodicity breaking, breaking of self-averaging and infinite invariant densities. This result holds for general types of noise and for perturbing nonlinear dynamics in bifurcation scenarios.

02 May 13:16

Invariant foliations for stochastic dynamical systems with multiplicative stable Levy noise. (arXiv:1802.10017v3 [math.DS] UPDATED)

by Ying Chao, Pingyuan Wei, Shenglan Yuan

This work deals with the dynamics of a class of stochastic dynamical systems with a multiplicative non-Gaussian Levy noise. We first establish the existence of stable and unstable foliations for this system via the Lyapunov-Perron method. Then we examine the geometric structure of the invariant foliations, and their relation with invariant manifolds. Finally, we illustrate our results in an example.

02 May 13:16

Solving Equations on Discrete Dynamical Systems (Extended version). (arXiv:1904.13115v5 [math.DS] UPDATED)

by Alberto Dennunzio, Enrico Formenti, Luciano Margara, Valentin Montmirail, Sara Riva

Boolean automata networks, genetic regulation networks, and metabolic networks are just a few examples of biological modelling by discrete dynamical systems (DDS). A major issue in modelling is the verification of the model against the experimental data or inducing the model under uncertainties in the data. Equipping finite discrete dynamical systems with an algebraic structure of commutative semiring provides a suitable context for hypothesis verification on the dynamics of DDS. Indeed, hypothesis on the systems can be translated into polynomial equations over DDS. Solutions to these equations provide the validation to the initial hypothesis. Unfortunately, finding solutions to general equations over DDS is undecidable. In this article, we want to push the envelope further by proposing a practical approach for some decidable cases in a suitable configuration that we call the Hypothesis Checking. We demonstrate that for many decidable equations all boils down to a "simpler" equation. However, the problem is not to decide if the simple equation has a solution, but to enumerate all the solutions in order to verify the hypothesis on the real and undecidable systems. We evaluate experimentally our approach and show that it has good scalability properties.

30 Apr 12:36

Anomalous Diffusion in Random Dynamical Systems

by Yuzuru Sato and Rainer Klages

Author(s): Yuzuru Sato and Rainer Klages

Consider a chaotic dynamical system generating diffusionlike Brownian motion. Consider a second, nonchaotic system in which all particles localize. Let a particle experience a random combination of both systems by sampling between them in time. What type of diffusion is exhibited by this random dyna...


[Phys. Rev. Lett. 122, 174101] Published Mon Apr 29, 2019

30 Apr 12:36

Universality classes of quantum chaotic dissipative systems. (arXiv:1904.12484v1 [quant-ph])

by Ambuja Bhushan Jaiswal, Ravi Prakash, Akhilesh Pandey

We study the ensemble of complex symmetric matrices. The ensemble is useful in the study of effect of dissipation on systems with time reversal invariance. We consider the nearest neighbor spacing distribution and spacing ratio to investigate the fluctuation statistics and show that these statistics are similar to that of dissipative chaotic systems with time reversal invariance. We show that, unlike cubic repulsion in eigenvalues of Ginibre matrices, these ensemble exhibits a weaker repulsion. The nearest neighbor spacing distribution exhibits $P(s) \propto -s^3 \log s$ for small spacings. We verify our results for quantum kicked rotor with time reversal invariance. We show that the rotor exhibits similar spacing distribution in dissipative regime. We also discuss a random matrix model for transition from time reversal invariant to broken case.

30 Apr 12:36

Network desynchronization by non-Gaussian fluctuations. (arXiv:1904.12174v2 [nlin.AO] UPDATED)

by Jason Hindes, Philippe Jacquod, Ira B. Schwartz

Many networks must maintain synchrony despite the fact that they operate in noisy environments. Important examples are stochastic inertial oscillators, which are known to exhibit fluctuations with broad tails in many applications, including electric power networks with renewable energy sources. Such non-Gaussian fluctuations can result in rare network desynchronization. Here we build a general theory for inertial oscillator network desynchronization by non-Gaussian noise. We compute the rate of desynchronization and show that higher-moments of noise enter at specific powers of coupling: either speeding up or slowing down the rate exponentially depending on how noise statistics match the statistics of a network's slowest mode. Finally, we use our theory to introduce a technique that drastically reduces the effective description of network desynchronization. Most interestingly, when instability is associated with a single edge, the reduction is to one stochastic oscillator.

