Tom Roche
Shared posts
William Hogeland | Autumn of the Black Snake: The Creation of the U.S. Army and the Invasion That Opened the West
Tom Rochevery excellent
Democracy Now! 2017-07-03 Monday
Tom RocheBernie Sanders 10 Jun 2017 speech, for the hour.
Democracy Now! 2017-07-03 Monday
- Bernie Sanders on Resisting Trump, Why the Democratic Party is an "Absolute Failure" & More
<a href="http://traffic.libsyn.com/democracynow/dn2017-0703-1.mp3">Download this show</a>
As Democratic Voters Shift Left, ‘Liberal Media’ Keep Shifting Right
Tom Rochepullquote:
MSNBC and the New York Times are not veering right despite Democratic voters’ increasing embrace of left policies; they’re doing so precisely because of it.
In the past few years, the Democratic Party’s rank and file have shifted left on major issues. From healthcare to legalization of drugs to taxes, the heart of the party has grown more progressive—and, in many instances, overtly socialist in nature. Forty-seven percent of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents now identify as both socially liberal and economically moderate or liberal, up from 39 percent in 2008 and 30 percent in 2001.

The Daily Beast (6/28/17) reported that MSNBC—“once considered the “liberal” cable-news outlet”—continued its “conservative hiring spree.”
In contrast, nominally liberal media—or major media whose editorial line is reliably pro-Democratic—have drifted rightward. On Wednesday, MSNBC announced it had hired torture-supporting, climate-denying, anti-Arab racist Bret Stephens, a recent hire at the New York Times opinion page. Stephens—whose very first article at the Times had to be corrected due to his misunderstanding of basic climate science—will be an “on-air contributor” for both MSNBC and NBC.
This pickup continues a conservative hiring spree at MSNBC, including former George Bush adviser Nicolle Wallace, right-wing radio host Hugh Hewitt, old-school conservative Washington Post columnist George Will, and former Fox News stars Greta Van Susteren and Megyn Kelly (though Van Susteren’s show has already been canceled due to comically low ratings).
Despite their ratings going up as their marquee liberal firebrands rail against Donald Trump on a day-to-day basis, MSNBC has decided not to double down on this approach, but rather is populating its 24-hour broadcast with an increasing number of Bush-era also-rans and ex–Fox News personalities. At the same time, the New York Times has added the far-right Stephens to its coveted and influential list of full-time columnists—joining fellow #nevertrump conservatives David Brooks and Ross Douthat.
As notable as their outreach to the right is these outlets’ resolute resistance to introducing any new voices to the left of the party’s corporate center. Forty-three percent of Democratic voters backed Bernie Sanders in the primary, yet the New York Times and MSNBC editorial teams don’t have one vocal Sanders supporter. Some, certainly, are sympathetic to him, such as MSNBC’s Rachel Maddow and Chris Hayes, and the Times’ Charles Blow. But none openly back him in the way Paul Krugman, Gail Collins and Joy-Ann Reid (FAIR.org, 4/20/17) openly spin for his more centrist primary opponent, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton. (Indeed, MSNBC’s Reid spends an unhealthy amount of time on Twitter dragging the Vermont senator for being inadequately obsequious to the corporate wing of the party.)
Obviously, sitting around waiting for corporate-owned media to embrace subversive left political commentary—or even Sanders’ brand of soft European-style social democracy—is a fool’s errand, and one should be under no illusions this will ever happen. But the lack of any effort to represent a major sector of their audience is still worth pointing out. If the media were “all about the clicks” or “the views,” a major network would jump at the chance to at least have one token leftist to appeal to this underserved demographic. Yet they keep going in the other direction, hiring more right wingers without any apparent marketing reason to do so.
Shaping ideology and public opinion is less about the voices we hear, and more about those we don’t. The range of debate is set by liberal gatekeepers like the Times and MSNBC, and it’s clear, with each additional hire, the Overton window at these institutions won’t budge one inch to the left, regardless of how much their consumers do. One is left to conclude that MSNBC and the New York Times are not veering right despite Democratic voters’ increasing embrace of left policies; they’re doing so precisely because of it.
You can send a message to the New York Times at letters@nytimes.com (Twitter:@NYTimes). You can add comments to MSNBC’s site here (or via Twitter: @MSNBC). Please remember that respectful communication is the most effective.
Midnight Rising: John Brown and the Raid That Sparked the Civil WarAug 7, 2012 by Tony Horwitz. PART 2 of 2.
Tom Roche2-part rerun of a 1-part original, which was too short @ ~20 min. Unfortunately the 2 parts together are the same (minus commercials).
