Shared posts

02 Dec 01:45

THE EXODUS IS HERE: Tech giant Hewlett Packard Enterprise moving headquarters from California to Spr…

by Ed Driscoll
Gpscruise

there goes texas

THE EXODUS IS HERE: Tech giant Hewlett Packard Enterprise moving headquarters from California to Spring, Texas, near Houston.

GOP governors better get cracking on Glenn’s Welcome Wagon kits ASAP, if they want to keep their states in the red column. Otherwise, as a — [cough] — longtime resident of Texas, I’m all in favor of this proposal by America’s Newspaper of Record: Texas Passes Law Banning Californians From Voting After They Move There.

01 Dec 16:16

Nervous Woman Still Hasn’t Gotten Up Courage To Check Election Results

Gpscruise

Gore was president for 37 days....

30 Nov 20:42

US Election 2020: Donald Trump says fraud fight not for own benefit

Gpscruise

https://twitter.com/MattBraynard

-Data Scientist. Shows 10-10k spike in fake 2020 mailin requests. Says Covid is not a reason to request mailin ballot.

'I'm not fighting for me,' President Donald Trump said Monday as he continued to claim he won the election despite trailing President-elect Joe Biden by 6 million votes in the popular vote count.
29 Nov 03:22

Stats I Did For the Sidney Powell Suits: 150 Thousand Missing Votes

by Briggs
Gpscruise

Remlaps, are you a fan of Scott Adams Youtube vids? I am captivated!

Around 154 thousand votes or so (plus or minus) have perhaps gone missing across several states. In Pennsylvania alone maybe 30 thousand or so Republican ballots are not accounted for. And that’s […]
29 Nov 00:27

Autonomous Robot Cars to Deliver Medicine Around London

Gpscruise

Remlaps, would you like to write an article on wikispeedia.org ?

A fleet of autonomous, electrically-powered robot vehicles has started delivering medicine to care homes in London's Borough of Hounslow as part of a public trial.

22 Nov 17:55

Hacking the ES&S 650… Used in 24 states

by Kane
Watch this. I’m old enough to remember when Democrat’s cared about election integrity. pic.twitter.com/18MHveUgZZ — Digital Forests 🌲 (@DigitalForests) November 21, 2020    
22 Nov 16:53

Holocaust memorial adds George Floyd exhibit…

by Kane
Gpscruise

becoming southern poverty law center....

Holocaust memorial adds George Floyd section. I don’t think I even need to comment on it for you to know what’s going on here. pic.twitter.com/41Ljje86Nu — An0maly (@LegendaryEnergy) November 21, 2020   George Floyd he took a lethal dose of Fentynal, that causes panic and breathing issues.   Leftist virtue signaling reaches a crushing new […]
20 Nov 16:41

Giuliani laughs in reporter’s face…

by Kane
Gpscruise

this election pushes out all news orgs and ushers in youtube!

    Your Internet video of the day ladles and jellyspoons… pic.twitter.com/AKXRMqsc6h — Dave Rubin (@RubinReport) November 19, 2020              
20 Nov 15:18

ONE WOULD THINK THAT GINNING UP A BOGUS CRIMINAL INVESTIGATION AIMED AT UNSEATING A NEWLY ELECTED PR…

by Glenn Reynolds

ONE WOULD THINK THAT GINNING UP A BOGUS CRIMINAL INVESTIGATION AIMED AT UNSEATING A NEWLY ELECTED PRESIDENT WOULD BE BAD FOR DEMOCRACY. But remember that when leftists talk about “democracy” it’s just a synonym for their political power. But it’s certainly rich to hear them talk about Trump trampling norms. The poison started with Al Gore’s un-concession in 2000, if not before.

Don’t ever expect them to admit it, though, or even realize it.

UPDATE: Related:

20 Nov 00:52

Rudy Giuliani press conference inspires a wave of hilarious memes

Gpscruise

rudy is awesome. This is the crime of the century.

Social media users mocked Rudy Giuliani on Thursday after he sweated off his hair dye while pushing further claims of 'massive' voter fraud but again supplied no evidence.
19 Nov 21:01

An Engineer Explains Why We Must Kill Software-Based Voting

Gpscruise

trump said use paper. I agree.

Let me list just some of the ways one could engage in election cheating by fiddling with software.
19 Nov 20:56

Rudy Giuliani gives voting fraud 'evidence' at odd press conference

Gpscruise

60% of americans see cheating this time

Donald Trump lawyer Rudy Giuliani delivered a rambling monologue Thursday where he asserted 'massive fraud' in the election, 'not a little teeny one.'
19 Nov 15:34

PLEASE, DON’T CALIFORNICATE THE REST OF AMERICA: One might think people fleeing a disaster would avo…

by Mark Tapscott
Gpscruise

i had a math pblm on gre. 40% of california leaves every year, 60% of us moves to california every year, what is the mix....

PLEASE, DON’T CALIFORNICATE THE REST OF AMERICA: One might think people fleeing a disaster would avoid at all costs doing things that could repeat the calamity in their new home.

Sadly, as Issues & Insights notes in today’s editorial, that’s not always the case: “Here’s the problem. It’s one thing to move from a state because it’s going in the wrong direction. It’s quite another to move and not understand that you had something to do with it.”