30 Apr 12:34

Almost sure rates of mixing for partially hyperbolic attractors. (arXiv:1904.12844v3 [math.DS] UPDATED)

by Jose F. Alves, Wael Bahsoun, Marks Ruziboev

We introduce random towers to study almost sure rates of correlation decay for random partially hyperbolic attractors. Using this framework, we obtain abstract results on almost sure exponential, stretched exponential and polynomial correlation decay rates. We then apply our results to small random perturbations of Axiom A attractors, small perturbations of derived from Anosov partially hyperbolic systems and to solenoidal attractors with random intermittency.

29 Apr 12:12

Bifurcation and criticality

by Indrani Bose and Sayantari Ghosh
Equilibrium and nonequilibrium systems exhibit power-law singularities close to their critical and bifurcation points respectively. A recent study has shown that biochemical nonequilibrium models with positive feedback belong to the universality class of the mean-field Ising model. Through a mapping between the two systems, effective thermodynamic quantities like temperature, magnetic field and order parameter can be expressed in terms of biochemical parameters. In this paper, we demonstrate the equivalence using a simple deterministic approach. As an illustration we consider a model of population dynamics exhibiting the Allee effect for which we determine the exact phase diagram. We further consider a two-variable model of positive feedback, the genetic toggle, and discuss the conditions under which the model belongs to the mean-field Ising universality class. In the biochemical models, the supercritical pitchfork bifurcation point serves as the critical point. The dynamical be...
29 Apr 12:12

Directed Flow of Information in Chimera States. (arXiv:1904.11553v1 [nlin.AO])

by Nicolás Deschle, Andreas Daffertshofer, Demian Battaglia, Erik A. Martens

We investigated interactions within chimera states in a phase oscillator network with two coupled subpopulations. To quantify interactions within and between these subpopulations, we estimated the corresponding (delayed) mutual information that -- in general -- quantifies the capacity or the maximum rate at which information can be transferred to recover a sender's information at the receiver with a vanishingly low error probability. After verifying their equivalence with estimates based on the continuous phase data, we determined the mutual information using the time points at which the individual phases passed through their respective Poincar\'{e} sections. This stroboscopic view on the dynamics may resemble, e.g., neural spike times, that are common observables in the study of neuronal information transfer. This discretization also increased processing speed significantly, rendering it particularly suitable for a fine-grained analysis of the effects of experimental and model parameters. In our model, the delayed mutual information within each subpopulation peaked at zero delay, whereas between the subpopulations it was always maximal at non-zero delay, irrespective of parameter choices. We observed that the delayed mutual information of the desynchronized subpopulation preceded the synchronized subpopulation. Put differently, the oscillators of the desynchronized subpopulation were 'driving' the ones in the synchronized subpopulation. These findings were also observed when estimating mutual information of the full phase trajectories. We can thus conclude that the delayed mutual information of discrete time points allows for inferring a functional directed flow of information between subpopulations of coupled phase oscillators.

29 Apr 12:11

Interpolation-Based Model Order Reduction for Polynomial Parametric Systems. (arXiv:1904.11891v1 [math.NA])

by Peter Benner, Pawan Goyal

In this work, we investigate a model order reduction scheme for polynomial parametric systems. We begin with defining the generalized multivariate transfer functions for the system. Based on this, we aim at constructing a reduced-order system, interpolating the defined generalized transfer functions at a given set of interpolation points. Furthermore, we provide a method, inspired by the Loewner approach for linear and (quadratic-)bilinear systems, to determine a good-quality reduced-order system in an automatic way. We also discuss the computational issues related to the proposed method and a potential application of CUR matrix approximation in order to further speed-up simulations of reduced-order systems. We test the efficiency of the proposed methods via several numerical examples.

26 Apr 12:05

Krylov--Bogolyubov averaging. (arXiv:1904.11189v4 [math.DS] UPDATED)

by Wenwen Jian, Sergei Kuksin, Yuan Wu

We present the modified approach to the classical Bogolyubov-Krylov averaging, developed recently for the purpose of PDEs. It allows to treat Lipschitz perturbations of linear systems with pure imaginary spectrum and may be generalized to treat PDEs with small nonlinearities.