Midnight Rising: John Brown and the Raid That Sparked the Civil WarAug 7, 2012 by Tony Horwitz. PART 1 of 2.
Tom Roche2-part rerun of a 1-part original, which was too short @ ~20 min. Unfortunately the 2 parts together are the same (minus commercials).
Fresh audio product
Tom Rocheboth excellent
Just added to my radio archive (click on date for link):
June 29, 2017 Robert Pollin works out the economics of single-payer in California (paper here) • Michael McCarthy, author of Dismantling Solidarity, on the history of pension funds in the U.S.
Sex Work in the U.S. and Costa Rica
Tom Rocheexcellent. 1st segment: Susan Dewey @ U Wyoming on sex work in Denver and the {criminal justice, social services} alliance. 2nd segment: Megan Rivers-Moore @ CarletonU (Ottawa) on sex work and tourism in Costa Rica.
Minimum Wage Wars: The Media Celebrate Job Loss
Tom Rocheexcellent article on methodology @ https://web.archive.org/web/20170701151315/http://cepr.net/blogs/beat-the-press/minimum-wage-wars-the-media-celebrate-job-loss
There has probably never been a National Bureau of Economic Research working paper that produced as much glee in the media as last week's report showing that Seattle's minimum wage law may have led to a net loss in wages for low wage workers. According to the analysis, there was a reduction in average hours worked among those in the low wage labor market that more than offset the gain in wages. The result was a net loss in wages for exactly the group of people the law was intended to benefit.
This finding was quickly picked up in every major news outlet. While some, notably the New York Times, reported the finding with appropriate cautions, others (e.g. here, here, here, here, and here) were nearly gleeful at the idea that workers in Seattle were losing their jobs. Most of the reporting ignored the fact that the same week a team of researchers from Berkeley produced an analysis using a very similar methodology that found no statistically significant impact on employment.
There are important differences in the studies. The Berkeley study follows much prior research and only looks at the restaurant industry, a major employer of low wage workers. The University of Washington NBER paper looked at all workers getting paid less than $19 an hour. It also had two additional quarters of data. However, the Washington study also excluded the roughly 40 percent of the workforce that worked at multi-site employers (think Starbucks and McDonald's).
In other words, it it not obvious that the Washington study is the "better" analysis. The Berkeley team has produced much of the cutting edge research on the minimum wage over the last fifteen years. I doubt that many of the reporters touting the Washington study would be able to explain why it is a better analysis of the impact of Seattle's minimum wage hikes.
Behind the News, 6/22/17
Tom Roche1st segment (Kate Gordon of Paulson Institute on climate policy) is skippable. 2nd segment is quite good: Nancy MacLean, author of Democracy in Chains, on James Buchanan and the rightwing assault on democracy.
The American Populists
Tom Rocheexcellent
Napoleon: A Life by Andrew Roberts. PART 8 of 8.
Tom Rochererun of a formerly 4-part series
'A reckoning for our species': the philosopher prophet of the Anthropocene – podcast
Tom Rocheoriginal article/transcript by Alex Blasdel @ https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/jun/15/timothy-morton-anthropocene-philosopher
Feathers: The Evolution of a Natural Miracle by Thor Hanson.
Tom Rochererun
All the Great Prizes: The Life of John Hay, from Lincoln to Roosevelt by John Taliaferro. PART 2 of 2.
Tom Rochererun (formerly as one-part)
All the Great Prizes: The Life of John Hay, from Lincoln to Roosevelt by John Taliaferro. PART 1 of 2.
Tom Rochererun (formerly as one-part)
Jacobin Radio w/ Suzi Weissman: How Should We Engage the Democratic Party?
Tom Roche2nd part (Becky Bond) better than 1st
The Dig: Locking Up Our Own, with James Forman Jr.
Tom Rochevery excellent analysis of the changing black response to crime and drugs, and the hypocrisy of much of today's black and white liberal establishment
A shock to the system: how Corbyn changed the rules of British politics – podcast
Tom Rocheoriginal article/transcript by Gary Younge
@ https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/jun/16/a-shock-to-the-system-how-jeremy-corbyn-changed-the-rules-of-british-politics
Dispatch from the Dirtbag Left
Tom Rochefull transcript @ https://theintercept.com/2017/06/21/intercepted-podcast-dispatch-from-the-dirtbag-left/
When You Reject Class-Based Politics, ‘Thoughtful’ Appeals to Racism Are All You’ve Got Left
Tom Rocheanother great article from Jim Naureckas, archived @ https://web.archive.org/web/20170624014832/http://fair.org/home/when-you-reject-class-based-politics-thoughtful-appeals-to-racism-are-all-youve-got-left/

Thomas Edsall (New York Times, 6/22/17) declares “the end of left and right as we knew them.” But how well did he know them?