18 Nov 18:56

RUNNING AN “ELECTION” ON CLOSED-SOURCE VENEZUELAN VOTING SOFTWARE: That voting machine software in A…

by Robert Shibley
Gpscruise

I demans a SOX audit

RUNNING AN “ELECTION” ON CLOSED-SOURCE VENEZUELAN VOTING SOFTWARE: That voting machine software in America is not open source and auditable is such a preposterously obvious security and hacking risk that the only reasonable conclusion is that it’s meant to be insecure and hackable. There is no commercial value in closed source voting software (it’s the machines themselves they’re selling; as software goes, it is trivial and nobody wants weird innovations or updates) unless part of the value proposition is that the vote can be rigged. The media and politicians can gaslight us all they want on this, but something this “stupid” doesn’t happen accidentally, even today and with our incompetent ruling class.

18 Nov 16:13

Drone images reveal massive cliff fall on Dorset's Jurassic Coast

Gpscruise

need some kudzu

These stunning photos show before and after the moment a huge 300ft wide section of the Dorset coastline between Eype and West Bay collapsed into the sea.
17 Nov 17:40

Report outlines route toward better jobs, wider prosperity

by Peter Dizikes | MIT News Office
Gpscruise

i just tweeted to MIT News.... Funny on twitter they only have 15 followers... Perhaps they will read my tweet on hacking voting machines.

Decades of technological change have polarized the earnings of the American workforce, helping highly educated white-collar workers thrive, while hollowing out the middle class. Yet present-day advances like robots and artificial intelligence do not spell doom for middle-tier or lower-wage workers, since innovations create jobs as well. With better policies in place, more people could enjoy good careers even as new technology transforms workplaces.

That’s the conclusion of the final report from MIT’s Task Force on the Work of the Future, which summarizes over two years of research on technology and jobs. The report, “The Work of the Future: Building Better Jobs in an Age of Intelligent Machines,” was released today, and the task force is hosting an online conference on Wednesday, the “AI & the Future of Work Congress.”

At the core of the task force’s findings: A robot-driven jobs apocalypse is not on the immediate horizon. As technology takes jobs away, it provides new opportunities; about 63 percent of jobs performed in 2018 did not exist in 1940. Rather than a robot revolution in the workplace, we are witnessing a gradual tech evolution. At issue is how to improve the quality of jobs, particularly for middle- and lower-wage workers, and ensure there is greater shared prosperity than the U.S. has seen in recent decades.

“The sky is not falling, but it is slowly lowering,” says David Autor, the Ford Professor of Economics at MIT, associate head of MIT’s Department of Economics, and a co-chair of the task force. “We need to respond. The world is gradually changing in very important ways, and if we just keep going in the direction we’re going, it is going to produce bad outcomes.”

That starts with a realistic understanding of technological change, say the task force leaders.

The task force aimed “to move past the hype about what [technologies] might be here, and now we’re looking at what can we feasibly do to move things forward for workers,” says Elisabeth Beck Reynolds, executive director of the task force as well as executive director of the MIT Industrial Performance Center. “We looked across a range of industries and examined the numerous factors — social, cognitive, organizational, economic — that shape how firms adopt technology.”

“We want to inject into the public discourse a more nuanced way of talking about technology and work,” adds David Mindell, task force co-chair, professor of aeronautics and astronautics, and the Dibner Professor of the History of Engineering and Manufacturing at MIT. “It’s not that the robots are coming tomorrow and there’s nothing we can do about it. Technology is an aggregate of human choices.”

The report also addresses why Americans may be concerned about work and the future. It states: “Where innovation fails to drive opportunity, it generates a palpable fear of the future: the suspicion that technological progress will make the country wealthier while threatening the people’s livelihoods. This fear exacts a high price: political and regional divisions, distrust of institutions, and mistrust of innovation itself. The last four decades of economic history give credence to that fear.”

"Automation is transforming our work, our lives, our society," says MIT President L. Rafael Reif, who initiated the formation of the task force in 2017. "Fortunately, the harsh societal consequences that concern us all are not inevitable. How we design tomorrow’s technologies, and the policies and practices we build around them, will profoundly shape their impact."

Reif adds: "Getting this right is among the most important and inspiring challenges of our time — and it should be a priority for everyone who hopes to enjoy the benefits of a society that’s healthy and stable, because it offers opportunity for all."

Six big conclusions

The task force, an Institute-wide group of scholars and researchers, spent over two years studying work and technology in depth. The final report presents six overarching conclusions and a set of policy recommendations. The conclusions:

1) Technological change is simultaneously replacing existing work and creating new work. It is not eliminating work altogether.

Over the last several decades, technology has significantly changed many workplaces, especially through digitization and automation, which have replaced clerical, administrative, and assembly-line workers across the country. But the overall percentage of adults in paid employment has largely risen for over a century. In theory, the report states, there is “no instrinsic conflict between technological change, full employment, and rising earnings.”

In practice, however, technology has polarized the economy. White-collar workers — in medicine, marketing, design, research, and more — have become more productive and richer, while middle-tier workers have lost out. Meanwhile, there has been growth in lower-paying service-industry jobs where digitization has little impact — such as food services, janitors, and drivers. Since 1978, aggregate U.S. productivity has risen by 66 percent, while compensation for production and nonsupervisory workers has risen by only 10 percent. Wage gaps also exist by race and gender, and cities do not provide the “escalator” to the middle class they once did.