26 Apr 12:05

A practical method for estimating coupling functions in complex dynamical systems. (arXiv:1904.11289v2 [nlin.CD] UPDATED)

by Isao T. Tokuda, Zoran Levnajic, Kazuyoshi Ishimura

A foremost challenge in modern network science is the inverse problem of reconstruction (inference) of coupling equations and network topology from the measurements of the network dynamics. Of particular interest are the methods that can operate on real (empirical) data without interfering with the system. One such earlier attempt (Tokuda et al. 2007 Phys. Rev. Lett.99, 064101) was a method suited for general limit-cycle oscillators, yielding both oscillators' natural frequencies and coupling functions between them (phase equations) from empirically measured time series. The present paper reviews the above method in a way comprehensive to domain-scientists other than physics. It also presents applications of the method to (i) detection of the network connectivity, (ii) inference of the phase sensitivity function, (iii) approximation of the interaction among phase-coherent chaotic oscillators, and (iv) experimental data from a forced Van der Pol electric circuit. This reaffirms the range of applicability of the method for reconstructing coupling functions and makes it accessible to a much wider scientific community.

26 Apr 12:04

An ensemble of random graphs with identical degree distribution. (arXiv:1904.11208v1 [physics.soc-ph])

by Fei Ma, Xiaoming Wang, Ping Wang

Degree distribution, or equivalently called degree sequence, has been commonly used to be one of most significant measures for studying a large number of complex networks with which some well-known results have been obtained. By contrast, in this paper, we report a fact that two arbitrarily chosen networks with identical degree distribution can have completely different other topological structure, such as diameter, spanning trees number, pearson correlation coefficient, and so forth. Besides that, for a given degree distribution (as power-law distribution with exponent $\gamma=3$ discussed here), it is reasonable to ask how many network models with such a constraint we can have. To this end, we generate an ensemble of this kind of random graphs with $P(k)\sim k^{-\gamma}$ ($\gamma=3$), denoted as graph space $\mathcal{N}(p,q,t)$ where probability parameters $p$ and $q$ hold on $p+q=1$, and indirectly show the cardinality of $\mathcal{N}(p,q,t)$ seems to be large enough in the thermodynamics limit, i.e., $N\rightarrow\infty$, by varying values of $p$ and $q$. From the theoretical point of view, given an ultrasmall constant $p_{c}$, perhaps only graph model $N(1,0,t)$ is small-world and other are not in terms of diameter. And then, we study spanning trees number on two deterministic graph models and obtain both upper bound and lower bound for other members. Meanwhile, for arbitrary $p(\neq1)$, we prove that graph model $N(p,q,t)$ does go through two phase transitions over time, i.e., starting by non-assortative pattern and then suddenly going into disassortative region, and gradually converging to initial place (non-assortative point). Among of them, one "null" graph model is built.

25 Apr 11:50

Koopman-based lifting techniques for nonlinear systems identification. (arXiv:1709.02003v4 [math.OC] UPDATED)

by Alexandre Mauroy, Jorge Goncalves

We develop a novel lifting technique for nonlinear system identification based on the framework of the Koopman operator. The key idea is to identify the linear (infinitedimensional) Koopman operator in the lifted space of observables, instead of identifying the nonlinear system in the state space, a process which results in a linear method for nonlinear systems identification. The proposed lifting technique is an indirect method that does not require to compute time derivatives and is therefore well-suited to low-sampling rate datasets.

Considering different finite-dimensional subspaces to approximate and identify the Koopman operator, we propose two numerical schemes: the main method and the dual method. The main method is a parametric identification technique that can accurately reconstruct the vector field of a broad class of systems (including unstable, chaotic, and system with inputs). The dual method provides estimates of the vector field at the data points and is well-suited to identify high-dimensional systems with small datasets. The present paper describes the two methods, provide theoretical convergence results, and illustrate the lifting techniques with several examples.