In “The End of the Left and the Right as We Knew Them,” New York Times columnist Thomas Edsall (6/22/17) is back on his hobby horse—which is fine; what would a columnist do without a hobby horse or two? What’s troubling about it is how dishonest he is about it.
The axe Edsall is grinding is that politics no longer has to do with rich or poor, but is now a question of “globalism versus nationalism.” It’s a variation on his class-no-longer-matters argument, or class-matters-backwards-from-the-way-you’d-think-it-does, as in “How Did the Democrats Become Favorites of the Rich?” (New York Times, 10/7/15)—a piece I examined at the time (10/15/15).
This is a preoccupation of neoliberal pundits—who want nothing more than to believe that the economic positions of the Democratic Party are “irrelevant to its electoral predicament” (Jonathan Chait, New York, 6/18/17; FAIR.org, 6/20/17)—or even that the Democrats’ path to success involves “pro-business, finance-friendly economics” (Michael Lind, New York Times (4/16/16); FAIR.org, 4/25/16).
But while Chait and Lind’s pro-corporate prescriptions for liberal politicians involve leaps of logic, neither of them seem so willing to fudge the data the way Edsall does.
In arguing that voting has become dissociated from class, Edsall reviews a number of recent elections, including the United States’ Clinton/Trump matchup. Here’s his summary:
In the 2016 election, as issues of race and immigration became more salient, the percentage of Trump and Clinton support among voters making more than $50,000 was virtually the same. If anything, those at the top making $200,000 or more tilted slightly to Clinton.
OK, here’s the 2016 exit polling on income, as laid out by CNN:
Say you’re writing a column about the relationship between class and politics. You look up the exit polling, and you can’t help but notice that Clinton did much better among people who make less than $50,000 than among people who make more than $50,000—winning the former by 12 percentage points, and losing the latter by 1 point. You choose to ignore that, however, and instead cherry-pick the data so it sounds like Clinton did better the further you go up the income scale—because that’s what fits with the story you’re peddling, that politics has entered a post-class era.
I’d call that rather deceptive, wouldn’t you?
Edsall went on to refer to Bernie Sanders‘ “call…to revive the New Deal origins of the Democratic Party”—seemingly the antithesis of Edsall’s class-is-over analysis—and acknowledge that it was “powerful.” He dismissed the idea, though, with an ad hominem slight of Sanders:
A candidate making that appeal, however, and seeking to build a broad majority biracial coalition, must in fact have broad biracial appeal. As of now, Sanders is far from personifying broad majority biracial appeal.
I assume that Edsall means that Sanders appeal is limited to white people, since that’s the conventional lesson of the 2016 primaries. That lesson happens not to be true—here are the results of a Harvard-Harris survey, as summarized in a Hill graphic (4/18/17):
Sanders is viewed favorably by every ethnic group polled—from 52 percent among whites to 73 percent among African-Americans. If that’s not what “broad majority biracial appeal” looks like, I don’t know what would.
Edsall went on to scoff at the idea of the Democratic Party winning on an explicitly class-based platform:
The Sanders-Warren wing of the party…has the moral high ground within Democratic ranks the votes they want the party to seek are those of some of the least reachable constituencies—white men and women whose views on immigration, race and political correctness are in direct conflict with liberal idealism. It would be an extraordinary challenge to get these particular voters to join with minorities and progressive activists.
As I pointed out earlier this week, there are many voters in the United States who have progressive economic views and conservative social views. Is it possible to get them to vote for a Democrat based on economic appeals? Yes—that’s why Barack Obama won two terms.
If you pretend that that’s not possible, of course, you’re stuck with having to appeal to these voters’ conservative social views—which is what Edsall ends up doing, citing Peter Beinart’s exortation in The Atlantic (7–8/17) that “liberals must take seriously Americans’ yearning for social cohesion”—by “backing tough immigration enforcement,” for instance. And ixnay on the talk about iverisityday, says Beinart:
Exposure to difference, talking about difference and applauding difference—the hallmarks of liberal democracy—are the surest ways to aggravate those who are innately intolerant, and to guarantee the increased expression of their predispositions in manifestly intolerant attitudes and behaviors.
Put away those rainbow flags, guys—you’re just riling up the neo-Nazis.