While innovations have replaced many receptionists, clerks, and assembly-line workers, they have simultaneously created new occupations. Since the middle of the 20th century, the U.S. has seen major growth in the computer industry, renewable energy, medical specialties, and many areas of design, engineering, marketing, and health care. These industries can support many middle-income jobs as well — while the services sector keeps growing.

As the task force leaders state in the report, “The dynamic interplay among task automation, innovation, and new work creation, while always disruptive, is a primary wellspring of rising productivity. Innovation improves the quantity, quality, and variety of work that a worker can accomplish in a given time. This rising productivity, in turn, enables improving living standards and the flourishing of human endeavors.”

However, a bit ruefully, the authors also note that “in what should be a virtuous cycle, rising productivity provides society with the resources to invest in those whose livelihoods are disrupted by the changing structure of work.”

But this has not come to pass, as the distribution of value from these jobs has been lopsided. In the U.S., lower-skill jobs only pay 79 percent as much when compared to Canada, 74 percent compared to the U.K., and 57 percent compared to Germany.

“People understand that automation can make the country richer and make them poorer, and that they’re not sharing in those gains,” Autor says. “We think that can be fixed.”

2) Momentous impacts of technological change are unfolding gradually.

Time and again, media coverage about technology and jobs focuses on dramatic scenarios in which robots usurp people, and we face a future without work.

But this picture elides a basic point: Technologies mimicking human actions are difficult to build, and expensive. It is generally cheaper to simply hire people for those tasks. On the other hand, technologies that augment human abilities — like tools that let doctors make diagnoses — help those workers become more productive. Apart from clerical and assembly-line jobs, many technologies exist in concert with workers, not as a substitute for them.

Thus workplace technology usually involves “augmentation tasks more than replacement tasks,” Mindell says. The task force report surveys technology adoption in industries including insurance, health care, manufacturing, and autonomous vehicles, finding growth in “narrow” AI systems that complement workers. Meanwhile, technologists are working on difficult problems like better robotic dexterity, which could lead to more direct replacement of workers, but such advances at a high level are further off in the future.

“That’s what technological adoption looks like,” Mindell says. “It’s uneven, it’s lumpy, it goes in fits and starts.” The key question is how innovators at MIT and elsewhere can shape new technology to broad social benefit.

3) Rising labor productivity has not translated into broad increases in incomes because societal institutions and labor market policies have fallen into disrepair.

While the U.S. has witnessed a lot of technological innovation in recent decades, it has not seen as much policy innovation, particularly on behalf of workers. The polarizing effects of technology on jobs would be lessened if middle- and lower-income workers had relatively better support in other ways. Instead, in terms of pay, working environment, termination notice time, paid vacation time, sick time, and family leave, “less-educated and low-paid U.S. workers fare worse than comparable workers in other wealthy industrialized nations,” the report notes. The adjusted gross hourly earnings of lower-skill workers in the U.S. in 2015 averaged $10.33, compared to $24.28 in Denmark, $18.18 in Germany, and $17.61 in Australia.

“It’s untenable that the labor market has this growing gulf without shared prosperity,” Autor says. “We need to restore the synergy between rising productivity and improvements in labor market opportunity.” He adds: “We’ve had real institutional failure, and it’s within our hands to change it. … That includes worker voice, minimum wages, portable benefits, and incentives that cause companies to invest in workers.”

Looking ahead, the report cautions, “If those technologies deploy into the labor institutions of today, which were designed for the last century, we will see similar effects to recent decades: downward pressure on wages, skills, and benefits, and an increasingly bifurcated labor market.” The task force argues instead for institutional innovations that complement technological change.

4) Improving the quality of jobs requires innovation in labor market institutions. 

The task force contends the U.S. needs to modernize labor policies on several fronts, including restoring the federal minimum wage to a reasonable percentage of the national median wage and, crucially, indexing it to inflation. 

The report also suggests upgrading unemployment insurance in several ways, including: using very recent earnings to determine eligibility or linking eligibility to hours worked, not earnings; making it easier to receive partial benefits in case of events like loss of a second job; and dropping the requirement that people need to seek full-time work to receive benefits, since so many people hold part-time positions. 

The report also observes that U.S. collective bargaining law and processes are antiquated. The authors argue that workers need better protection of their current collective bargaining rights; new forms of workplace representation beyond traditional unions; and legal protections allowing groups to organize that include home-care workers, farmworkers, and independent contractors.

5) Fostering opportunity and economic mobility necessitates cultivating and refreshing worker skills.

Technological advancement may often be incremental, but changes happen often enough that workers’ skills and career paths can become obsolete. The report emphasizes that U.S. workers need more opportunities to add new skills — whether through the community college system, online education, company-based retraining, or other means.  

The report calls for making ongoing skills development accessible, engaging, and cost-effective. This requires buttressing what already works, while advancing new tools: blended online and in-person offerings, machine-supervised learning, and augmented and virtual reality learning environments.

The greatest needs are among workers without four-year college degrees. “We need to focus on those who are between high school and the four-year degree,” Reynolds says. “There should be pathways for those people to increase their skill set and make it meaningful to the labor market. We really need a shift that makes this a high priority.”

6) Investing in innovation will drive new job creation, speed growth, and meet rising competitive challenges.