24 Apr 19:06

Role of time scales and topology on the dynamics of complex networks. (arXiv:1810.00687v2 [nlin.AO] UPDATED)

by Kajari Gupta, G. Ambika

The interplay between time scales and structural properties of complex networks of nonlinear oscillators can generate many interesting phenomena, like amplitude death, cluster synchronization, frequency synchronization etc. We study the emergence of such phenomena and their transitions by considering a complex network of dynamical systems in which a fraction of systems evolves on a slower time scale on the network. We report the transition to amplitude death for the whole network and the scaling near the transitions as the connectivity pattern changes. We also discuss the suppression and recovery of oscillations and the cross over behavior as the number of slow systems increases. By considering a scale free network of systems with multiple time scales, we study the role of heterogeneity in link structure on dynamical properties and the consequent critical behaviors. In this case with hubs made slow, our main results are the escape time statistics for loss of complete synchrony as the slowness spreads on the network and the self-organization of the whole network to a new frequency synchronized state. Our results have potential applications in biological, physical, and engineering networks consisting of heterogeneous oscillators.

24 Apr 19:06

Role of time scales and topology on the dynamics of complex networks. (arXiv:1810.00687v2 [nlin.AO] UPDATED)

by Kajari Gupta, G. Ambika

The interplay between time scales and structural properties of complex networks of nonlinear oscillators can generate many interesting phenomena, like amplitude death, cluster synchronization, frequency synchronization etc. We study the emergence of such phenomena and their transitions by considering a complex network of dynamical systems in which a fraction of systems evolves on a slower time scale on the network. We report the transition to amplitude death for the whole network and the scaling near the transitions as the connectivity pattern changes. We also discuss the suppression and recovery of oscillations and the cross over behavior as the number of slow systems increases. By considering a scale free network of systems with multiple time scales, we study the role of heterogeneity in link structure on dynamical properties and the consequent critical behaviors. In this case with hubs made slow, our main results are the escape time statistics for loss of complete synchrony as the slowness spreads on the network and the self-organization of the whole network to a new frequency synchronized state. Our results have potential applications in biological, physical, and engineering networks consisting of heterogeneous oscillators.

24 Apr 19:05

Bifurcations in the Time-Delayed Kuramoto Model of Coupled Oscillators: Exact Results

Abstract

In the context of the Kuramoto model of coupled oscillators with distributed natural frequencies interacting through a time-delayed mean-field, we derive as a function of the delay exact results for the stability boundary between the incoherent and the synchronized state and the nature in which the latter bifurcates from the former at the critical point. Our results are based on an unstable manifold expansion in the vicinity of the bifurcation, which we apply to both the kinetic equation for the single-oscillator distribution function in the case of a generic frequency distribution and the corresponding Ott–Antonsen (OA)-reduced dynamics in the special case of a Lorentzian distribution. Besides elucidating the effects of delay on the nature of bifurcation, we show that the approach due to Ott and Antonsen, although an ansatz, gives an amplitude dynamics of the unstable modes close to the bifurcation that remarkably coincides with the one derived from the kinetic equation. Further more, quite interestingly and remarkably, we show that close to the bifurcation, the unstable manifold derived from the kinetic equation has the same form as the OA manifold, implying thereby that the OA-ansatz form follows also as a result of the unstable manifold expansion. We illustrate our results by showing how delay can affect dramatically the bifurcation of a bimodal distribution.

24 Apr 19:04

Correspondence between thermodynamics and inference

by Colin H. LaMont and Paul A. Wiggins

Author(s): Colin H. LaMont and Paul A. Wiggins

We expand upon a natural analogy between Bayesian statistics and statistical physics in which sample size corresponds to inverse temperature. This analogy motivates the definition of two novel statistical quantities: a learning capacity and a Gibbs entropy. The analysis of the learning capacity, cor...

[Phys. Rev. E] Published Tue Apr 23, 2019

22 Apr 15:54

Reconstruction of dynamic networks with time-delayed interactions in the presence of fast-varying noises

by Zhaoyang Zhang, Yang Chen, Yuanyuan Mi, and Gang Hu

Author(s): Zhaoyang Zhang, Yang Chen, Yuanyuan Mi, and Gang Hu

Most complex social, biological and technological systems can be described by dynamic networks. Reconstructing network structures from measurable data is a fundamental problem in almost all interdisciplinary fields. Network nodes interact with each other and those interactions often have diversely d...