Edsall concludes with an endorsement of this sort of victim-blaming. Given our “more racialized and xenophobic politics,” he writes:
If the building of a viable left coalition is possible, it is likely to require some thoughtful and humane co-optation in the form of deference to our limits and boundaries.
If you reject from the outset the idea of uniting a majority based on shared economic interests, then pretty much all you’ve got left is the “thoughtful and humane co-optation” of racism and xenophobia.
You can send a message to the New York Times at letters@nytimes.com (Twitter:@NYTimes). Please remember that respectful communication is the most effective.
Wishful Thinking in Defense of Democrats’ Pro-Business Politics
Tom Rochegreat article from Jim Naureckas, archived @ https://web.archive.org/web/20170621032358/http://fair.org/home/wishful-thinking-in-defense-of-democrats-pro-business-politics/
In the wake of the 2016 election, the Democratic Party is having a debate, and it’s no exaggeration to say that the outcome of this argument will determine the future course of US history. On the one side are those who argue that Democrats’ political success depends on breaking with the wealthy donors they currently depend on, and advancing a progressive, explicitly redistributive economic agenda. On the other side are those who advocate—in the approving words of Michael Lind in the New York Times (4/16/16)—a continuation of the “Clintonian synthesis of pro-business, finance-friendly economics with social and racial liberalism.”
As I pointed out when I took on Lind’s piece (FAIR.org, 4/25/16), there’s a great deal of wishful thinking in the idea that there’s no need for Democrats to give up the pro-corporate policies—which, after all, not only attract hefty campaign contributions, but also keep Big Business sponsoring your media outlets and funding your think tanks. So it’s dispiriting but not surprising to find a prominent advocate for the neo-liberal wing of the Democratic Party like Jonathan Chait (New York, 6/18/17) taking a close look at the data on the 2016 election, thinking about it hard, and getting it spectacularly, absurdly wrong.
Here’s Chait’s takeaway on research by the Democracy Fund Voter Study Group, looking at voter attitudes and voting patterns:
To the extent that 2016 has an ideological lesson for Democrats, it is that the subject the party is currently debating within itself — whether or how far left to move on economics — is irrelevant to its electoral predicament. The issue space where Clinton lost voters who had supported Obama was in the array of social-identity questions, revolving around patriotism and identity.
They may not need to solve this problem—Trump’s failures may well solve it for them. And to some extent, moral commitments to social justice may preclude the party from moving to the center on some or all of their social policies. But to the extent Democrats want to optimize their party profile to make Trump a one-term president, the social issues are where they need to focus.
Chait’s argument is that the voters who switched from Obama to Trump had conservative social views—so if Democrats need to do anything to win in 2020, they should move to the right on race and immigration policy. But maybe they don’t need to do anything—maybe Trump will self-destruct! But in any case, what Democrats definitely don’t need to do is move to the left on economics.
One could write a whole post on the way Chait presents “moral commitments to social justice” as an impediment to electoral success—at the same time that he doesn’t seem to feel there’s any moral commitment to economic justice at all. But let’s focus on his instrumental argument regarding what, if anything, Democrats need to do differently in order to win elections.
Chait puts great stress on the report’s finding that vote-switchers had conservative social views. Well, of course they did, as you can deduce from a map of the American electorate that the Study Group produced and Chait reproduces:
The blue dots are Clinton voters and the red dots are Trump voters—with a scattering of yellow “other,” who are mainly Libertarians, along with a few Greens and independent conservatives. The chart is divided into squares depending on how progressive or conservative you are on two issue dimensions: left/right is where you stand on economic issues—left being more progressive; top/bottom is your take on “social/identity” questions, with more progressive on the bottom.
So you can see that most Clinton voters are in the lower-left quadrant: progressive on both economic and social issues, what the study calls “Liberals.” Trump voters, on the other hand, were split between two quadrants: He got almost as many votes from the quadrant labeled “Populist”—progressive on economics, conservative on social/identity issues—as he did from the “Conservative” quadrant, which is right-wing on both. It’s a bit easier to see in bar chart form, actually:
If you’re a Democrat, you want your party to get more votes than it got in 2016, because even though your party’s candidate won the popular vote, the other party still won the White House. So where do these other votes come from?
From the “Liberal” quadrant? You’ve already got almost all those votes—though it’s worth noting that more than twice as many voters in that quadrant went for “other” compared to their opposite numbers in the “Conservative” quadrant. That’s a sign that at least some progressive voters picked up on Hillary Clinton’s signals that her economic policies were not the kind that billionaires need to worry about. But most, recognizing that the other party likely to win the election embraced the opposite of what they believe on both economic and social issues, didn’t see themselves as having a much of a choice.