The rate of new-job creation over the last century is heavily driven by technological innovation, the report notes, with a considerable portion of that stemming from federal investment in R&D, which has helped produce many forms of computing and medical advances, among other things. As of 2015, the U.S. invested 2.7 percent of its GDP in R&D, compared to 2.9 percent in Germany and 2.1 percent in China. But the public share of that R&D investment has fallen from 40 percent in 1985 to 25 percent in 2015. The task force calls for a recommitment to this federal support.

“Innovation has a key role in job creation and growth,” Autor says.

Given the significance of innovation to job and wealth creation, the report calls for increased overall federal research funding; targeted assistance that helps small- and medium-sized businesses adopt technology; policies creating a wider geographical spread of innovation in the U.S.; and policies that enhance investment in workers, not just capital, including the elimination of accelerated capital depreciation claims, and an employer training tax credit that functions like the R&D tax credit.

Global issues, U.S. suggestions

In addition to Reynolds, Autor, and Mindell, MIT’s Task Force on the Work of the Future consisted of a group of 18 MIT professors representing all five Institute schools and the MIT Schwarzman College of Computing; a 22-person advisory board drawn from the ranks of industry leaders, former government officials, and academia; a 14-person research board of scholars; and over 20 graduate students. The task force also consulted with business executives, labor leaders, and community college leaders, among others. The final document includes case studies from specific firms and sectors as well, and the Task Force is publishing nearly two dozen research briefs that go into the primary research in more detail. 

The task force observed global patterns at play in the way technology is adopted and diffused through the workplace, although its recommendations are focused on U.S. policy issues.

“While our report is very geared toward the U.S. in policy terms, it clearly is speaking to a lot of trends and issues that exist globally,” Reynolds said. “The message is not just for the U.S. Many of the challenges we outline are found in other countries too, albeit to lesser degrees. As we wrote in the report, ‘the central challenge ahead, indeed the work of the future, is to advance labor market opportunity to meet, complement, and shape technological innovations.’”

The task force intends to circulate ideas from the report among policymakers and politicians, corporate leaders and other business managers, and researchers, as well as anyone with an interest in the condition of work in the 21st century.

“I hope people are receptive,” Reynolds adds. “We have made forceful recommendations that tie together different policy areas — skills, job quality, and innovation. These issues are critical, particularly as we think about recovery and rebuilding in the age of Covid-19. I hope our message will be picked up by both the public sector and private sector leaders, because both of those are essential to forge the path forward.”

17 Nov 05:29

Pennsylvania courts throw out 6 Trump election challenges…

by Kane
Gpscruise

good, makes going the the supreme court faster.

16 Nov 21:15

Christopher Bedford: The Media Are Covering Up Left-Wing Violence Because They Agree With The Mission

by Tristan Justice
Gpscruise

GOP ers dont buy newspapers.... No conspiracy, just business-101.

Federalist Senior Editor Chris Bedford condemned the media's attempts to either ignore or justify the left's violence because they are complicit.
12 Nov 20:37

I’LL TAKE TWEETS THAT DIDN’T AGE WELL FOR $500, ALEX: I can’t wait for the explanation for th…

by Ed Driscoll
Gpscruise

I am going to burn a PA flag and put it on youtube.

I’LL TAKE TWEETS THAT DIDN’T AGE WELL FOR $500, ALEX:

I can’t wait for the explanation for this. Have Joy Reid’s time-traveling hackers struck again?

11 Nov 15:18

Joe Biden the Highest Recipient of Pfizer’s Political Donations in 2020

by Matt Palumbo
Gpscruise

hey Jts5665, go to quora.com and fight back. I did and got banned. I was posting this vid. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Be5JCXePth4&t=2s

10 Nov 22:45

Science and Technology links (October 31st 2020)

by Daniel Lemire
Gpscruise

awesome list!

  1. Amazon has 1 million employees.
  2. “The iPhone 12 contains a Lidar. The first 3D Lidar was released a decade ago and cost $75,000.” (Calum Chace)
  3. There is water on the Moon, possibly enough to make fuel.
  4. Good looking people have greater social networks and may receive favorable treatment from others, but it is a mixed blessing. They are better supported, but might also be enticed to party more and invest more in sex which takes time away from work.
  5. It looks like the regular use of skin creams could reduce inflammation in your whole body and thus, possibly, keep you healthier. (speculative)
  6. You can predict someone’s height within a few centimeters from their genes.
  7. We found new salivary glands hidden under our skull’s base.
  8. People are driving forklifts remotely from an office.
  9. Toronto (the Canadian city) is going to try out automated shuttles.
  10. Genes may predict mathematical abilities and related brain volume .
  11. Bees have five eyes.
  12. In vitro (in laboratory), we have been able to regenerate cartilage. This will not help you in the near future if you have joint pains, but people in the future may fare better.
  13. As we age, we accumulate senescent cells and they are believed to cause trouble. Senolytics are midly toxic compounds that target senescent cells and destroy them. Researchers found that a particular senolytic proved capable of improving frailty and cognitive functions in old mice. There are ongoing clinical trials regarding senolytic drugs in human beings, but we still have some time to go.
  14. In A global decline in research productivity? Evidence from China and Germany, the authors verify recent results related the United States pointing that while the number of researchers is steadily increasing, high-value outputs do not seem to increase at a similar rate. One possible implication for these results is that, keeping everything else equal, increasing the number of researchers is wasteful. In fact, it may suggest that we are overesting in the production of new researchers (i.e., we might be training too many PhDs). My own take is that we are insufficiently preoccupied with research productivity. We encourage researchers to write grant applications, publish papers, acquire rents (i.e., patents), but innovation is based on a “throw over the wall” model from the researcher’s point of view. A typical researcher believe that it is not his or her purpose to enhance products, cure diseases and so forth. The simplistic approach of “getting more researchers” may therefore not translate into new innovative products and cancer cures. To get to Mars, we may need more people like Elon Musk and Jeff Bezos, more Moon projects, and fewer new PhDs. Even if you disagree with this last assertion, the fact is that it becomes harder and harder to justify training more PhDs in the hope of getting more prosperity.
09 Nov 21:07

Rudy Giuliani's witness who claims he saw voting fraud is a convicted child sex offender 

Gpscruise

witness, not jury selection.