[Phys. Rev. E] Published Fri Apr 12, 2019

22 Apr 15:54

Partial synchronization in empirical brain networks as a model for unihemispheric sleep. (arXiv:1904.05949v1 [nlin.AO])

by Lukas Ramlow, Jakub Sawicki, Anna Zakharova, Jaroslav Hlinka, Jens Christian Claussen, Eckehard Schöll

We analyze partial synchronization patterns in a network of FitzHugh-Nagumo oscillators with empirical structural connectivity measured in healthy human subjects. We report a dynamical asymmetry between the hemispheres, induced by the natural structural asymmetry. We show that the dynamical asymmetry can be enhanced by introducing the inter-hemispheric coupling strength as a control parameter for partial synchronization patterns. We specify the possible modalities for existence of unihemispheric sleep in human brain, where one hemisphere sleeps while the other remains awake. In fact, this state is common among migratory birds and mammals like aquatic species.

22 Apr 15:51

Transfer operators and atomic decomposition. (arXiv:1903.06943v3 [math.DS] UPDATED)

by Alexander Arbieto, Daniel Smania

We use the method of atomic decomposition and a new family of Banach spaces to study the action of transfer operators associated to piecewise-defined maps. It turns out that these transfer operators are quasi-compact even when the associated potential, the dynamics and the underlying phase space have very low regularity. In particular it is often possible to obtain exponential decay of correlations, the Central Limit Theorem and almost sure invariance principle for fairly general observables, including unbounded ones.

22 Apr 15:50

Oscillation death in coupled counter-rotating identical nonlinear oscillators. (arXiv:1904.07450v2 [nlin.CD] UPDATED)

by Jung-Wan Ryu, Woo-Sik Son, Dong-Uk Hwang

We study oscillatory and oscillation suppressed phases in coupled counter-rotating nonlinear oscillators. We demonstrate the existence of limit cycle, amplitude death, and oscillation death, and also clarify the Hopf, pitchfork, and infinite period bifurcations between them. Especially, the oscillation death is a new type of oscillation suppressions of which the inhomogeneous steady states are neutrally stable. We discuss the robust neutral stability of the oscillation death in non-conservative systems via the anti-PT-symmetric phase transitions at exceptional points in terms of non-Hermitian systems.

22 Apr 15:50

Persistent Homology of Complex Networks for Dynamic State Detection. (arXiv:1904.07403v2 [nlin.CD] UPDATED)

by Audun Myers, Elizabeth Munch, Firas A. Khasawneh

In this paper we develop a novel Topological Data Analysis (TDA) approach for studying graph representations of time series of dynamical systems. Specifically, we show how persistent homology, a tool from TDA, can be used to yield a compressed, multi-scale representation of the graph that can distinguish between dynamic states such as periodic and chaotic behavior. We show the approach for two graph constructions obtained from the time series. In the first approach the time series is embedded into a point cloud which is then used to construct an undirected $k$-nearest neighbor graph. The second construct relies on the recently developed ordinal partition framework. In either case, a pairwise distance matrix is then calculated using the shortest path between the graph's nodes, and this matrix is utilized to define a filtration of a simplicial complex that enables tracking the changes in homology classes over the course of the filtration. These changes are summarized in a persistence diagram---a two-dimensional summary of changes in the topological features. We then extract existing as well as new geometric and entropy point summaries from the persistence diagram and compare to other commonly used network characteristics. Our results show that persistence-based point summaries yield a clearer distinction of the dynamic behavior and are more robust to noise than existing graph-based scores, especially when combined with ordinal graphs.