Democrats aren’t going to find a lot of votes in the “Conservative” quadrant, obviously—they’re not going to take away from Republicans many voters who are conservative on both ideological dimensions. And not the “Libertarian” quadrant, either—because (as Chait points out) there are hardly any voters at all there. (The fact that this ideological mix is so common on op-ed pages and editorial boards and so rare in real life is a peculiar feature of our political system.)
So that leaves the “Populist” quadrant. These are the voters with progressive economic views and conservative social/identity views. How does the Democratic Party attract voters with that mix of views? Not by shifting its positions on racial and immigration issues to the right, as Chait suggests (if Democrats can get over their “moral commitments to social justice”)—such opportunism would risk alienating the voters in the one sector that strongly supports the Democrats, who could, after all, increase their third-party vote further. No, the obvious strategy is to convince “Populist” voters to cast their ballot based on economic rather than identity issues—in other words, to move left on economics, an option that Chait tells the party is “irrelevant to its electoral predicament.”
His evidence for this claim is actually evidence against it: that “the issue space where Clinton lost voters who had supported Obama was in the array of social-identity questions, revolving around patriotism and identity.” Of course it was! The voters who find both progressive economics and conservative identity politics appealing voted Democratic when they found the Democratic economic pitch convincing—and voted Republican when they didn’t find those economic appeals persuasive. The conservative social views of “Populist” Obama voters aren’t evidence that Democratic economic policies don’t matter; they’re proof that they do matter, and can make the difference between a winning electoral coalition and a losing one.
It seems obvious enough. But as Upton Sinclair said, “It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends upon his not understanding it!”
69 AD: The Year of Four Emperors by Gwyn Morgan.
Tom Rochererun
Tribute to the late great Irwin Barker
Tom Rochererun
Democracy Now! 2017-06-13 Tuesday
Tom Rochefor Klein audio sans headlines, download https://traffic.libsyn.com/democracynow/wx2017-0613_klein-podcast.mp3
Democracy Now! 2017-06-13 Tuesday
- Headlines for June 13, 2017
- "No Is Not Enough": Best-Selling Author Naomi Klein on Challenging Trump's Shock Doctrine Politics
- Naomi Klein: Trump is the First Fully Commercialized Global Brand to Serve as U.S. President
- Naomi Klein on Jeremy Corbyn, Bernie Sanders & Youth-Led Grassroots Progressive Insurgencies
- Naomi Klein: Climate Movement Is Growing Even More Ambitious as U.S. Goes Rogue & Exits Paris Accord
- "A Transformative Vision": Naomi Klein on Platforms for Racial, Health & Climate Justice Under Trump
Democracy Now! 2017-06-14 Wednesday
Tom RocheStone piece is 1st of 2 (per Amy @ end of audio)
Democracy Now! 2017-06-14 Wednesday
- Headlines for June 14, 2017
- Jeff Sessions Said "I Don't Remember" or "I Don't Recall" 26 Times During Senate Intel Testimony
- Oliver Stone Interviews Putin on U.S.-Russia Relations, 2016 Election, Snowden, NATO & Nuclear Arms
Snap Election Special
Tom Rocheexcellent example of how totally *wrong* the British punditocracy were regarding the 2017 election
The Triumphs And Perils Of 'Going Big'
Tom Rochererun: reduced version of http://www.npr.org/2017/05/15/528041635/the-fox-and-the-hedgehog-the-triumphs-and-perils-of-going-big

Don Laub was a pioneering surgeon — one of the first in the U.S. to perform gender reassignment surgeries, but tragedy came when he traveled to Mexico to provide free surgeries to children.
(Image credit: Renee Klahr/NPR)
How Enlightened Americans Invented Racial Segregation
Tom Rochevery excellent interview with Nicholas Guyatt @ Cambridge: https://kpfa.org/episode/letters-and-politics-june-7-2017/
Operation Car Wash: Is this the biggest corruption scandal in history? – podcast
Tom Rocheoriginal article/transcript by Jonathan Watts @ https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/jun/01/brazil-operation-car-wash-is-this-the-biggest-corruption-scandal-in-history
Behind the News, 6/8/17
Tom RocheFirst, Yasha Levine, author of the forthcoming Surveillance Valley, discusses Russia, the NSA, and the Intercept election hacking leak. Then, Angela Nagle, author of Kill All Normies, chronicles the alt-right's rise.