The first witness Trump lawyer Rudy Giuliani called at his press conference alleging voter fraud Saturday was a convicted child sex offender, it was revealed Monday.
08 Nov 21:26

Trump refuses to concede…

by Kane
  SOURCE   “We all know why Joe Biden is rushing to falsely pose as the winner, and why his media allies are trying so hard to help him: they don’t want the truth to be exposed. The simple fact is this election is far from over. Joe Biden has not been certified as the […]
08 Nov 21:23

Breaking — Trump campaign files lawsuit on rejected votes in Arizona…

by Kane
BREAKING: Trump campaign files suit on rejected votes in Arizona. Alleges Maricopa County incorrectly rejected votes cast by in-person voters on Election Day and disregarded the voter’s choices in the overvoted races. pic.twitter.com/1taczcfc5z — Carrie Sheffield (@carriesheffield) November 7, 2020   Breaking details here…       Tweets by carriesheffield        
08 Nov 21:17

US election: Being with Trump the day he lost

Gpscruise

wait until tomorrow.

How the president who has never wavered dealt with defeat after four years in the White House.
07 Nov 23:36

Watch Live — Trump Team lawyers hold press conference in Philly…

by Kane
Gpscruise

So, what you gonna do? They calculated the opportunity and went for it.

Happening LIVE right now — Rewind video to see earlier action         Major networks prematurely declare Biden the winner         Lefties are celebrating election fraud at BLM Plaza          
06 Nov 18:27

$1 billion bitcoin wallet seizure linked to Silk Road…

by Kane
Gpscruise

at least the coin wont be lost because the FBI will need new Jaguars.

06 Nov 04:34

US Election 2020: Donald Trump Jr says dad should 'go to total war'

Gpscruise

at least demand machines that give receipts.

Donald Trump Jr called on his father to 'fight to the death' over the election as he echoed his unfounded claims of voter fraud and cheating after Trump's leads in Pennsylvania and Georgia slipped.
05 Nov 22:36

Vote count livestreams are here to stay

by Tanya Basu
Gpscruise

doesnt do any good to prevent fraud. Until the vote machines gives me a receipt, and i can verify it on a website, I wont trust any of this shit. Too much money at stake

As the US election process wore on from Tuesday evening into Wednesday, multiple counties across the country are broadcasting the ballot counting process.

What it is: Given the closeness of the election, it’s not surprising that voters and candidates alike are nervous about how votes are being tallied. So officials across the country have taken a note from Twitch and Instagram by installing a camera in ballot counting rooms and livestreaming the whole thing. The hope is to combat allegations of possible fraud.

What are these livestreams like? Think less Twitch stream, more store surveillance video. The quality is often grainy, the audio is on mute, and the streams are, frankly, quite boring to watch. Many cities have opted for YouTube as their platform. Here’s what it looks like in Los Angeles:

Denver’s camera offers aerial shots of multiple areas:

Not all livestreams are on YouTube. Several municipalities have opted for home surveillance cameras; Arizona’s hotly watched Maricopa County uses Google’s Nest to keep an eye on the counting (you can watch here). Washington’s King County installed cameras not too different from store surveillance equipment (you can watch here). And Union County in New Jersey uses the Angelcam app, a cloud surveillance tool (you can watch here).

Arizona is a peek into the future of livestreaming vote counts. In 2019, Arizona’s state legislature passed a law that required election officials to “provide for a live video recording of the custody of all ballots while the ballots are present in a tabulation room in the counting center.”

Panda cam, this is not. While zoo livestreams have gained popularity as calming, escapist windows of cuteness, there are higher stakes here. Sure, watching election officials sift through and sort ballots might be some people’s definition of “soothing,” but the purpose—being transparent and ensuring the validity and accuracy of election results—is very different, and perhaps more nail-biting than comforting for viewers.

Why is it important? Vote tabulation was rarely considered something the public had to see, but during this year’s contentious election, voters and politicos alike worry about fraud to the extent that the authenticity of every vote and counting process is under scrutiny. (It bears repeating: studies have repeatedly shown that voter fraud is nearly nonexistent.) Election officials are hoping that these livestreams will ensure voter confidence and counter any fraud allegations.

Philadelphia is ground zero for vote livestreaming: In late October, the Trump campaign was shown to be engaging in voter intimidation in the city by videotaping voters as they dropped off their ballots at designated centers. Trump exacerbated the situation by suggesting that “bad things happen” in Philadelphia. The stakes were upped last Wednesday, when the Supreme Court ruled that mail-in ballots would count so long as they were postmarked by Election Day, even if they arrived later. Philadelphia’s role in what’s arguably the most contested state in the country is huge: the city leans Democrat and could push the state’s electoral votes toward Biden. It’s no surprise, then, that Philadelphia became the focus of intense scrutiny.