22 Apr 15:49

The drift of chimera states in a ring of nonlocally coupled bicomponent phase oscillators

by Wenhao Wang, Qionglin Dai, Hongyan Cheng, Haihong Li and Junzhong Yang
The chimera state is a fascinating symmetry-breaking dynamical state in a network of coupled oscillators. In this paper, we study a ring of nonlocally coupled bicomponent phase oscillators in which oscillators with natural frequency ω 0 are motionless and oscillators with natural frequency − ω 0 are moving at the velocity v along the ring. In response to the movement of oscillators, chimera states in the two subpopulations drift along the ring. For small ω 0 , the two chimera states are synchronized with their coherent oscillators oscillate at the same frequency and drifting at the same velocity proportional to v . For large ω 0 , there exist several dynamical regimes depending on v . At sufficiently low v , the coherent oscillators in the two subpopulations move at the same velocity much higher than v . In contrast, at high v , the chimera state in the moving oscillators dr...
22 Apr 15:49

Generating random networks that consist of a single connected component with a given degree distribution

by Ido Tishby, Ofer Biham, Eytan Katzav, and Reimer Kühn

Author(s): Ido Tishby, Ofer Biham, Eytan Katzav, and Reimer Kühn

We present a method for the construction of ensembles of random networks that consist of a single connected component with a given degree distribution. This approach extends the construction toolbox of random networks beyond the configuration model framework, in which one controls the degree distrib...


[Phys. Rev. E 99, 042308] Published Wed Apr 17, 2019

22 Apr 15:48

Spectra of random networks with arbitrary degrees

by M. E. J. Newman, Xiao Zhang, and Raj Rao Nadakuditi

Author(s): M. E. J. Newman, Xiao Zhang, and Raj Rao Nadakuditi

We derive a message-passing method for computing the spectra of locally treelike networks and an approximation to it that allows us to compute closed-form expressions or fast numerical approximates for the spectral density of random graphs with arbitrary node degrees—the so-called configuration mode...


[Phys. Rev. E 99, 042309] Published Thu Apr 18, 2019

22 Apr 15:48

Chebyshev Approximation and the Global Geometry of Model Predictions

by Katherine N. Quinn, Heather Wilber, Alex Townsend, and James P. Sethna

Author(s): Katherine N. Quinn, Heather Wilber, Alex Townsend, and James P. Sethna

Complex nonlinear models are typically ill conditioned or sloppy; their predictions are significantly affected by only a small subset of parameter combinations, and parameters are difficult to reconstruct from model behavior. Despite forming an important universality class and arising frequently in ...


[Phys. Rev. Lett. 122, 158302] Published Thu Apr 18, 2019

22 Apr 15:47

Spike-burst chimera states in an adaptive exponential integrate-and-fire neuronal network. (arXiv:1904.08467v1 [nlin.AO])

by Moises S. Santos, Paulo R. Protachevicz, Kelly C. Iarosz, Iberê L. Caldas, Ricardo L. Viana, Fernando S. Borges, Hai-Peng Ren, José D. Szezech Jr, Antonio M. Batista, Celso Grebogi

Chimera states are spatiotemporal patterns in which coherence and incoherence coexist. We observe the coexistence of synchronous (coherent) and desynchronous (incoherent) domains in a neuronal network. The network is composed of coupled adaptive exponential integrate-and-fire neurons that are connected by means of chemical synapses. In our neuronal network, the chimera states exhibit spatial structures both with spikes and bursts activities. Furthermore, those desynchronised domains not only have either spike or burst activity, but we show that the structures switch between spikes and bursts as the time evolves. Moreover, we verify the existence of multicluster chimera states.

22 Apr 11:50

Detecting regime transitions in time series using dynamic mode decomposition. (arXiv:1904.09082v2 [physics.ao-ph] UPDATED)

by Georg A. Gottwald, Federica Gugole

We employ the framework of the Koopman operator and dynamic mode decomposition to devise a computationally cheap and easily implementable method to detect transient dynamics and regime changes in time series. We argue that typically transient dynamics experiences the full state space dimension with subsequent fast relaxation towards the attractor. In equilibrium, on the other hand, the dynamics evolves on a slower time scale on a lower dimensional attractor. The reconstruction error of a dynamic mode decomposition is used to monitor the inability of the time series to resolve the fast relaxation towards the attractor as well as the effective dimension of the dynamics. We illustrate our method by detecting transient dynamics in the Kuramoto-Sivashinsky equation. We further apply our method to atmospheric reanalysis data; our diagnostics detects the transition from a predominantly negative North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) to a predominantly positive NAO around 1970, as well as the recently found regime change in the Southern Hemisphere atmospheric circulation around 1970.