The Office of Philadelphia’s City Commissioners went on the offense on Tuesday evening:

As of publication, the livestream was still going on, with thousands of watchers:

Don’t be surprised if you see vote count livestreams in 2022—and beyond. This year’s election was historic in expanding absentee and mail-in voting options, resulting in record turnout. Even when voters feel it’s safe to vote in person, mail-in and absentee options will probably be here to stay. Livestreams are a cheap, easy way to help fight allegations of voter fraud and might be a first step in ensuring transparent and fair elections, all from the comfort of your couch.

05 Nov 22:29

the 2020 election: fuckery is afoot

by correia45
Gpscruise

give me one actionable thing to do JTS5665 please. I dont want to type, I want to act. Tell me. I'm serious.

I am more offended by how ham fisted, clumsy, and audacious the fraud to elect him is than the idea of Joe Biden being president. I think Joe Biden is a corrupt idiot, however, I think America would survive him like we’ve survived previous idiot administrations. However, what is potentially fatal for America is half the populace believing that their elections are hopelessly rigged and they’re eternally fucked. And now, however this shakes out in court, that’s exactly what half the country is going to think.  

People are pissed off, and rightfully so.

Before I became a novelist I was an accountant. In auditing you look for red flags. That’s weird bits in the data that suggest something shifty is going on. You flag those weird things so you can delve into them further. One flag doesn’t necessarily mean there’s fraud. Weird things happen. A few flags mean stupidity or dishonesty. But a giant pile of red flags means that there’s bad shit going on and people should be in jail.

Except for in politics, where apparently all you have to do to dismiss a bunch of red flag is be a democrat and mumble something about “fascist voter suppression” then you can do all sorts of blatant crime and get off.

I’ve been trying to keep up with the firehose of information about what’s going on during this clusterfuck of an election. Last night I was on Facebook talking about the crazy high, 3rd world dictatorship level voter turnout levels in the deep blue areas of these swing states was very suspicious. Somebody gas lighted me about how “I’d have to do better than that”, so this was my quick reply, listing off the questionable bullshit I could think of off the top of my head:

The massive turn out alone is a red flag.

But as for doing better…

The late night spikes that were enough to close all the Trump leads are a red flag.

The statistically impossible breakdown of the ratios of these vote dumps is a red flag.

The ratios of these dumps being far better than the percentages in the bluest of blue cities, even though the historical data does not match, red flag.

The ratios of these vote dumps favoring Biden more in these few battlegrounds than the ratio for the rest of the country (even the bluest of the blue) red flag.

Biden outperforming Obama among these few urban vote dumps, even though Trump picked up points in every demographic group in the rest of the country, red flag.

The poll observers being removed. Red flag.

The counters cheering as GOP observers are removed, red flag.

The fact that the dem observers outnumber the GOP observers 3 to 1, red flag (and basis of the first lawsuit filed)

The electioneering at the polls (on video), red flag.

The willful violation of the court order requiring the separation of ballots by type, red flag.

USPS whistleblower reporting to the Inspector General that today they were ordered to backdate ballots to yesterday, red flag.

The video of 2 AM deliveries of what appear to be boxes of ballots with no chain of custody or other observers right before the late night miracle spikes, red flag.

Any of those things would be enough to trigger an audit in the normal world. This many flags and I’d be giggling in anticipation of catching some thieves.

And it isn’t that I have to do better. I’m just an gen pop observer who happens to be a retired auditor with a finely tuned bullshit detector. This is going to the courts.

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So now I want to delve into some of these some more. The problem is that there’s a ton of info swirling around, some good, some crap. It doesn’t help that reporters are usually dishonest or not very bright and absolute trash at presenting data. Part of our problem is Big Tech is actively stomping on stories that make their guy look bad. (while compiling these I discovered that several of the links I’d looked at yesterday had been vanished by Facebook or Twitter)

For the last four years half the country was all “Trump is illegitimate! He’s not my president! He stole the election!” so on and so forth, and that was all based upon nebulous ideas about “Russian Interference”, The Russian Interference mostly boiled down to them buying ads on Facebook, or having fake bots trolling on Twitter last time. This time the actual giant megacorporations, Facebook, Twitter, and Google themselves have actively censored stories in order to protect their candidate. So you think after this pile of suspicious election clusterfucks that makes the game look totally rigged, the other half of the country is going to accept Joe Biden as legitimate? Oh hell no.

When you are auditing you see mistakes happen all the time. Humans make errors. Except in real life, mistakes usually go in different directions. When all the mistakes go in the same direction and benefit the same parties, they probably aren’t mistakes. They’re malfeasance.

Let’s go back a bit to before election day to see why people would be suspicious that the game has been rigged.

Most of the mainstream polls were utter garbage, off by what I believe to be the largest amounts ever in all of American history. Of course, this thing that surely demoralized the right and helped the left raise funds was just an innocent sampling error rather than a purposeful sampling bias… uh huh.

Then in the weeks leading up to the election, Big Tech and the media had a concentrated censorship effort to stop what was probably the juiciest October Surprise in modern history. But them silencing major newspapers and US Senators was just a mistake in their innocent efforts to “fact check”.   

Then on election day, states like Florida that were obviously swinging hard for Trump with no possible mathematical way for Biden to come back, the news wouldn’t call for Trump. States where it was still clearly up in the air just based on even the most cursory of statistical analysis (Arizona) they called for Biden ASAP. But that was just innocent mistakes, and not an attempt to set the narrative of inevitable Biden victory by major media.

When Trump pulled ahead in the midwestern swing states by what were starting to appear to be insurmountable amounts, they suddenly threw the brakes on the counts. (my favorite part of this was when it looked like Trump was going to win, the Chinese Yaun crashed, which is pretty telling about just how shitty a candidate Joe Biden is) Okay, suddenly stopping all those counts seemed a little weird, but most of America went to bed thinking that this was a close race, with Trump in the lead in the EC.

Then we woke up in the morning, and everybody saw the 538 graphs showing a massive middle of the night spike for Joe Biden, with almost zilch in corresponding votes for Trump.

Now, one of those got walked back as “typo”. (again, funny how all these “mistakes” keep going in one direction) but the damage was already done, and all of a sudden most of America was paying a whole lot more attention to places like Wisconsin and Michigan than we usually do. That’s how flags work. And it turned out that single six figure typo was only one of many statistically improbable Biden vote dumps to come.

Now, all of my liberal acquaintances were quick to dismiss these, with some gas lighting about how it was just deep blue inner cities votes coming in, and of obviously they’re going to vote for Joe Biden… Except that is them deliberately missing the point. It isn’t that Biden won those, it is that he won them with statistically improbable amounts.

I don’t know what the current numbers are now, but as of yesterday morning the Wisconsin Midnight Mystery Dump was something like 98.4% for Joe Biden. That’s better than the bluest of blue cities manage. That’s better than Biden did in DC. I saw one 28k dump yesterday (I want to say it was 538 talking about PA) that was listed as ALL for Biden. That’s basically statistically impossible.

In a small populace, you can get 100% of the vote. However the larger the sample, the more likely there will be dissenting votes. Even in the bluest of blue areas or reddest of red areas, somebody is going to be a cranky dissident, or an old person is going to fill in the wrong circle. When you get into the hundreds or thousands yet maintain that kind of perfect ratio, basically impossible.

Plus we are supposed to believe that Joe Biden, the guy barely campaigned, who got like 12 sad looking people to his rallies, was more popular than Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama? This election was just that much more special? Uh huh… Except that these few battleground state blue cities vote ratios don’t match up with other blue cities around America, where it appears Trump’s support among every demographic group other than white males went UP.

Then people were quick to dismiss these statistically improbable spikes with “of course the mail in voting favors Biden, republicans vote in person.” Yes, but they don’t favor Biden with these kind of ratios anywhere else in America. The ratios are more like 60-40 or 70-30. But 97-3? Oh fuck no. So either Biden is a better campaigner to the inner cities (though he rarely left his basement) than the eloquent messianic figure of Barack Obama, or there’s something fishy going on here.

Now, as a suspicious auditor type who spent a lot of hours looking for fuckery in complex systems, my gut tells me fake ballots were getting dumped into the system to make up the difference. And oh look, here is a giant pile of red flags indicating that’s the case.

Yesterday there was a meme going around about how Wisconsin had something like 90% voter turnout, and how this was 20 points higher than usual, and it how it would also be one of the highest voter turnouts in all of American history. If Wisconsin was at 90% that beats the highest national number in all of American history by EIGHT points. And that was 1876 (which was legendarily fraudulent by the way).

Except, this is the problem with using memes to make your argument, it was only partially accurate, and the previous Wisconsin numbers were cited one way, and the current year was calculated a different way. (don’t feel bad, I fell for that one too, and as an accountant, that’s SO ANNOYING). When most people think of voter turnout, they think what percent of registered voters vote. But because Wisconsin has same day voting (a gift for fraudsters) their prior year percentages were votes compared to eligible population (that’s so goofy). But it meant the meme was comparing apples to oranges. So the leftists immediately jumped on that error to dismiss the idea that there was anything weird about how many people turned out to vote this time.

HOWEVER, that’s useless obfuscation. Because if you calculate the number the same way that most Americans do, their turn out was still like 90%, which is a rate normally reserved for dictators (that combined with the vote ratios would have made Saddam Hussein blush). I had one liberal guy point out that notoriously corrupt Seattle also gets 90%… which doesn’t exactly help his case.

Because here’s the kicker, the high turn out is the average for the state, but when you drill down on the source of these statistically improbable blue vote dumps, they’ve got districts with TWO HUNDRED PERCENT TURN OUT. That’s over 200%. There’s 7 over 100%, and a ton of them in the 90s.  https://mkecitywire.com/stories/564495243-analysis-seven-milwaukee-wards-report-more-2020-presidential-votes-than-registered-voters-biden-nets-146k-votes-in-city

Now the quick liberal dismiss explanation for this is that Wisconsin has same day registration (again, a fraudsters dream) and thousands of people ignored months of TV and social media beating them over the head to get registered to vote, and just decided to do it at the last minute because Biden is just that awesome/Trump is just that bad.

Except if you’re an auditor, when you see super suspicious spikes like that in certain places, the first thing we think is that’s the place where you’ve got somebody over the controls colluding. So that’s where you go to fabricate your bullshit.

200% turn out is fucking insane. Same day voting or not. That’s madness. When I was looking into this stuff I pulled a HuffPo article about the 2012 election and how it was controversial that some Madison ward had gotten 119% turnout.  

Oh, but wait, there’s more.

A whistleblower has come forward from a Michigan post office saying that they were given ballots on November 4th, and ordered to post mark them to election day so they would still be valid.  https://www.facebook.com/JamesOKeefeAuthor/videos/381073273044980

That is so insanely illegal. When the reporter called the postal supervisor who gave the order and asked about it, he immediately hung up.

Now, on this one, liberals were quick to dismiss it because it was from Project Veritas. (who they hate, and say cherry picks their investigative reporting, yet they keep winning all the lawsuits against them) However, the very next video was the response from the US Postal Inspector General (or whatever his title is, I can’t remember) about how they are investigating, so this wasn’t just some crank going to a reporter, it’s been passed up the chain of command. It’s an actual whistle blower.

I had someone else try to dismiss this one as innocent, because the post office accepting these late ballots had no way of knowing who they voted for so it would balance out. That’s is so naïve its cute. Of course they knew who the ballots were for. They were probably dropped off by people they were colluding with. You don’t commit felonies for clueless strangers because you feel sorry they got their votes in late.

A quick note on collusion because I mentioned it a couple times now. Collusion is the key to successful fraud. Systems have controls and checks in places, so the best way to circumvent them is to team up with somebody over one of those controls and exploit the gap. That’s fraud 101. Which is why you go to the post office your buddy runs to drop off your illegal late emergency Save Biden ballots. Or you go to the ward your buddy the poll worker is running the log in book to same day register all your imaginary friends.

Speaking of the imaginary vote, this one is actually hilarious. Democrats are quick to say all votes must count, which apparently includes people who are 118 years old.  https://twitter.com/fleccas/status/1324216584219623424?s=21&fbclid=IwAR2rMt9iguDDYq_6H1FTQtMGekNEiTRRUNVsXN9xiEGvxS8z2VhHLJwo6-s

All those little fraud schemes come in from various directions, except the fraud numbers add up quick in a tight race. However, if you are behind by hundreds of thousands of votes in the middle of the night it requires some audacious level fuckery, which brings us to a red flag you can see from space. The 4 AM Biden Miracle. Here is an account from somebody at the counting center.  https://www.facebook.com/iamconniejohnson/videos/10225096326823289

This is the third link I’ve had to pull for this one, because Facebook keeps killing the others. Listen to the whole thing. Because after the statistically impossible votes came in, they had to toss a bunch of the GOP judges out of the building because of Covid.

Remember what I said about collusion? If you’ve got the actual system with the controls on your side, you can basically do any outlandish bullshit you feel like, and the only way you are going to get stopped is by an outside power (hence the multitude of lawsuits we’re going to see over the next few days).

Another thing you learn to spot when people are fraudulently manipulating data, is the mission-oriented spikes. On this one I’ve seen a few links, but the data has been so in flux that I’ve not been able to confirm it, but supposedly a bunch of the sudden Biden spikes weren’t just statistically improbable, they also voted for president but not the down ballot races. Now, lots of people will vote for president but don’t care about down ballot. However, when you get a pile of those in a row, that suggests somebody in a hurry filling out the mission critical bubble and then moving down stack, assembly line style.

There was also video taken of one guy delivering these mystery ballots to the counting center in the middle of the night (unloading them from a white van into a little red wagon) the link I used yesterday had been deleted by YouTube but I found this new one (can’t stop the signal, Mal) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yh7h3w75D8U&feature=youtu.be

Gee whiz. I can’t imagine why mysterious boxes are being moved into this supposedly secure voting facility in the middle of the night with no observers or chain of custody.

And there’s more. They just keep coming. Yesterday morning I saw a small article about a republican official calling shenanigans on the voting in his small county, which went overwhelmingly Trump last time, and how it appeared the votes tallied weren’t even enough to account for his immediate family. Of course he got laughed at by caring liberals. Fast forward a few hours and it turns out that the voting program was faulty. https://www.westernjournal.com/election-program-issue-tallied-2-votes-gop-candidate-33-mi-counties-thought-using-software/

Worse, the same broken ass software was apparently used in 33 other counties. Hmmm… Again, with all these magical errors in these swing states all going in one side’s favor.

Then there’s SharpieGate, but I’ve heard so much conflicting stuff about that one, with sharpies actually working fine in the scantron machines, that I’m not putting much stock in that one yet. There’s a lawsuit already though, so it’ll be interesting to see what new information comes out.

Here’s another thing you learn about auditing. The more chaotic the system, the more chances for fraud. So when you come across a system that is extra chaotic on purpose, that tells you that the people running it want it that way for a reason.

And the flags just keep coming in. This is going to be way worse than Florida in 2000.

What happens now? Beats me. It goes to court, and then the real question becomes how much spine the republicans have to actually fight. In previous years I’d assume they’d be a bunch of spineless chickenshits and wimp out like usual, but I’m not so sure this time. I don’t know if or how any of these will pan out, and without access to the real data, all I can do is guess.

I can say without hesitation though, that fuckery is afoot, and if an actual real investigation happens they’ll be able to prove it. Only this is politics, so who knows. The only thing I do know for certain is that this election is so fucked up it is just going to make America’s two halves hate each other even more.

Update: I did a part 2 https://monsterhunternation.com/2020/11/09/election-2020-the-more-fuckery-update/

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